Knowledge

Strategic voting

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1697:, it is estimated that 6.5 million people (more than 20% of voters) voted tactically either as a way of preventing a "hard Brexit" or preventing another Conservative government led by the Tactical2017 campaign. Many Green Party candidates withdrew from the race in order to help the Labour Party secure closely fought seats against the Conservatives. This ultimately led to the Conservatives losing seats in the election even though they increased their overall vote share. 2609: 638: 1361: 1137: 778: 1458:, several websites, such as taktikaiszavazas.hu (meaning "strategic voting"), promoted the idea to vote for opposition candidates with the highest probability of winning a given seat. About a quarter of opposition voters adopted this behavior, resulting in a total of 498,000 extra votes gained by opposition parties. A total of 14 extra single seats were taken by several parties and independent candidates. 41: 2455:
candidates but do not rank any less-preferred candidate over any more-preferred one. This form of exaggeration has an effect whenever the voter's honest rating for the intended winner is below that candidate's median rating; or when their honest rating for the intended loser is above it. In other words, half of voters will have an incentive to strategize, while half will not.
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in first place, ranking the candidate whom they like less in last place. If neither candidate is the sincere first or last choice, the voter is using both the compromising and burying strategies at once. If many different groups voters use this strategy, this gives a paradoxical advantage to the candidate generally thought least likely to win.
1672:, organised a similar campaign. Since then strategic voting has become a consideration in British politics as is reflected in by-elections and by the growth in sites such as tacticalvote.co.uk, who encourage strategic voting as a way of defusing the two party system and empowering the individual voter. For the 1676:, voteswap.org attempted to prevent the Conservative Party staying in government by encouraging Green Party supporters to tactically vote for the Labour Party in listed marginal seats. In 2017 swapmyvote.uk was formed to help supporters of all parties swap their votes with people in other constituencies. 2521:
has both a strong incentive and a large vulnerability to burial. Here is a hypothetical example of both factors at the same time: if there are two candidates the most likely to win, the voter can maximize the impact on the contest between these candidates by ranking the candidate the voter likes more
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in which anyone could vote regardless of their party affiliation. Davis supporters were rumored to have voted for Simon because Riordan was perceived as a greater threat to Davis; this, combined with a negative advertising campaign by Davis describing Riordan as a "big-city liberal", allowed Simon to
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won 13 seats of 26 seats in district council and was just one seat short of absolute majority. Nijolė Naujokienė (candidate to the district's mayoral seat from the Labour Party) came short by 0.68 per cent in the mayoral election. Her opponent, Saulius Grinkevičius, had a 22 per cent gap to overcome.
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Typically, this would not be the case unless there were two similar candidates favored by the same set of voters. A strategic vote against a similar rival could result in a favored candidate winning; although if voters for both similar rivals used this strategy, it could cause a candidate favored by
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In the 2016 General Election in Spain, the incentives for voting tactically were much larger than usual, following the rise of the Podemos and Ciudadanos and following the economic crisis and election in 2015. The strategic voters successfully influenced the outcome of the election, despite a record
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the differences between candidates: all above-average candidates are given perfect scores or ranks, while all below-average candidates are given the lowest possible score. This has the advantage of making it less likely for a disliked candidate to win, but the disadvantage that the winning candidate
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Compression is a strategy where a voter refuses to disclose which of two candidates they honestly prefer (i.e. both candidates are equally-ranked). Compression is unique in that it involves casting a sincere vote, i.e. one that does not lie about which candidate a voter prefers (only "how much" they
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Strategic voters are faced with the initial tactic as to how highly to score their second-choice candidate. The voter may want to retain expression of a high preference of their favorite candidate over their second choice. But that does not allow the same voter to express a high preference of their
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set up GROT (Get Rid Of Them) a strategic voter campaign whose aim was to help prevent the Conservative Party from gaining a 5th term in office. This coalition was drawn from individuals in all the main opposition parties, and many who were not aligned with any party. While it is hard to prove that
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Because strategic voting relies heavily on voters' perception of how other voters intend to vote, campaigns in electoral methods that promote compromise frequently focus on affecting voters' perception of campaign viability. Most campaigns craft refined media strategies to shape the way voters see
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due to the separate votes for party-lists and local single-winner electoral district candidates. The vote for party-lists is considered sincere if the party vote share is significantly above the 5% electoral threshold in Germany. In Germany the share of strategic voters was found around 30%, which
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shows that no voting system has a single "always-best" strategy, i.e. one that always maximizes a voter's satisfaction with the result, regardless of other voters' ballots. This implies all voting systems can sometimes encourage voters to strategize. However, weaker guarantees can be shown under
