172:
2492:
largest ethnic group comprises a majority of the population, increased the risk of civil war. A country characterized by ethnic dominance has nearly twice the chance of a civil war. However, the combined effects of ethnic and religious fractionalization, i.e. the more chance that any two randomly chosen people will be from separate ethnic or religious groups the less chance of a civil war, were also significant and positive, as long as the country avoided ethnic dominance. The study interpreted this as stating that minority groups are more likely to rebel if they feel that they are being dominated, but that rebellions are more likely to occur the more homogeneous the population and thus more cohesive the rebels. These two factors may thus be seen as mitigating each other in many cases.
2236:
2998:. In some cases, superpowers would superimpose Cold War ideology onto local conflicts, while in others local actors using Cold War ideology would attract the attention of a superpower. Using a separate statistical evaluation than used above for interventions, civil wars that included pro- or anti-communist forces lasted 141% longer than the average non-Cold War conflict, while a Cold War civil war that attracted superpower intervention resulted in wars typically lasting over three times as long as other civil wars. Conversely, the end of the Cold War marked by the fall of the
2887:
2447:
the study average resulted in a decline in the chance of a civil war of about 1%. The study interpreted these three factors as proxies for earnings foregone by rebellion, and therefore that lower foregone earnings encourages rebellion. Phrased another way: young males (who make up the vast majority of combatants in civil wars) are less likely to join a rebellion if they are getting an education and/or have a comfortable salary, and can reasonably assume that they will prosper in the future.
2760:
2805:
2558:, divides the modern history of civil wars into the pre-nineteenth century, nineteenth century to early twentieth century, and late twentieth century. In nineteenth century Europe, the length of civil wars fell significantly, largely due to the nature of the conflicts as battles for the power center of the state, the strength of centralized governments, and the normally quick and decisive intervention by other states to support the government. Following
2145:
2468:
2262:, states that "a civil war is a violent conflict within a country fought by organized groups that aim to take power at the center or in a region, or to change government policies". The intensity at which a civil disturbance becomes a civil war is contested by academics. Some political scientists define as civil war as having more than 1000 casualties, while others further specify that at least 100 must come from each side. The
2227:. Roughly stated: are conflicts caused by who people are, whether that be defined in terms of ethnicity, religion or other social affiliation, or do conflicts begin because it is in the economic best interests of individuals and groups to start them? Scholarly analysis supports the conclusion that economic and structural factors are more important than those of identity in predicting occurrences of civil war.
2630:, led to several civil wars. However, a bi-polar world, divided between the two ideologies, did not develop, largely due the dominance of monarchists through most of the period. The monarchists would thus normally intervene in other countries to stop democratic movements taking control and forming democratic governments, which were seen by monarchists as being both dangerous and unpredictable. The
2423:
2801:, some French military conscripts from rural regions were unable to name the country they were fighting for. Nevertheless, Western states that survived into the latter half of the twentieth century were considered "strong" by simple reason that they had managed to develop the institutional structures and military capability required to survive predation by their fellow states.
2969:
receive foreign support, allowing wars to continue well past the point when domestic resources had been exhausted. Superpowers, such as the
European Great Powers, had always felt no compunction in intervening in civil wars that affected their interests, while distant regional powers such as the United States could declare the interventionist
2412:
commodity. The authors of the study interpreted this as being the result of the ease by which primary commodities may be extorted or captured compared to other forms of wealth, e.g. it is easy to capture and control the output of a gold mine or oil field compared to a sector of garment manufacturing or hospitality services.
2974:
300% longer than those without. When disaggregated, a civil war with intervention on only one side is 156% longer, while intervention on both sides lengthens the average civil war by an addition 92%. If one of the intervening states was a superpower, a civil war is extended a further 72%; a conflict such as the
2576:
the state. This meant that whoever had control of the capital and the military could normally crush resistance. If a rebellion failed to quickly seize the capital and control of the military for itself, it was normally doomed to a quick destruction. For example, the fighting associated with the 1871
2463:
High levels of population dispersion and, to a lesser extent, the presence of mountainous terrain increased the chance of conflict. Both of these factors favor rebels, as a population dispersed outward toward the borders is harder to control than one concentrated in a central region, while mountains
2446:
Higher male secondary school enrollment, per capita income and economic growth rate all had significant effects on reducing the chance of civil war. Specifically, a male secondary school enrollment 10% above the average reduced the chance of a conflict by about 3%, while a growth rate 1% higher than
2377:
2973:
of 1821 for events in its
Central American "backyard". However, the large population of weak states after 1945 allowed intervention by former colonial powers, regional powers and neighboring states who themselves often had scarce resources. On average, a civil war with interstate intervention was
2199:
have lasted on average just over four years, a dramatic rise from the one-and-a-half year average of the 1900-1944 period. While the rate of emergence of new civil wars has been relatively steady since the mid-1800s, the increasing length of those wars resulted in increasing numbers of wars ongoing
2862:
may be included. Neither did imperial powers make territorial integration a priority, and may have discouraged nascent nationalism as a danger to their rule. Many newly independent states thus found themselves impoverished, with minimal administrative capacity in a fragmented society, while faced
2755:
Following World War II, the major
European powers divested themselves of their colonies at an increasing rate: the number of ex-colonial states jumped from about 30 to almost 120 after the war. The rate of state formation leveled off in the 1980s, at which point few colonies remained. More states
2575:
Civil wars through the nineteenth century to early twentieth century tended to be short; the average length of a civil war between 1900 and 1944 was one and half years. The state itself was the obvious center of authority in the majority of cases, and the civil wars were thus fought for control of
2517:
the rebellion was fought over and thus increase the opportunity cost of restarting the conflict. Alternatively, elapsed time may represent the gradual process of healing of old hatreds. The study found that the presence of diaspora substantially reduced the positive effect of time, as the funding
2307:
2945:
in diplomatic recognition limbo. While there is not a large body of academic work examining the relationship, Hironaka's statistical study found a correlation that suggests that every major international anti-secessionist declaration increased the number of ongoing civil wars by +10%, or a total
2491:
Most proxies for "grievance" - the theory that civil wars begin because of issues of identity, rather than economics - were statistically insignificant, including economic equality, political rights, ethnic polarization and religious fractionalization. Only ethnic dominance, the case where the
2968:
There has been an enormous amount of international intervention in civil wars since 1945 that served to extend wars. While intervention has been practiced since the international system has existed, its nature changed substantially. It became common for both the state and opposition group to
2928:
regime and norms against territorial aggression is strongly associated with the dramatic drop in the number of interstate wars, though it has also been attributed to the effect of the Cold War or to the changing nature of economic development. Consequently, military aggression that results in
2906:
Historically, the international community would have targeted weak states for territorial absorption or colonial domination or, alternatively, such states would fragment into pieces small enough to be effectively administered and secured by a local power. However, international norms towards
2411:
and non-petroleum groupings showed different results: a country with relatively low levels of dependence on petroleum exports is at slightly less risk, while a high-level of dependence on oil as an export results in slightly more risk of a civil war than national dependence on another primary
2849:
to favor a particular interest group. In such a situation, factions manipulate the state to benefit themselves or, alternatively, state leaders use the bureaucracy to further their own self-interest. The lack of credible governance was compounded by the fact that most colonies were economic
2297:
Based on the 1000 casualties per year criterion, there were 213 civil wars from 1816 to 1997, 104 of which occurred from 1944 to 1997. If one uses the less-stringent 1000 casualties total criterion, there were over 90 civil wars between 1945 and 2007, with 20 ongoing civil wars as of 2007.
