Knowledge

Long Peace

Source 📝

884: 81:; instead, wealthier countries have fought limited small-scale regional conflicts with poorer countries. Conflicts involving smaller economies have also gradually tapered off. Overall, the number of international wars decreased from a rate of six per year in the 1950s to one per year in the 2000s, and the number of fatalities decreased from 240 reported deaths per million to less than 10 reported deaths per million. 72:
In the 1990s, it was thought that the Long Peace was a unique result of the Cold War. However, when the Cold War ended the same trends continued in what has also been called the "New Peace". The period has exhibited more than a quarter of a century of even greater stability and peacefulness and has
176:
considers that to be part of a trend that has continued since the beginning of recorded history, and other experts have made similar arguments. While there is general agreement among experts that we are in a Long Peace and that wars have declined since the 1950s, Pinker's broader thesis has been
184:
Pinker's work has received some publicity, but most information about the Long Peace and related trends remains outside public awareness, and some data demonstrate a widespread perception that the world has become more dangerous.
177:
contested. Critics have also said that a longer period of relative peace is needed to be certain, or they have emphasized minor reversals in specific trends, such as the increase in battle deaths between 2011 and 2014 due to the
143:. However, no factor is a sufficient explanation on its own and so additional or combined factors are likely. Other proposed explanations have included the proliferation of the recognition of 73:
also shown continued improvements in related measurements such as the number of coups, the amount of repression, and the durability of peace settlements. Though
77:
and lesser military conflicts have occurred, there has been a continued absence of direct conflict between any of the largest economies by
746: 682: 831: 719: 443:
Vasquez, John A; Kang, Choong-Nam (2012). "How and why the Cold War became a long peace: Some statistical insights".
245: 49:. First recognized in 1986, the period of "relative peace" has been compared to the relatively-long stability of the 1076: 821: 567:
Duffield, John S. (2009). "Explaining the Long Peace in Europe: the contributions of regional security regimes".
168: 489:
Inglehart, Ronald F; Puranen, Bi; Welzel, Christian (2015). "Declining willingness to fight for one's country".
1061: 204: 349:
Lebow, Richard Ned (Spring 1994). "The Long Peace, the End of the Cold War, and the Failure of Realism".
140: 392:
Gaddis, John Lewis (1986). "The Long Peace: Elements of Stability in the Postwar International System".
101: 1071: 1066: 268:
Freedman, Lawrence (2014). "Stephen Pinker and the long peace: alliance, deterrence and decline".
678: 124: 314:
Saperstein, Alvin M. (March 1991). "The "Long Peace"— Result of a Bipolar Competitive World?".
89: 78: 8: 814: 799: 132: 120: 93: 788: 646: 592: 545: 514: 468: 425: 417: 374: 366: 331: 293: 234: 160: 156: 108: 676: 763: 742: 715: 708: 650: 638: 596: 584: 549: 518: 506: 472: 460: 409: 378: 335: 297: 285: 241: 199: 194: 429: 783: 775: 630: 576: 541: 498: 452: 401: 358: 323: 277: 178: 634: 872: 736: 281: 152: 112: 62: 327: 913: 807: 85: 58: 580: 362: 155:, changes in the way that people view conflicts (such as the presumption that 1055: 1018: 983: 955: 941: 934: 906: 899: 851: 642: 621:
Fettweis, Christopher J. (2017). "Unipolarity, Hegemony, and the New Peace".
588: 553: 510: 502: 464: 456: 413: 289: 209: 173: 116: 42: 25: 1039: 1025: 990: 865: 779: 532:
Gaddis, John Lewis (1992). "The Cold War, the Long Peace, and the Future".
144: 97: 50: 46: 38: 30: 1032: 1004: 976: 969: 962: 948: 858: 66: 29:, is a term for the unprecedented historical period following the end of 1011: 997: 421: 370: 128: 74: 54: 883: 927: 148: 405: 107:
Major factors cited as reasons for the Long Peace have included the
136: 92:"for over six decades contributed to the advancement of peace and 34: 61:, a century of relative peace that existed between the end of the 920: 69:
in 1914, during which the British Empire held global hegemony.