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Such a strategy involves "semi-honest exaggeration". Unlike in most voting systems, voters rarely (if ever) have an incentive to lie about which of two candidates they prefer, which makes such far milder than under other voting systems. Voters exaggerate the difference between a certain pair of
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elections, where the first preference is all that counts (and thus lesser-evil voting is the only effective kind of strategic voting). The most typical tactic is to assess which two candidates are frontrunners (most likely to win) and to vote for the preferred one of those two, even if a third
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Tactical voting may occur in isolation or as part of an organized campaign. In the former situation, electors make their own judgement as to the most effective way to (typically) prevent the election of a specific candidate or party. In the latter, one or more parties or groups encourage their
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Sir John Curtice, Professor of Politics at Strathclyde University, highlighted how many Labour voters switched to the Liberal Democrats in the Tiverton and Honiton by-election, to topple a Tory majority of 24,000. 'Labour and Liberal Democrat voters are ganging up against the Tories, voting
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This rational voter model assumes that the voter's utility of the election result is dependent only on which candidate wins and not on any other aspect of the election, for example showing support for a losing candidate in the vote tallies. The model also assumes the voter chooses how to vote
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for next election); voters have a set of sincere preferences, or utility rankings, by which to rate candidates; voters have some knowledge of each other's preferences; and voters understand how best to use strategic voting to their advantage. The extent to which this model resembles real-life
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system at parliamentary and district levels, most of strategic voting takes place in single-member constituencies (or districts in mayoral elections). These constituencies have two-round system when no candidate wins more than 50 per cent of the votes in the first round. A notable example of
1803:. The strategy to nominate Simon (if in fact it was a reality), was successful, as he lost in the general election against Davis. However, it resulted in the lowest gubernatorial general election turnout in modern California political history, thus requiring fewer signatures to qualify a 2465:
and Laraki noted that under majority judgment, many voters have no opportunity or incentive to use strategy. They argued based on a simulation that the highest median methods minimized the number of voters with an incentive to misrepresent their opinions, among the methods they studied.
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to show that, if unstrategic voters only approved candidates whom they considered "very good" or better, strategic voters would be able to sway the result frequently, but that if unstrategic voters approved all candidates they considered "good" or better, approval was the second most
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Theoretical results indicate that, under two-round runoff voting with three candidates, strategic equilibria exist in which only two candidates receive votes. It has been shown experimentally that voters are influenced by a candidate's perceived likelihood of winning the election.
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Range: Calculate the average utility of all candidates. Vote the maximum points for all candidates that have a higher-than-average utility; vote the minimum points for all candidates that have a lower-than-average utility; vote any value for a candidate with a utility equal to the
1845:. (Puerto Ricans have the chance to vote by party or by candidate. Separatists voted under their ideology but for the center party's candidate, which caused major turmoil.) After a recount and a trial, Acevedo VilĂĄ was certified as governor of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. 1309:
responded by asking voters to "lend" their votes to his party, suggesting that the Liberal Party was bound to lose the election regardless of strategic voting. This failed to prevent the Conservatives from winning the election, although they did not win a majority of seats.
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Organized tactical voting in which a political party mounts a campaign calling on its supporters not to vote for their own favored candidates, but for those of a party which it perceives as more likely to defeat a common opponent, is less common. An example is the
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low turnout of 66.5%. In a natural experiment in Andalusia 9% voted strategically when having opportunity, strategic behavior did not increase with time, and did not affect surrounding electoral areas, under the assumption that strategic voting happens only for
2328:, they found that range voting had the highest (worst) strategic vulnerability, while their own method majority judgment had the lowest (best). Further investigation would be needed to be sure that this result remained true with different sets of candidates. 2477:, because the only option is to approve of a candidate or not, optimal strategic voting rarely includes ranking a less-preferred candidate over a more-preferred candidate. However, strategy is in fact inevitable when a voter decides their "approval cutoff". 1301:(NDP). In the 2004 election, the governing Liberal Party was able to convince many New Democratic voters to vote Liberal to avoid a Conservative government. In the 2006 elections, the Liberal Party attempted the same strategy, with Prime Minister 1577:
with the questions asked in a persuasive way took place, with the oppositing recommending to not take the referendal card. The voter turnout of the referendum is 40%, making it non-binding and merely a suggestion for all the future governments.