2840:
prohibited any self-government up until it suddenly granted independence to its colonies in 1960. Like
Western states of previous centuries, the new ex-colonies lacked autonomous bureaucracies, which would make decisions based on the benefit to society as a whole, rather than respond to
2776:
and an official economic policy, they were in actuality far weaker than the
Western states they were modeled after. In Western states, the structure of governments closely matched states' actual capabilities, which had been arduously developed over centuries. The development of strong
2450:
Low per capita income has been proposed as a cause for grievance, prompting armed rebellion. However, for this to be true, one would expect economic inequality to also be a significant factor in rebellions, which it is not. The study therefore concluded that the economic model of
2743:
In the 1990s, about twenty civil wars were occurring concurrently during an average year, a rate about ten times the historical average since the 19th century. However, the rate of new civil wars had not increased appreciably; the drastic rise in the number of ongoing wars after
2363:
in the early 2000s. The study framework, which came to be called the
Collier-Hoeffler Model, examined 78 five-year increments when civil war occurred from 1960 to 1999, as well as 1167 five-year increments of "no civil war" for comparison, and subjected the data set to
3002:
in 1989 resulted in a reduction in the duration of Cold War civil wars of 92% or, phrased another way, a roughly ten-fold increase in the rate of resolution of Cold War civil wars. Lengthy Cold War-associated civil conflicts that ground to a halt include the wars of
2771:
While the new ex-colonial states appeared to follow the blueprint of the idealized state - centralized government, territory enclosed by defined borders, and citizenry with defined rights -, as well as accessories such as a national flag, an anthem, a seat at the
2562:
the duration of civil wars grew past the norm of the pre-nineteenth century, largely due to weakness of the many postcolonial states and the intervention by major powers on both sides of conflict. The most obvious commonality to civil wars are that they occur in
2658:, would frequently coordinate interventions in other nations' civil wars, nearly always on the side of the incumbent government. Given the military strength of the Great Powers, these interventions were nearly always decisive and quickly ended the civil wars.
2419:, which can fund rebellions and insurgencies from abroad. The study found that statistically switching the size of a country's diaspora from the smallest found in the study to the largest resulted in a sixfold increase in the chance of a civil war.
2850:
loss-makers at independence, lacking both a productive economic base and a taxation system to effectively extract resources from economic activity. Among the rare states profitable at decolonization was India, to which scholars credibly argue that
2508:
The more time that has elapsed since the last civil war, the less likely it is that a conflict will recur. The study had two possible explanations for this: one opportunity-based and the other grievance-based. The elapsed time may represent the
2328:
do not specifically define the term 'civil war'. They do, however, describe the criteria for acts qualifying as "armed conflict not of an international character", which includes civil wars. Among the conditions listed are four requirements:
2946:+114% from 1945-1997. The diplomatic and legal protection given by the international community, as well as economic support to weak governments and discouragement of secession, thus had the unintended effect of encouraging civil wars.
2756:
also meant more states in which to have long civil wars. Hironaka statistically measures the impact of the increased number of ex-colonial states as increasing the post-WWII incidence of civil wars by +165% over the pre-1945 number.
2990:(1945-1989) provided a global network of material and ideological support that perpetuated civil wars, which were mainly fought in ex-colonial weak states, rather than the relatively strong states that were aligned with the
2923:
to weak states, which helps maintain the facade of a functioning modern state by giving the appearance that the state is capable of fulfilling its implied responsibilities of control and order. The formation of a strong
2978:, in which there is two-sided foreign intervention, including by a superpower (actually, two superpowers in the case of Angola), would be 538% longer on average than a civil war without any international intervention.
2929:
territorial annexation became increasingly likely to prompt international condemnation, diplomatic censure, a reduction in international aid or the introduction of economic sanction, or, as in the case of 1990
2777:
administrative structures, in particular those related to extraction of taxes, is closely associated with the intense warfare between predatory
European states in the seventeenth and eighteenth century, or in
2200:
at any one time. For example, there were no more than five civil wars underway simultaneously in the first half of the twentieth century, while over 20 concurrent civil wars were occurring at the end of the
2937:, international military intervention to reverse the territorial aggression. Similarly, the international community has largely refused to recognize secessionist regions, while keeping some states such as
2797:, respectively. The Western process of forming effective and impersonal bureaucracies, developing efficient tax systems, and integrating national territory continued into the twentieth century; as late as
2204:, before a significant decrease as conflicts strongly associated with the superpower rivalry came to an end. Since 1945, civil wars have resulted in the deaths of over 25 million people, as well as the
2919:
sovereignty or control of their own territory, including the privileges of international diplomatic recognition and an equal vote in the United
Nations. Further, the international community offers
2824:
was an entirely different process of state formation. Most imperial powers had not foreseen a need to prepare their colonies for independence; for example, Britain had given limited self-rule to
2500:
The various factors contributing to the risk of civil war rise increase with population size. The risk of a civil war rises approximately proportionately with the size of a country's population.