37:(1947–1991) was marked by the absence of major wars between the 738:
Winning the War on War: The Decline of Armed Conflict Worldwide
163:, and demographic factors such as the reduction in birthrates. 764:"Trends and fluctuations in the severity of interstate wars" 683:"Human Security Report 2013: The Decline in Global Violence" 829: 710:
The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined
236:
The Long Peace: Inquiries Into the History of the Cold War
115:, the economic incentives towards cooperation caused by 488: 484: 482: 734: 479: 707: 233: 1053: 309: 307: 616: 614: 612: 610: 608: 606: 125:worldwide increase in the number of democracies 33:in 1945 to the present day. The period of the 436: 263: 261: 259: 257: 815: 728: 304: 603: 227: 225: 16:Absence of major wars following World War II 560: 442: 254: 822: 808: 699: 672: 670: 668: 666: 664: 662: 660: 313: 100:in Europe" by a unanimous decision of the 787: 525: 385: 222: 620: 566: 267: 761: 657: 1054: 705: 531: 391: 231: 803: 348: 13: 546:10.1111/j.1467-7709.1992.tb00499.x 316:The Journal of Conflict Resolution 141:peacekeeping by the United Nations 14: 1088: 159:are unjustified), the success of 882: 755: 677:Human Security Research Group, 569:Review of International Studies 169:The Better Angels of Our Nature 342: 1: 635:10.1080/09636412.2017.1306394 215: 205:Human Security Report Project 735:Joshua S. Goldstein (2012). 282:10.1080/14682745.2014.950243 65:in 1815 and the outbreak of 7: 832:regional and relative peace 328:10.1177/0022002791035001004 240:. Oxford University Press. 232:Gaddis, John Lewis (1989). 188: 10: 1093: 351:International Organization 891: 880: 838: 581:10.1017/S0260210500118170 491:Journal of Peace Research 363:10.1017/s0020818300028186 135:, and the effects of the 102:Norwegian Nobel Committee 23:", also described as the 503:10.1177/0022343314565756 457:10.1177/0010836712461625 445:Cooperation and Conflict 1077:Cold War historiography 762:Clauset, Aaron (2018). 706:Pinker, Steven (2011). 679:Simon Fraser University 780:10.1126/sciadv.aao3580 394:International Security 79:gross domestic product 1062:Cold War terminology 714:. New York: Viking. 137:empowerment of women 133:reduction of poverty 121:international trade 41:of the period, the 534:Diplomatic History 161:non-violent action 157:wars of aggression 1049: 1048: 748:978-0-452-29859-0 200:Deterrence theory 195:Balance of terror 109:deterrence effect 90:Nobel Peace Prize 1084: 886: 824: 817: 810: 801: 800: 794: 793: 791: 768:Science Advances 759: 753: 752: 732: 726: 725: 713: 703: 697: 696: 694: 692: 687: 674: 655: 654: 623:Security Studies 618: 601: 600: 564: 558: 557: 529: 523: 522: 486: 477: 476: 440: 434: 433: 389: 383: 382: 346: 340: 339: 311: 302: 301: 270:Cold War History 265: 252: 251: 239: 229: 179:Syrian Civil War 96:, democracy and 88:was awarded the 1092: 1091: 1087: 1086: 1085: 1083: 1082: 1081: 1072:1986 neologisms 1067:Historical eras 1052: 1051: 1050: 1045: 887: 878: 873:Pax Praetoriana 834: 828: 798: 797: 760: 756: 749: 733: 729: 722: 704: 700: 690: 688: 685: 675: 658: 619: 604: 565: 561: 530: 526: 487: 480: 441: 437: 406:10.2307/2538951 390: 386: 347: 343: 312: 305: 266: 255: 248: 230: 223: 218: 191: 153:quality of life 113:nuclear weapons 63:Napoleonic Wars 17: 12: 11: 5: 1090: 1080: 1079: 1074: 1069: 1064: 1047: 1046: 1044: 1043: 1036: 1029: 1022: 1015: 1008: 1001: 994: 987: 980: 973: 966: 959: 952: 945: 938: 931: 924: 917: 914:Pax Britannica 910: 903: 895: 893: 889: 888: 881: 879: 877: 876: 869: 862: 855: 848: 842: 840: 836: 835: 827: 826: 819: 812: 804: 796: 795: 774:(2): aao3580. 754: 747: 727: 720: 698: 656: 629:(3): 423–451. 602: 575:(4): 369–388. 559: 540:(2): 234–246. 524: 497:(4): 418–434. 478: 435: 384: 357:(2): 249–277. 341: 303: 276:(4): 657–672. 