1565:, websites like pogonimypis.pl (meaning "We'll chase the PiS") gave information for which voters should vote for in their constituency in order to maximize the chance of the opposition winning the extra seat. The campaign was a success, with 3692: 2582:
has a strong incentive towards free riding, a kind of decapitation strategy. If a voter expects their favorite candidate will almost-certainly be elected, insincerely ranking the second candidate first does not hurt the favored candidate.
1507:(who came in second place). Monika Navickienė eventually won the constituency by around 900 votes. At a district level, an example could be Kėdainiai district's mayoral election in the 2015 municipal elections. In the first round, the 2259:
Strategic voting is highly dependent on the voting method being used. A strategic vote which improves a voter's satisfaction under one method could make no change or lead to a less-satisfying result under another method.
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Moreover, although by the Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem no deterministic single-winner voting method is immune to strategic voting in all cases, some methods' results are more resistant to strategic voting than others'.
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GROT swung the election itself, it did attract significant media attention and brought strategic voting into the mainstream for the first time in UK politics. In 2001, the Democratic Left's successor organisation, the
1015:) candidate, but not with the intent of getting them elected. Instead, the voter intends for the weak candidate to eliminate a strong alternative, who would otherwise keep the voter's preferred candidate from winning. 3540: 1122:. Exaggeration can be effective in all other systems. (Requiring strict rankings removes the opportunity for compression, but replaces it with opportunities for turkey-raising, lesser-evil voting, and/or burial.) 1837:'s candidate of that year, was unpopular across much of the territory due to large corruption schemes and the privatization of public corporations. To prevent Rossell from winning, other factions supported the 2062: 3391:
Stephenson, Laura B., et al., editors. The Many Faces of Strategic Voting: Tactical Behavior in Electoral Systems Around the World. University of Michigan Press, 2018. JSTOR, www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctvh4zhzr.
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has seen strategic voting regularly occur in several elections, including one party explicitly or implicitly encouraging voters to vote for a candidate other than theirs. This happened first in 1996 in the
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never incentivize a voter to rank or rate a lesser evil above one's favorite, they may still incentivize voters to rank or rate the lesser evil higher to stop a greater evil from winning. For instance, in
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instead of Johnson, so that Hunt—seen as "a lower-energy challenger"—would finish in second place, allowing an easier defeat in the party vote. Strategic voting was expected to play a major role in the
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Approval: Calculate the average utility of all candidates. Vote for all candidates that have a higher-than-average utility; do not vote for any candidates that have a lower-than-average utility.
1639:. As the members were elected in multi-member districts, the parties urged their supporters to vote for a party-nominated candidate according to criteria, such as the last digit of the voter's 2240:
their candidacy. During this phase, there can be an analogous effect where campaign donors and activists may decide whether or not to support candidates tactically with their money and time.
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A voter ranks an alternative lower in the hope of defeating it. For example, a voter may insincerely rank a perceived strong alternative last in order to help their preferred alternative win.
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An intermediate case also exists, where a non-party campaign attempts to coordinate tactical voting, typically with the goal of defeating a certain party. Cases of this include the Canadian
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decreased to 9% if only non-allied party candidates were contenders for the electoral district winner. In a contentious election year the share of strategic voters increased to around 45%.
1218:, under which certain Liberal candidates would stand aside in favor of Labour ones, again to ensure that the Conservative candidates would not win on the basis of a split anti-Tory vote. 3374: 1822:. In addition to running ads highlighting Akin's conservative stances, McCaskill also directed messages to surrogates to tell Akin to run ads which would increase his primary polling. 2276:) voting schemes. Game theory can also be used to analyze the pros and cons of different methods. For instance, when electors vote for their own preferences rather than tactically, 3201: 3064: 1841:'s candidate. The elections were close; statehood advocates won a seat in the U.S. house of representatives and majorities in both legislative branches, but lost governance to 895:, a voter may have an incentive to strategically approve a lesser evil that they dislike. Although not considered favorite betrayal, this is also a type of compromise strategy. 3531: 3035:
Duverger's Law of Plurality Voting The Logic of Party Competition in Canada, India, the United Kingdom and the United States, 2009, André Blais, Bernard Grofman, Shaun Bowler
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in the United States), candidates put disproportionate resources into competing strongly in the first few stages, because those stages affect the reaction of later stages.