2266:, a dataset widely used by scholars of conflict, classifies civil wars as having over 1000 war-related casualties per year of conflict. This rate is a small fraction of the millions killed in the
2368:
to see the effect of various factors. The factors that were shown to have a statistically-significant effect on the chance that a civil war would occur in any given five-year period were:
2181:
2950:
3087:, Anke Hoeffler and Nicholas Sambanis, "The Collier-Hoeffler Model of Civil War Onset and the Case Study Project Research Design," in Collier, Paul and Nicholas Sambanis, eds,
3163:
on Third 1949 Geneva
Convention, Article III, Section "A. Cases of armed conflict" for the ICRC's reading of the definition and a listing of proposed alternate wording
138:
2619:
did not have sovereign status, but had significant political and economic independence coupled with weak federal control, reducing the incentive to secede.
2407:, has a 22% of falling into civil war in a given five-year period, while a country with no primary commodity exports has a 1% risk. When disaggregated, only
2748:
was a result of the tripling of the average duration of civil wars to over four years. This increase was a result of the increased number of states, the
2695:(1861-1865) was unusual for at least two reasons: it was fought around regional identities, rather than political ideologies, and it was ended through a
2172:
and domestic political actors that are in control of some part of the territory claimed by the state. It is high-intensity conflict, often involving
2431:
2287:
2403:
in national exports significantly increases the risk of a conflict. A country at "peak danger", with commodities comprising 32% of
3157:
1095:
1522:
2907:
sovereignty changed in the wake of WWII in ways that support and maintain the existence of weak states. Weak states are given
2661:
2235:
2526:
122:
110:
2350:
The legal
Government is "obliged to have recourse to the regular military forces against insurgents organized as military."
3109:
2781:'s famous formulation: "War made the state and the state made war". For example, the formation of the modern states of
1878:
171:
3033:
2995:
2073:
1851:
466:
126:
106:
118:
3128:
2867:. The "strong"-"weak" categorization is not the same as "Western"-"non-Western", as some Latin American states like
1527:
2809:
1605:
2863:
with the expectation of immediately meeting the demands of a modern state. Such states are considered "weak" or "
2607:, who were their nominal state government, to gain recognition for their sovereignty. Conversely, states such as
1950:
1588:
1375:
220:
86:
37:
1714:
2131:
1578:
93:
50:
2591:
in the eighteenth and nineteenth century, which further reduced the number of civil wars. For example, the
2220:
are examples of nations that were considered to have promising futures before being engulfed in civil wars.
2435:
2184:
of civilians by the state is not a civil war. Similarly, less intense forms of societal conflict, such as
2180:
and the expenditure of large amounts of resource. A civil war involves two-sided violence; for example, a
2068:
772:
532:
3038:
2836:
as little more than a trading post, while all major decisions for French colonies were made in Paris and
2078:
1265:
1067:
938:
476:
75:
26:
2895:
1542:
3016:
2283:
2267:
1652:
1160:
509:
383:
237:
2789:
in the nineteenth century is closely associated with the wars of expansion and consolidation led by
3144:
2603:
states because of their military power. The Barbary pirates thus had no need to rebel against the
2471:
2103:
1970:
1517:
1210:
1028:
876:
2732:
2691:
There were several exceptions from the general rule of quick civil wars during this period. The
2056:
2038:
1794:
1353:
1275:
1220:
818:
481:
2668:
2404:
2224:
1923:
1898:
1620:
1532:
1405:
1280:
881:
858:
304:
203:
3063:
Neverending Wars: The International Community, Weak States, and the Perpetuation of Civil War
1512:
1445:
1398:
1052:
1015:
978:
896:
848:
732:
542:
350:
259:
3523:
3012:
3008:
3004:
2310:
2149:
1903:
1805:
1662:
1657:
1475:
1440:
1175:
995:
853:
789:
643:
613:
210:
3479:
The Geography of Ethnic Violence: Identity, Interests, and the Indivisibility of Territory
3160:
8:
3545:
2883:
are considered to have "strong" administrative structures and economic infrastructure.
2514:
2365:
2271:
2259:
2248:
1754:
1739:
1615:
1502:
1480:
1455:
1415:
1325:
1135:
1040:
990:
757:
747:
712:
504:
494:
264:
188:
82:
61:
33:
2699:, rather than over a decisive battle over control of the capital, as was the norm. The
3435:
Roy Licklider, "The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945--1993,"
3028:
2930:
2899:
2833:
2692:
2635:
2344:
authority over the population within the determinate portion of the national territory.
2325:
2153:
2088:
1943:
1863:
1784:
1729:
1704:
1625:
1571:
1537:
1468:
1385:
1295:
1200:
1145:
1035:
1000:
953:
828:
799:
752:
690:
665:
499:
313:
232:
3456:
David T. Mason and Patrick 3. Fett, "How Civil Wars End: A Rational Choice Approach,"
2176:, that is sustained, organized and large-scale. Civil wars result in large numbers of
3496:
2975:
2958:
2925:
2764:
2700:
2696:
2684:
2479:
2314:
2263:
2177:
2124:
2033:
1980:
1883:
1873:
1868:
1838:
1821:
1816:
1789:
1734:
1435:
1425:
1420:
1410:
1330:
1320:
1315:
1290:
1260:
1150:
1120:
1115:
1105:
1100:
1090:
1005:
958:
928:
767:
560:
537:
471:
97:
54:
21:
3518:
2093:
2720:
2676:
2537:
2475:
2452:
2279:
2205:
2098:
2063:
1995:
1888:
1826:
1719:
1647:
1640:
1497:
1430:
1380:
1370:
1245:
1165:
1125:
1110:
1077:
1062:
933:
918:
871:
779:
737:
680:
675:
633:
456:
433:
340:
269:
198:
181:
3513:
3114:
2970:
2920:
2643:
2189:
1908:
1893:
1811:
1767:
1709:
1365:
1360:
1250:
1240:
1155:
1130:
1072:
913:
843:
833:
685:
670:
593:
565:
365:
345:
193:
2962:
2821:
2773:
2639:
2604:
2592:
2083:
1831:
1255:
1215:
1193:
1180:
1170:
1140:
1057:
1010:
813:
804:
695:
648:
628:
618:
588:
555:
443:
400:
355:
227:
160:
2752:
formed after 1945, the decline in interstate war, and the Cold War rivalry.