253: 246: 220: 219: 217: 214: 213: 212: 207: 202: 197: 190: 187: 131:'s efforts in 94:reconciliation 86:European Union 59:Pax Britannica 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1089: 1078: 1075: 1073: 1070: 1068: 1065: 1063: 1060: 1059: 1057: 1042: 1041: 1037: 1035: 1034: 1030: 1028: 1027: 1023: 1021: 1020: 1019:Pax Sovietica 1016: 1014: 1013: 1009: 1007: 1006: 1002: 1000: 999: 995: 993: 992: 988: 986: 985: 984:Pax Mongolica 981: 979: 978: 974: 972: 971: 967: 965: 964: 960: 958: 957: 956:Pax Khazarica 953: 951: 950: 946: 944: 943: 942:Pax Hispanica 939: 937: 936: 935:Pax Helvetica 932: 930: 929: 925: 923: 922: 918: 916: 915: 911: 909: 908: 907:Pax Austriaca 904: 902: 901: 900:Pax Assyriaca 897: 896: 894: 890: 885: 875: 874: 870: 868: 867: 863: 861: 860: 856: 854: 853: 852:Pax Americana 849: 847: 844: 843: 841: 837: 833: 825: 820: 818: 813: 811: 806: 805: 802: 790: 785: 781: 777: 773: 769: 765: 758: 750: 744: 740: 739: 731: 723: 721:9780670022953 717: 712: 711: 702: 684: 680: 673: 671: 669: 667: 665: 663: 661: 652: 648: 644: 640: 636: 632: 628: 624: 617: 615: 613: 611: 609: 607: 598: 594: 590: 586: 582: 578: 574: 570: 563: 555: 551: 547: 543: 539: 535: 528: 520: 516: 512: 508: 504: 500: 496: 492: 485: 483: 474: 470: 466: 462: 458: 454: 450: 446: 439: 431: 427: 423: 419: 415: 411: 407: 403: 400:(4): 99–142. 399: 395: 388: 380: 376: 372: 368: 364: 360: 356: 352: 345: 337: 333: 329: 325: 321: 317: 310: 308: 299: 295: 291: 287: 283: 279: 275: 271: 264: 262: 260: 258: 249: 247:0-19-504335-9 243: 238: 237: 228: 226: 221: 211: 210:Nuclear peace 208: 206: 203: 201: 198: 196: 193: 192: 186: 182: 180: 175: 174:Steven Pinker 171: 170: 164: 162: 158: 154: 150: 147:, increasing 146: 142: 138: 134: 130: 126: 122: 118: 117:globalization 114: 110: 105: 103: 99: 95: 91: 87: 84:In 2012, the 82: 80: 76: 70: 68: 64: 60: 56: 52: 48: 44: 43:United States 40: 36: 32: 28: 27: 26:Pax Americana 22: 1040:Pax Tokugawa 1038: 1031: 1026:Pax Sumerica 1024: 1017: 1010: 1003: 996: 991:Pax Ottomana 989: 982: 975: 968: 961: 954: 947: 940: 933: 926: 919: 912: 905: 898: 871: 866:Pax Europaea 864: 857: 850: 845: 839:Contemporary 771: 767: 757: 737: 730: 709: 701: 689:. Retrieved 626: 622: 572: 568: 562: 537: 533: 527: 494: 490: 451:(1): 28–50. 448: 444: 438: 397: 393: 387: 354: 350: 344: 322:(1): 68–79. 319: 315: 273: 269: 235: 183: 167: 166:In the book 165: 145:human rights 106: 98:human rights 83: 71: 51:Roman Empire 47:Soviet Union 39:great powers 31:World War II 24: 20: 18: 1033:Pax Syriana 1005:Pax Russica 977:Pax Minoica 970:Pax Mafiosa 963:Pax Kushana 949:Pax Italica 859:Pax Atomica 830:Periods of 691:11 November 67:World War I 1056:Categories 1012:Pax Sinica 998:Pax Romana 892:Historical 846:Long Peace 216:References 129:World Bank 75:civil wars 55:Pax Romana 21:Long Peace 928:Pax Gupta 741:. Plume. 651:148993870 643:0963-6412 597:145698353 589:0260-2105 554:0145-2096 519:113340539 511:0022-3433 473:154868730 465:0010-8367 414:0162-2889 379:155032446 336:153738298 298:154846757 290:1468-2745 149:education 57:, or the 681:(2013). 430:59686350 189:See also 45:and the 35:Cold War 921:Pax Dei 789:5834001 422:2538951 371:2706932 786:  745:  718:  649:  641:  595:  587:  552:  517:  509:  471:  463:  428:  420:  412:  377:  369:  334:  296:  288:  244:  127:, the 123:, the 53:, the 686:(PDF) 647:S2CID 593:S2CID 515:S2CID 469:S2CID 426:S2CID 418:JSTOR 375:S2CID 367:JSTOR 332:S2CID 294:S2CID 743:ISBN 716:ISBN 693:2018 639:ISSN 585:ISSN 550:ISSN 507:ISSN 461:ISSN 410:ISSN 286:ISSN 242:ISBN 151:and 139:and 119:and 784:PMC 776:doi 631:doi 577:doi 542:doi 499:doi 453:doi 402:doi 359:doi 324:doi 278:doi 111:of 1058:: 782:. 770:. 766:. 659:^ 645:. 637:. 627:26 625:. 605:^ 591:. 583:. 573:20 571:. 548:. 538:16 536:. 513:. 505:. 495:52 493:. 481:^ 467:. 459:. 449:48 447:. 424:. 416:. 408:. 398:10 396:. 373:. 365:. 355:48 353:. 330:. 320:35 318:. 306:^ 292:. 284:. 274:14 272:. 256:^ 224:^ 181:. 172:, 104:. 823:e 816:t 809:v 792:. 778:: 772:4 751:. 724:. 695:. 653:. 633:: 599:. 579:: 556:. 544:: 521:. 501:: 475:. 455:: 432:. 404:: 381:. 361:: 338:. 326:: 300:. 280:: 250:. 19:"

Index

Pax Americana
World War II
Cold War
great powers
United States
Soviet Union
Roman Empire
Pax Romana
Pax Britannica
Napoleonic Wars
World War I
civil wars
gross domestic product
European Union
Nobel Peace Prize
reconciliation
human rights
Norwegian Nobel Committee
deterrence effect
nuclear weapons
globalization
international trade
worldwide increase in the number of democracies
World Bank
reduction of poverty
empowerment of women
peacekeeping by the United Nations
human rights
education
quality of life

Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.