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poll suggesting that 19% of voters would be doing so tactically. 49% of strategic voters said they would do so in the hope of stopping a party whose views they opposed.
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In the 2006 local elections in London, strategic voting was promoted by sites such as London Strategic Voter in a response to national and international issues.
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is vulnerable to three of the four kinds of strategy discussed above. It is vulnerable to lesser-evil voting; to turkey-raising; and to strategic truncation.
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According to a 2020 study, older voters in the UK vote strategically more than younger voters, and richer voters vote more strategically than poorer voters.
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to determine the final two candidates for the party vote, it was suggested that front-runner Boris Johnson's campaign encouraged some of its MPs to back
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is voting in consideration of possible ballots cast by other voters in order to maximize one's satisfaction with the election's results. For example, in
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Plurality: Vote for the candidate with the highest prospective rating. This is different from choosing the best of the frontrunners, which is a common
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Some forms of STV allow strategic voters to gain an advantage by listing a candidate who is very likely to lose in first place. This strategy, called
4332: 1606:, won. Prominent Slovenian public opinion researchers claimed that such proportions of strategic voting had not been recorded anywhere else before. 4199: 4423: 4195: 3378: 1819: 2231:
pivot probabilities. Because of these additional requirements, such equilibria may in practice be less widely applicable than the strategies.
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approach to voting. In rare cases, the highest prospective rating can belong to a weak candidate (one with a low probability of winning).
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from capturing such seats. This conclusion was reached by comparing results to the demographics of constituencies and polling districts.
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Myerson and Weber also describe voting equilibria that require all voters use the optimal strategy and all voters share a common set of
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Borda: Rank the candidates in decreasing order preference (decreasing order of utility). This is the sincere ranking of the candidates.
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one party asked in several elections their voters to vote for another allied party to help this party cross the electoral threshold.
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VoteRoll is a blog roll voting system that offers tiered strategic voting to develop statistics for people voting online since 2010.
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by increasing the rating for a candidate they dislike, in hopes of defeating a candidate they dislike even more. For example, under
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and Weber. The strategy is broadly applicable to a number of single-winner voting methods that are additive point methods, such as
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In Northern Ireland, it is believed that (predominantly Protestant) Unionist voters in Nationalist strongholds have voted for the
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often organize to divide their votes across different tickets, avoiding the concentration of votes on one or a few candidates. In
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favors those candidates with strong core support but otherwise narrower appeal due to holding more uncompromising positions.
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asking New Democrats and Greens to vote for the Liberal Party to prevent a Conservative win. The New Democratic Party leader
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over Harper's Conservatives, observers noted that the increase in support for the Liberals at the expense of the NDP and
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in France shows strategic voting in the first round, due to considerations which candidate will reach the second round.
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prove that any useful single-winner voting method based on preference ranking is prone to some kind of manipulation.
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can create opportunities for strategic voting, as can small electoral districts (e.g. those used most often with the
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Blais, André; Labbé-St-Vincent, Simon; Laslier, Jean-François; Sauger, Nicolas; Van der Straeten, Karine (2011).
3377:[Researchers on the Polls: Tactical Voting Won] (in Slovenian). Delo.si. 12 December 2011. Archived from 3337: 2531: 1525: 1861:. That is, voters are only voting in order to make an impact on one election at a time (not, say, to build the 1546: 1330: 1314: 1294: 1290: 1234: 1230: 1162: 799: 343: 3045: 2450:
Top-rate all candidates with above-average utility, and bottom-rate all candidates with below-average utility.
1599: 4382: 3970: 2512: 1271: 2559:. Strategy in Condorcet methods can become highly complex, but almost always involves burial or truncation. 2924: 2573: 1632: 1488: 1318: 1283: 1226: 1210:(incidentally, the predecessors of the Liberal Democrats from the previous example) and the then-insurgent 620: 280: 3842: 2401:
There is a common misconception that instant-runoff is not affected by a kind of strategic voting called
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Plurality: Vote for the most preferred (highest utility) candidate. This is the sincere plurality vote.