2333:
The party in revolt must be in possession of a part of the national territory.
3539:
2864:
2778:
2749:
2616:
2612:
2596:
2577:
2564:
2391:
1930:
1918:
1774:
1694:
1610:
1593:
1450:
1305:
1285:
968:
963:
943:
923:
838:
809:
784:
660:
638:
623:
598:
438:
360:
323:
318:
215:
3430:
The International Spread of Ethnic Conflict: Fear, Diffusion, and Escalation
2886:
3105:
3084:
2759:
2745:
2559:
2510:
2385:
2291:
2275:
2255:
2196:
2173:
2117:
2043:
2023:
2018:
1913:
1858:
1492:
1487:
1310:
1225:
973:
707:
608:
405:
309:
3465:
Civil Wars and Foreign Powers: Outside Intervention in Intrastate Conflict
2208:
of millions more. Civil wars have further resulted in economic collapse;
3508:
3129:"A Matter of Definition: What Makes a Civil War, and Who Declares It So?"
3065:, Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Mass., 2005, p. 3, ISBN 0674015320
2999:
2991:
2798:
2631:
2588:
2533:
2274:, for example, but excludes several highly publicized conflicts, such as
2244:
2028:
1779:
1744:
1583:
1270:
1235:
948:
891:
794:
578:
299:
294:
2804:
2359:
A comprehensive studies of civil war was carried out by a team from the
2223:
Scholars of war divide theories on the causes of civil war into either
2842:
2672:
2623:
2518:
from diasporas offsets the depreciation of rebellion-specific capital.
2360:
2144:
1985:
1955:
1677:
1046:
3442:
Andrew Mack, "Civil War: Academic Research and the Policy Community,"
2913:
sovereignty equal to that of other states, even when they do not have
3481:(Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press, 2003). ISBN 0-691-12383-7.
2954:
2868:
2829:
2627:
2467:
2408:
2400:
2376:
2347:
The insurgents must have some amount of recognition as a belligerent.
2337:
1975:
1799:
1749:
1699:
1689:
1684:
1549:
1340:
1335:
1300:
742:
428:
395:
284:
114:
3421:
Stathis Kalyvas, "'New' and 'Old' Civil Wars: A Valid Distinction?"
2763:
An artillery school set up by the non-socialist "Whites" during the
2354:
2306:
3528:
2987:
2915:
2855:
2846:
2813:
2794:
2716:
2608:
2416:
2201:
1990:
1965:
1598:
1230:
1205:
823:
378:
252:
2587:
The power of non-state actors resulted in a lower value placed on
2570:
2422:
2909:
2891:
2837:
2790:
2782:
2708:
2707:
sides of the war received support from intervening great powers:
2647:
2584:, and ended quickly once the military sided with the government.
2381:
2318:
2000:
1960:
1724:
1558:
1554:
901:
886:
762:
423:
418:
388:
327:
289:
2902:(1975–1990) was characterized by multiple foreign interventions.
3514:
Royal Air Force Doctrine - The Nature of War and Armed Conflict
2949:
2942:
2938:
2880:
2872:
2859:
2851:
2728:
2724:
2680:
2655:
2651:
2545:
2217:
2213:
1507:
908:
725:
461:
2876:
2825:
2786:
2712:
2581:
2548:
2541:
2209:
2169:
983:
519:
514:
3486:
Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars
3416:
Breaking the Conflict Trap: civil war and development policy
2934:
2427:
2240:
2185:
279:
274:
64:
to this revision, which may differ significantly from the
3472:
Ending Civil Wars: The Implementation of Peace Agreements
2165:
152:
3400:
Ali, Taisier Mohamed Ahmed and Robert O. Matthews, eds.
3491:
Elisabeth Jean Wood; "Civil Wars: What We Don't Know,"
2388:, is correlated with an increased risk of civil war.
2544:
was a part, marked the end of the early unity of the
3451:
Greed and Grievance: economic agendas in civil wars
3409:
Greed and Grievance: Economic Agendas in Civil Wars
66:
3083:See, for example, Hironaka (2005), pp. 9-10, and
2660:
2525:
2355:Causes of civil war in the Collier-Hoeffler Model
3537:
2380:An economic dependence on commodities, such the
3091:, Volume 1: Africa, The World Bank, 2005, p. 13
2571:Civil wars in the 19th and early 20th centuries
2464:offer terrain where rebels can seek sanctuary.
2125:
3205:Collier, Hoeffler and Sambanis, 2005, p. 18
3193:Collier, Hoeffler and Sambanis, 2005, p. 16
3057:
3055:
3053:
3402:Civil Wars in Africa: roots and resolution
2132:
2118:
2981:
2521:
3158:International Committee of the Red Cross
3101:
3099:
3097:
3050:
2948:
2885:
2803:
2758:
2738:
2466:
2421:
2375:
2305:
2234:
2143:
1096:List of military strategies and concepts
74:Revision as of 19:37, 4 January 2009 by
47:
3201:
3199:
3145:Diplomatic Conference of Geneva of 1949
2415:A second source of finance is national
73:
14:
3538:
3428:David Lake and Donald Rothchild, eds.
3189:
3187:
3185:
3183:
3173:
3171:
3169:
2301:
3312:
3310:
3177:Collier, Hoeffler and Sambanis, p. 17
3094:
44:
25:
3519:Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
3449:David M. Malone and Mats R. Berdal.
3439:89, no. 3 (summer 1995): pp 681-690.
3196:
2703:(1936-1939) was exceptional because
2192:, are excluded from the definition.
17:
3488:(Princeton University Press, 2002),
3432:(Princeton University Press, 1996).
3180:
3166:
2953:Artist's depiction of the death of
135:
104:
3307:
3034:The Logic of Violence in Civil War
2996:North Atlantic Treaty Organization
136:
3557:
3502:
3437:American Political Science Review
3407:Mats Berdal and David M. Malone,
2622:The two major global ideologies,
2384:being mined by these children in
60:. The present address (URL) is a
2810:Ogaden National Liberation Front
2662:
2527:
170:
100:) to last version by BanyanTree)
57:) to last version by BanyanTree)
3460:40, no. 4 (fall 1996): 546-568.
3394:
3382:
3373:
3364:
3355:
3346:
3337:
3328:
3319:
3298:
3289:
3280:
3271:
3262:
3253:
3244:
3235:
3226:
3217:
3208:
2875:and Middle Eastern states like
2455:better explained the findings.
3458:Journal of Conflict Resolution
3446:39, no. 5 (2002): pp. 515-525.
3277:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 7 & 23
3150:
3137:
3121:
3077:
3068:
2340:civil authority must exercise
13:
1:
3418:World Bank (2003) - 320 pages
3074:Hironaka (2005), pp. 1-2, 4-5
3044:
2442:Opportunity cost of rebellion
2399:A high proportion of primary
2258:, a scholar of civil wars at
2230:
2719:supported opposition leader
2580:occurred almost entirely in
2436:British Mandate of Palestine
2195:Civil wars since the end of
7:
3039:Wars of national liberation
3022:
2890:A checkpoint manned by the
2663:File:Pipistrellobombing.jpg
1589:Military–industrial complex
1068:Operational manoeuvre group
24:of this page, as edited by
10:
3562:
2957:(71 BC) at the end of the
2528:File:Battle of Siffin1.jpg
3524:"What makes a civil war?"
3470:Stephen John et al, eds.
3444:Journal of Peace Research
3425:54, no. 1 (2001): 99-118.
3388:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 48-50
3379:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 50-51
3370:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 37-40
3334:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 59-61
3268:Hironaka, 2005, p. 1, 4-5
3232:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 28-29
2284:African National Congress
2268:Second Sudanese Civil War
1653:Loss-of-strength gradient
510:Combat information center
3509:Map of current conflicts
2617:United States of America
2554:Ann Hironaka, author of
2282:and the struggle of the
2243:tank after rebels enter
1971:Military science fiction
1456:Technology and equipment
877:List of military tactics
3147:, (Volume II-B, p. 121)
3089:Understanding Civil War
2372:Availability of finance
2039:Wartime sexual violence
1795:Full-spectrum dominance
1606:Supply-chain management
139:Template:Two other uses
3411:(Lynne Rienner, 2000).
3286:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 36
2982:Effect of the Cold War
2965:
2903:
2817:
2768:
2688:
2679:'s Nationalists bombs
2673:smaller fighter planes
2634:, defined in the 1815
2551:
2522:Duration of civil wars
2483:
2438:
2430:volunteers during the
2405:gross domestic product
2396:
2321:
2252:
2225:greed versus grievance
2157:
1951:Awards and decorations
1924:Peace through strength
1899:Low-intensity conflict
1533:Conscientious objector
1406:Area of responsibility
3495:Vol. 9, 2003 pp 247+
3361:Hironaka, 2005, p. 16
3352:Hironaka, 2005, pp. 6
3343:Hironaka, 2005, p. 56
3325:Hironaka, 2005, p. 58
3304:Hironaka, 2005, p. 54
3295:Hironaka, 2005, p. 40
3259:Hironaka, 2005, p. 31
3250:Hironaka, 2005, p. 30
3241:Hironaka, 2005, p. 29
3214:Hironaka, 2005, p. 28
2952:
2889:
2807:
2762:
2739:Civil wars since 1945
2666:
2540:(657) in present-day
2531:
2470:
2425:
2379:
2309:
2238:
2147:
543:Torpedo data computer
533:Ship gun fire-control
45:19:37, 4 January 2009
3316:Hironaka, 2005, p. 6
3223:Hironaka, 2005, p. 1
3143:Final Record of the
3118:, March/April 2007,
2474:soldiers during the
2311:Battle of Tewkesbury
2174:regular armed forces
2150:Battle of Gettysburg
2069:Military occupations
1904:Military engineering
1806:Unrestricted Warfare
1663:Force multiplication
561:Military manoeuvrers
3484:Barbara F. Walter,
3477:Monica Duffy Toft,
2820:In sharp contrast,
2750:fragility of states
2599:were recognized as
2432:1947-1948 civil war
2366:regression analysis
2302:Further definitions
2272:Cambodian Civil War
2260:Stanford University
2249:Ethiopian Civil War
2206:forced displacement
1755:Penal military unit
1740:Rules of engagement
1416:Command and control
1041:Operations research
505:Director (military)
495:Fire-control system
265:Command and control
146:Part of a series on
111:← Previous revision
92:(Reverted edits by
49:(Reverted edits by
3493:Global Governance,
3463:Patrick M. Regan.