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methods show typically less strategic voting, with the exception of electoral thresholds, which cause
1786:(a self-financed businessman) vied for a chance to compete against the unpopular incumbent Democratic 4116: 1222: 714: 493: 252: 4261:"Free Riding and Vote Management under Proportional Representation by the Single Transferable Vote" 3779: 2627: 2579: 2359: 2187:
Range: Vote the maximum (minimum) for all candidates with a positive (negative) prospective rating.
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is sufficiently common for any method based on first preferences to produce two-party domination.
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or the voter's birth month. This maximized the opposition's seat gains and resulted in the ruling
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Plurality, runoff, Hare, minimax, Borda, approval, and range are all vulnerable to compromising.
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Balinski, Michel; Laraki, Rida (2011). "Election by Majority Judgment: Experimental Evidence".
3563: 2847: 1854: 1787: 1732: 1574: 508: 409: 290: 3921:"Strategic Voting under Proportional Representation: Threshold Insurance in German Elections" 2899:
Raising Turkeys: An Extension and Devastating Application of Myerson-Weber Voting Equilibrium
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Most cardinal, single-winner voting systems in large elections encourage similar strategies:
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The gain in expected utility can be maximized by choosing a vote with suitable values of
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Academic analysis of strategic voting is based on the rational voter model, derived from
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is stronger than in most countries. One high-profile example of strategic voting was the
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says that systems vulnerable to this strategy will typically (though not always) develop
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In Malta's STV the two-party system can cause strategic voting away from third parties.
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pivot probabilities are all equal and the rules for the specific voting methods become:
1442:'s Project ThunderGo. The anti-establishment camp gained 29 seats, a historical record. 4189: 4124: 4071: 4063: 4016: 3940: 3865: 3820: 3812: 3663: 3532:"Green Party pulls out of crucial general election seat to help Labour beat the Tories" 3480: 3432: 2731: 2297: 1636: 1616: 1431: 1207: 831: 718: 702: 615: 574: 164: 149: 103: 98: 71: 3150: 3139:
Als die CDU noch Leihstimmen zu vergeben hatte, Christopher Pramstaller, 2013 (German)
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In the second round, Saulius Grinkevičius won by around 8 per cent (and 1,600 votes).
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strategy-resistant method of the ones they studied, after majority judgment itself.
2430: 4226: 4134: 4047: 4036:"Strategic Vote Choice in One-round and Two-round Elections: An Experimental Study" 4000: 3932: 3891: 3857: 3802: 3794: 3687: 3645: 3422: 3414: 2862: 2793: 2715: 2637: 2622: 2536: 2380: 2321: 2313: 2277: 2248: 2244: 1894:. The strategy is optimal in the sense that the strategy will maximize the voter's 1811: 1354: 1050: 1033: 1029: 984: 980: 967: 905: 900: 880: 518: 447: 399: 242: 228: 4230: 4138: 3683:"Sir John Curtice: Tories in trouble but Keir Starmer still missing crucial spark" 1895: 4334:
Making Votes Count : Strategic Coordination in the World's Electoral Systems
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France's election: 'strategic' voting among Montreal's French citizens, CTV News
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Calculate the expected (average) utility of the election result (the average
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losing 10 seats, receiving the lowest share of seats in history at the time.
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method, performed an initial investigation of this question using a set of
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Approval: Vote for all candidates that have a positive prospective rating.
1687: 1631:, strategic voting was implemented by the opposition parties, such as the 4260: 3720:"Tactical voting could defeat Tories in once safe seats, campaigners say" 2539:
are vulnerable to 3 of the 4 kinds of strategy listed above, because the
2518: 2336:. The method for seat allocation can cause strategic voting, for example 2333: 2309: 2269: 1883: 1833:'s 2004 elections were affected by strategic voting. Pedro Rosselló, the 1830: 1779: 1705: 1590:, 30% of voters voted tactically. Public polls predicted an easy win for 1542: 1306: 1302: 1279: 1025: 963: 918: 579: 462: 442: 169: 4117:"An Examination of Ranked-Choice Voting in the United States, 2004–2022" 4067: 4035: 4020: 3988: 3807: 2787: 2758:
Gaming the vote: why elections aren't fair (and what we can do about it)
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Choosing a candidate other than preferred to undercut a less desired one
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Borda: Rank the candidates in decreasing order of prospective rating.
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supporters to vote tactically in an effort to influence the outcome.