3110:"Iraq's Civil War"
3029:List of civil wars
2966:
2931:invasion of Kuwait
2904:
2900:Lebanese Civil War
2834:British Somaliland
2818:
2769:
2693:American Civil War
2689:
2636:Congress of Vienna
2552:
2484:
2459:Military advantage
2439:
2397:
2326:Geneva Conventions
2322:
2253:
2247:at the end of the
2158:
2154:American Civil War
1864:Counter-insurgency
1785:Command of the sea
1730:Jewish laws on war
1705:Geneva Conventions
1241:Divide and conquer
1036:Military operation
1001:Tactical objective
500:Fire-control radar
477:Electronic-warfare
3474:(2002), 729 pages
3453:(2000), 251 pages
3404:(1999), 322 pages
3134:November 26, 2006
2976:Angolan Civil War
2959:Third Servile War
2926:international law
2832:, while treating
2765:Finnish Civil War
2701:Spanish Civil War
2685:Spanish Civil War
2480:Chinese Civil War
2315:Wars of the Roses
2264:Correlates of War
2148:Aftermath of the
2142:
2141:
2034:Horses in warfare
1981:Anti-war movement
1884:Gunboat diplomacy
1874:Disaster response
1822:Philosophy of war
1817:Principles of war
1790:Deterrence theory
1735:Right of conquest
1658:Lanchester's laws
1426:Principles of war
1116:Counter-offensive
1101:Military campaign
1006:Target saturation
929:Counterinsurgency
538:Gun data computer
472:Close air support
434:Aircraft carriers
3553:
3467:(2000) 172 pages
3389:
3386:
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3251:
3248:
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3239:
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3230:
3224:
3221:
3215:
3212:
3206:
3203:
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3191:
3178:
3175:
3164:
3154:
3148:
3141:
3135:
3125:
3119:
3103:
3092:
3081:
3075:
3072:
3066:
3059:
3015:(1970-1990) and
2721:Francisco Franco
2697:war of attrition
2677:Francisco Franco
2664:
2644:Habsburg Austria
2556:Neverending Wars
2538:Battle of Siffin
2529:
2476:Battle of Siping
2453:opportunity cost
2280:Northern Ireland
2190:social movements
2134:
2127:
2120:
1889:Humanitarian aid
1827:Security dilemma
1648:Power projection
1431:Economy of force
1411:Chain of command
1126:Defence in depth
1111:Commerce raiding
934:Defeat in detail
270:Defense ministry
174:
165:
164:
155:
143:
142:
123:Newer revision →
101:
90:
69:
67:current revision
59:
58:
46:
42:
41:
3561:
3560:
3556:
3555:
3554:
3552:
3551:
3550:
3536:
3535:
3532:, 20 April 2006
3505:
3397:
3392:
3387:
3383:
3378:
3374:
3369:
3365:
3360:
3356:
3351:
3347:
3342:
3338:
3333:
3329:
3324:
3320:
3315:
3308:
3303:
3299:
3294:
3290:
3285:
3281:
3276:
3272:
3267:
3263:
3258:
3254:
3249:
3245:
3240:
3236:
3231:
3227:
3222:
3218:
3213:
3209:
3204:
3197:
3192:
3181:
3176:
3167:
3155:
3151:
3142:
3138:
3126:
3122:
3115:Foreign Affairs
3104:
3095:
3082:
3078:
3073:
3069:
3060:
3051:
3047:
3025:
2984:
2971:Monroe Doctrine
2921:development aid
2741:
2671:, supported by
2573:
2536:, of which the
2524:
2496:Population size
2357:
2304:
2233:
2138:
2109:
2108:
2059:
2049:
2048:
2014:
2006:
2005:
1946:
1936:
1935:
1909:Multilateralism
1894:Law enforcement
1854:
1844:
1843:
1812:Just war theory
1770:
1760:
1759:
1710:Geneva Protocol
1680:
1670:
1669:
1643:
1633:
1632:
1574:
1564:
1563:
1471:
1461:
1460:
1401:
1391:
1390:
1356:
1346:
1345:
1276:Network-centric
1196:
1186:
1185:
1093:
1083:
1082:
1031:
1021:
1020:
969:Rapid dominance
874:
864:
863:
819:Electromagnetic
728:
718:
717:
704:
657:
605:
581:
571:
570:
566:Combat training
547:
524:
490:Combat systems:
486:
448:
444:Auxiliary ships
410:
370:
366:Military police
332:
255:
245:
244:
184:
158:
157:
156:
151:
134:
133:
132:
131:
130:
115:Latest revision
103:
102:
91:
80:
78:
65:
48:
31:
29:
12:
11:
5:
3559:
3549:
3548:
3534:
3533:
3521:
3516:
3511:
3504:
3503:External links
3501:
3500:
3499:
3497:online version
3489:
3482:
3475:
3468:
3461:
3454:
3447:
3440:
3433:
3426:
3423:World Politics
3419:
3414:Paul Collier,
3412:
3405:
3396:
3393:
3391:
3390:
3381:
3372:
3363:
3354:
3345:
3336:
3327:
3318:
3306:
3297:
3288:
3279:
3270:
3261:
3252:
3243:
3234:
3225:
3216:
3207:
3195:
3179:
3165:
3149:
3136:
3132:New York Times
3120:
3093:
3076:
3067:
3061:Ann Hironaka,
3048:
3046:
3043:
3042:
3041:
3036:
3031:
3024:
3021:
2983:
2980:
2963:Roman Republic
2822:decolonization
2774:United Nations
2740:
2737:
2733:the government
2640:United Kingdom
2605:Ottoman Empire
2572:
2569:
2565:fragile states
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2313:(1471) of the
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2076:
2074:Military terms
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2055:
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2047:
2046:
2041:
2036:
2031:
2026:
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2015:
2012:
2011:
2008:
2007:
2004:
2003:
1998:
1993:
1988:
1983:
1978:
1973:
1968:
1963:
1958:
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1947:
1942:
1941:
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1937:
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1911:
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1861:
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1841:
1836:
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1832:Tripwire force
1824:
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1797:
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1354:Administrative
1352:
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1338:
1333:
1328:
1323:
1318:
1313:
1308:
1303:
1298:
1293:
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1281:New generation
1278:
1273:
1268:
1263:
1258:
1256:Fleet in being
1253:
1248:
1243:
1238:
1233:
1228:
1223:
1218:
1213:
1208:
1203:
1197:
1194:Grand strategy
1192:
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1188:
1187:
1184:
1183:
1181:Scorched earth
1178:
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1080:
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1058:Deep operation
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1038:
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859:Unconventional
856:
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836:
831:
826:
821:
816:
807:
805:Disinformation
802:
797:
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556:Basic training
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482:Reconnaissance
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409:
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401:Special forces
398:
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356:Reconnaissance
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199:Post-classical
196:
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167:
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148:
147:
76:
62:permanent link
27:
16:
15:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
3558:
3547:
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3459:
3455:
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3438:
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3427:
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3420:
3417:
3413:
3410:
3406:
3403:
3399:
3398:
3385:
3376:
3367:
3358:
3349:
3340:
3331:
3322:
3313:
3311:
3301:
3292:
3283:
3274:
3265:
3256:
3247:
3238:
3229:
3220:
3211:
3202:
3200:
3190:
3188:
3186:
3184:
3174:
3172:
3170:
3162:
3159:
3156:See also the
3153:
3146:
3140:
3133:
3130:
3127:Edward Wong,
3124:
3117:
3116:
3111:
3107:
3102:
3100:
3098:
3090:
3086:
3085:Collier, Paul
3080:
3071:
3064:
3058:
3056:
3054:
3049:
3040:
3037:
3035:
3032:
3030:
3027:
3026:
3020:
3019:(1980-2000).