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still incentivize truncation or bullet voting in some situations.
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has been used to search for some kind of "minimally manipulable" (
2057:{\displaystyle R_{i}=\sum _{j\neq i}\;p_{ij}\cdot (u_{i}-u_{j})\,} 1364:
Stenciling on a Parisian sidewalk ahead of the first round of the
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may not be the one most desired out of the above-average options.
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Plurality-runoff family (RCV, two-round, and partisan primaries)
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contributes to a two-party system, where the observed effect of
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methods tend to be difficult to manipulate in the absence of an
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strategic voting at the parliamentary level could be the 10th
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was partially due to strategic voting for Liberal candidates.
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Shikano, Susumu; Herrmann, Michael; Thurner, Paul W. (2009).
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The Mathematics of Voting and Elections: A Hands-On Approach
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simulated elections based on the results from a poll of the
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Federal Election 2015: Strategic voters challenge democracy
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The gain in expected utility for a given vote is given by:
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will be tied for the most total points to win the election.
1570: 4088: 3890:. Studies in Public Choice. Vol. 25. pp. 13–54. 3888:
In Situ and Laboratory Experiments on Electoral Law Reform
2498:
Balinski and Laraki used rated ballots from a poll of the
2387:
Instant-runoff voting § Resistance to tactical voting
2373:
is the observation that this kind of strategic voting and
2348: 2304:
which they had carried out using rated ballots. Comparing
1866:
elections is the subject of considerable academic debate.
1746:
In 2024, tactical voting is again being advocated for the
3403:"Strategic voting in proportional representation systems" 3128:
On the Extent of Strategic Voting, Jorg L. Spenkuch, 2012
2495:
was the method least amenable to tactical perturbations.
1902:
individually and not in collaboration with other voters.
4361:
The Proof of the Gibbard–Satterthwaite Theorem Revisited
3754:"How I Helped Todd Akin Win — So I Could Beat Him Later" 3310: 1874:
An example of a rational voter strategy is described by
1537:. From 1996 until 2005, it was a regular feature in the 1499:'s candidates endorsed their supporters to vote for the 1374:" (strategic voting) as a reason for voters to vote for 4387:
VotePair: Uniting Progressives Through Strategic Voting
2923:. Voting with Bidirectional Elimination. Archived from 3918: 2814: 2513:
Borda count § Potential for tactical manipulation
1274:, strategic voting was encouraged by opponents of the 3375:"Raziskovalci o anketah: zmagalo taktično glasovanje" 3338:"Co zrobić z kartą do referendum? Najlepiej nie brać" 2825:. Mathematical World. American Mathematical Society. 2532:
Condorcet method § Potential for tactical voting
2076: 1977: 1438:, the practices of strategic voting were expanded by 2604: 1394:
allows to estimate the share of strategic voters in
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in Canada is weaker than in other countries. In the
4163:
Majority judgment: measuring, ranking, and electing