3018:
3014:
3011:(1979–1991),
3010:
3007:(1960-1996),
3006:
3001:
2997:
2993:
2989:
2979:
2977:
2972:
2964:
2960:
2956:
2951:
2947:
2944:
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2932:
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2922:
2918:
2917:
2912:
2911:
2901:
2897:
2893:
2888:
2884:
2882:
2878:
2874:
2870:
2866:
2861:
2857:
2853:
2848:
2844:
2839:
2835:
2831:
2827:
2823:
2815:
2811:
2806:
2802:
2800:
2796:
2792:
2788:
2784:
2780:
2779:Charles Tilly
2775:
2766:
2761:
2757:
2753:
2751:
2747:
2736:
2734:
2730:
2726:
2722:
2718:
2714:
2710:
2706:
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2698:
2694:
2686:
2682:
2678:
2674:
2670:
2665:
2659:
2657:
2653:
2649:
2645:
2641:
2637:
2633:
2629:
2625:
2620:
2618:
2614:
2613:Massachusetts
2610:
2606:
2602:
2598:
2597:Barbary Coast
2594:
2590:
2585:
2583:
2579:
2578:Paris Commune
2568:
2566:
2561:
2557:
2550:
2547:
2543:
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2535:
2530:
2519:
2516:
2512:
2503:
2502:
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2495:
2494:
2493:
2486:
2485:
2481:
2477:
2473:
2469:
2465:
2458:
2457:
2456:
2454:
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2441:
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2437:
2433:
2429:
2424:
2420:
2418:
2413:
2410:
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2392:blood diamond
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2250:
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2239:Remains of a
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2010:
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1999:
1997:
1994:
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1989:
1987:
1984:
1982:
1979:
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1974:
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1969:
1967:
1964:
1962:
1961:Warrior caste
1959:
1957:
1954:
1952:
1949:
1948:
1945:
1940:
1939:
1932:
1931:Show of force
1929:
1925:
1922:
1920:
1919:Peacebuilding
1917:
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1775:Air supremacy
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1715:Islamic rules
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1594:Arms industry
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1234:
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1212:
1211:Broken-backed
1209:
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1199:
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1053:Expeditionary
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947:
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930:
927:
925:
924:Counterattack
922:
920:
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898:
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888:
885:
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868:
867:
860:
857:
855:
852:
850:
849:Psychological
847:
845:
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837:
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832:
830:
827:
825:
822:
820:
817:
815:
811:
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801:
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788:
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785:Combined arms
783:
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624:Fortification
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453:
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439:Landing craft
437:
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344:
342:
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329:
325:
324:Standing army
322:
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217:
216:pike and shot
214:
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154:
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128:
124:
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116:
112:
108:
99:
95:
88:
84:
79:
72:
71:
68:
63:
56:
52:
39:
35:
30:
23:
3527:
3492:
3485:
3478:
3471:
3464:
3457:
3450:
3443:
3436:
3429:
3422:
3415:
3408:
3401:
3395:Bibliography
3384:
3375:
3366:
3357:
3348:
3339:
3330:
3321:
3300:
3291:
3282:
3273:
3264:
3255:
3246:
3237:
3228:
3219:
3210:
3152:
3139:
3131:
3123:
3113:
3106:James Fearon
3088:
3079:
3070:
3062:
2985:
2967:
2914:
2908:
2905:
2898:, 1982. The
2819:
2770:
2754:
2746:World War II
2742:
2704:
2690:
2632:Great Powers
2621:
2600:
2586:
2574:
2560:World War II
2555:
2553:
2513:of whatever
2511:depreciation
2507:
2499:
2490:
2462:
2449:
2445:
2414:
2398:
2389:
2386:Sierra Leone
2358:
2341:
2323:
2296:
2292:South Africa
2276:The Troubles
2256:James Fearon
2254:
2222:
2197:World War II
2194:
2161:
2159:
2044:Fifth column
2024:War resister
2019:Women in war
1914:Peacekeeping
1859:Arms control
1804:
1493:Mobilization
1488:Conscription
1446:Intelligence
1399:Organization
1045:
974:Encirclement
854:Radiological
790:Conventional
644:Subterranean
551:Development:
550:
527:
489:
451:
414:Naval units:
413:
406:Signal corps
373:
351:Intelligence
336:Specialties:
335:
260:Organization
211:Early modern
137:
22:old revision
19:
18:
3009:El Salvador
3000:Berlin Wall
2992:Warsaw Pact
2799:World War I
2687:(1936-1939)
2683:during the
2589:sovereignty
2534:First Fitna
2401:commodities
2245:Addis Ababa
2212:(Myanmar),
2029:War studies
1852:Non-warfare
1780:Appeasement
1745:Martial law
1584:War economy
1523:Transgender
1476:Recruitment
1236:Containment
1121:Culminating
1029:Operational
949:Envelopment
892:Air assault
773:Air cavalry
733:Air defence
713:Information
614:Cold-region
579:Battlespace
528:Historical:
374:Land units:
300:Space force
295:Coast guard
228:Late modern
189:Prehistoric
20:This is an
3546:Civil wars
3161:commentary
3045:References
2896:US Marines
2843:corruption
2812:rebels in
2808:A band of
2731:supported
2624:monarchism
2390:(See also
2361:World Bank
2231:Definition
2178:casualties
2168:between a
2089:War crimes
2079:Operations
1986:Foot drill
1956:Battle cry
1869:deterrence
1528:Harassment
1503:Specialism
1326:Technology
1321:Succession
1266:Liberation
1201:Asymmetric
1136:Empty fort
1047:Blitzkrieg
1016:Withdrawal
979:Investment
758:Camouflage
753:Biological
691:Underwater
666:Amphibious
585:Aerospace
452:Air units:
429:Submarines
238:fourth-gen
233:industrial
221:napoleonic
3013:Nicaragua
3005:Guatemala
2955:Spartacus
2894:army and
2869:Argentina
2830:Sri Lanka
2628:democracy
2487:Grievance
2472:Communist
2417:diasporas
2409:petroleum
2338:insurgent
2288:Apartheid
2162:civil war
1976:War novel
1879:Grey-zone
1839:War games
1800:Overmatch
1750:War crime
1700:Desertion
1690:Ceasefire
1685:Armistice
1572:Logistics
1550:Mercenary
1538:Volunteer
1469:Personnel
1441:Engineers
1386:Sociology
1341:World war
1336:Total war
1316:Strategic
1306:Religious
1291:Political
1286:Perpetual
1261:Irregular
1176:Offensive
1151:Defensive
1146:Deception
1106:Attrition
959:Guerrilla
954:Formation
897:Airbridge
829:Loitering
743:Artillery
396:Artillery
346:Engineers
314:Irregular
285:Air force
77:J.delanoy
28:J.delanoy
3540:Category
3529:BBC News
3023:See also
2988:Cold War
2916:de facto
2892:Lebanese
2865:fragile"
2856:Malaysia
2847:nepotism
2814:Ethiopia
2795:Sardinia
2723:, while
2717:Portugal
2609:Virginia
2601:de facto
2382:diamonds
2342:de facto
2202:Cold War
2182:massacre
1991:War song
1966:War film
1599:Materiel
1518:Children
1498:Training
1436:Medicine
1421:Doctrine
1376:Training
1311:Resource
1296:Princely
1246:Economic
1231:Conquest
1226:Colonial
1221:Cold war
1206:Blockade
1091:Strategy
1063:Maneuver
824:Infantry
780:Chemical
634:Mountain
594:Airborne
457:Fighters
424:Warships
379:Infantry
305:Reserves
253:Military
87:contribs
38:contribs
2910:de jure
2838:Belgium
2791:Prussia
2783:Germany
2709:Germany
2648:Prussia
2638:as the
2615:in the
2595:of the
2593:pirates
2515:capital
2434:in the
2319:England
2104:Writers
2099:Weapons
2064:Battles
2013:Related
2001:Wargame
1996:Uniform
1944:Culture
1725:Perfidy
1720:Justice
1641:Science
1626:Outpost
1579:History
1559:Warrior
1555:Soldier
1543:foreign
1481:counter
1381:Service
1331:Theater
1271:Limited
1251:Endemic
1166:Nuclear
939:Foxhole
914:Cavalry
902:Airdrop
887:Airlift
872:Tactics
844:Nuclear
834:Missile
763:Cavalry
748:Barrage
726:Weapons
686:Surface
467:Command
462:Bombers
419:Frogman
389:Cavalry
361:Medical
328:Militia
310:Regular
290:Marines
204:castles
194:Ancient
182:History
161:outline
94:Maurath
51:Maurath
2943:Taiwan
2939:Cyprus
2881:Israel
2873:Brazil
2860:Angola
2852:Uganda
2816:, 2006
2767:, 1918
2729:Russia
2725:France
2681:Madrid
2656:Russia
2654:, and
2652:France
2546:Muslim
2482:, 1941
2426:Armed
2251:, 1991
2218:Angola
2214:Uganda
2156:, 1863
2084:Sieges
1768:Theory
1508:Morale
1366:Policy
1361:Branch
1141:Mosaic
1131:Fabian
1078:Covert
1011:Trench
996:Screen
919:Charge
909:Battle
882:Aerial
800:Denial
768:Horses
696:Seabed
649:Tunnel
629:Jungle
619:Desert
589:Aerial
3112:] in
2877:Egypt
2826:India
2787:Italy
2713:Italy
2675:, of
2669:plane
2582:Paris
2549:Ummah
2542:Syria
2290:-era
2210:Burma
2186:riots
2170:state
2164:is a
2057:Lists
1513:Women
1451:Ranks
1371:Staff
1301:Proxy
1216:Class
1171:Naval
1156:Depth
991:Swarm
984:Siege
964:Naval
944:Drone
839:Music
814:Robot
810:Drone
795:Cyber
738:Armor
708:Cyber
681:Green
676:Brown
639:Urban
599:Space
520:Radar
515:Sonar
384:Armor
341:Staff
319:Ranks
3017:Peru
2994:and
2986:The
2941:and
2935:Iraq
2879:and
2871:and
2858:and
2845:and
2828:and
2793:and
2785:and
2727:and
2715:and
2705:both
2626:and
2611:and
2532:The
2504:Time
2428:Arab
2336:The
2324:The
2270:and
2241:T-62
2216:and
2094:Wars
1611:Base
1161:Goal
1073:Raid
671:Blue
609:Land
280:Navy
275:Army
127:diff
121:) |
119:diff
107:diff
98:talk
83:talk
55:talk
34:talk
2933:by
2317:in
2286:in
2278:of
2188:or
2166:war
1678:Law
1621:FOB
1616:MOB
661:Sea
153:War
43:at
3542::
3526:,
3309:^
3198:^
3182:^
3168:^
3108:,
3096:^
3052:^
2961:,
2854:,
2735:.
2711:,
2667:A
2650:,
2646:,
2642:,
2567:.
2478:,
2394:.)
2294:.
2160:A
2152:,
1557:/
812:/
326:/
312:/
113:|
109:)
85:|
36:|
2133:e
2126:t
2119:v
163:)
159:(
129:)
125:(
117:(
105:(
96:(
89:)
81:(
70:.
53:(
40:)
32:(
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