4115:Graham-Squire, Adam; McCune, David (12 June 2023). 4114: 767: 3989:"A Theory of Strategic Voting in Runoff Elections" 3843:"Manipulation of voting schemes: A general result" 3530: 2152: 2056: 2320:with two different absolute approval thresholds, 1919:= the number of points to be voted for candidate 1898:when the number of voters is sufficiently large. 1297:, strategic voting was a concern for the federal 4405: 4213:Hershbach, Dudley; Brams, Steven (25 May 2001). 3259:"Increase in split votes, election figures show" 2424: 1723:In an example of individuals voting tactically, 756:operations, which are common in countries using 3582:"Did Boris's dirty tricks help Hunt over Gove?" 3561: 3063:Tremonti, Anna Maria (Host) (15 October 2015). 2915: 2786:Volić, Ismar (2 April 2024). "Duverger's law". 1799:win the primary despite a last-minute business 1774:. During the Republican primaries, Republicans 1735:candidate in order to ensure the defeat of the 1329:among centrist and left-leaning parties in the 4306: 4212: 3885: 3562:Cartwright, James; Smith, Lilly (6 May 2018). 3471:"民é€Čé»šă€Œæ‡·æŸ”ć–Šè©±ă€é…ç„šçź—èšˆé«˜ć˜‰ç‘œïŒæ†‚ć§šæ–‡æ™șćž¶èĄ°è­°ć“Ąéžèˆ‰äčŸćžźïŒŸć°‘ćș·æˆ°æƒ…柀 20180815" 2986:Could Democrats Decide the Winner in Michigan? 2845: 2701: 2506: 1545:throughout its existence and from 2005 in the 3245:"Give your vote more oomph- Strategic voting" 2254: 1317:, strategic voting was primarily against the 1256: 660: 3778:Myerson, Roger B.; Weber, Robert J. (1993). 3777: 3631: 3608:"Who's tactically voting, and why? | YouGov" 3230:"Sensacija: Darbo partija prarado Kėdainius" 3031: 3029: 2995: 2954:"Analysis of Crossover and Strategic Voting" 2952:R. Michael Alvarez; Jonathan Nagler (1999). 2364:Lesser-evil voting is exceedingly common in 2191:Pivot probabilities are rarely estimated in 1549:electorate which has been won solely by the 1369: 1245:with the goal of opposing and weakening the 4198:) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list ( 4089:The Non-majority Rule Desk (29 July 2011). 3500: 3498: 3188:"2016 m. Seimo rinkimĆł rezultatai - VRK.lt" 3001: 2947: 2945: 2674: 2567: 1931:= the voter's gain in utility if candidate 1702:2019 Conservative Party leadership election 1165:. Unsourced material may be challenged and 1019:is a well-known example of such a strategy. 369:Parallel voting (Mixed member majoritarian) 4206: 4194:: CS1 maint: location missing publisher ( 3957: 3335: 2820: 2755: 2125: 2007: 1098:In one common form, the strategy involves 1011:A voter gives a high rank to a weak (i.e. 667: 653: 334:Mixed single vote (positive vote transfer) 272:Proportional and semi-proportional systems 4128: 3806: 3751: 3649: 3426: 3336:Przyborska, Katarzyna (12 October 2023). 3026: 2905:. American Political Science Association. 2447:if the election was repeated many times). 2234: 2149: 2053: 1869: 1333:. Following the landslide victory of the 1185:Learn how and when to remove this message 818:Learn how and when to remove this message 3881: 3879: 3752:Mccaskill, Sen Claire (11 August 2015). 3632:Eggers, Andrew C.; Vivyan, Nick (2020). 3495: 2942: 2760:(1. ed.). New York: Hill and Wang. 1522:mixed-member proportional representation 1392:mixed-member proportional representation 1359: 4283: 3837: 2918:"Voting with Bidirectional Elimination" 2574:Single transferable vote § Tactics 2360:Plurality voting § Tactical voting 2349:First-preference (core support) methods 1848: 4424:Party-list proportional representation 4406: 4376:Tactical Voting Can Be a Weak Strategy 3986: 3717: 3354: 2895: 2821:Hodge, J.K.; Klima, R.E. (2018). "6". 2695: 2562: 2459:neither of these voter groups to win. 2292:and Rida Laraki, the inventors of the 1772:2002 California gubernatorial election 1481:2016 Lithuanian parliamentary election 1430:, voters supporting candidates of the 1420:party-list proportional representation 1404:party-list proportional representation 713:stronger conditions. Examples include 3876: 3787:The American Political Science Review 3680: 3242: 3090: 2891: 2889: 2887: 2792:. Princeton University Press. Ch. 2. 2785: 2781: 2779: 2777: 2681:. Blackwell (Yale U.P. in the U.S.). 1729:2022 Tiverton and Honiton by-election 1588:2011 Slovenian parliamentary election 1456:2018 Hungarian parliamentary election 4286:"Computer counting in STV elections" 3468: 3400: 2992:28 Feb. 2012. Retrieved 9 Dec. 2017. 1204:1906 United Kingdom general election 1163:adding citations to reliable sources 1130: 899:Most affects: Especially strong for 800:adding citations to reliable sources 771: 4330: 4258: 3450:æž—é•·ćż—. "ç«‹ć§”éžèˆ‰äž­æ°‘é€Čé»šçš„ă€ŒèŻćˆç«¶éžç­–ç•„ă€ïŒš ä»„ćŒ—é«˜ć…©ćž‚ç‚ș䟋". 2839: 2353: 1820:2012 US Senate election in Missouri 1805:recall that ultimately ousted Davis 1731:in the UK tactically supported the 1641:National Identification Card Number 1493:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union 1483:. To prevent independent candidate 1436:2016 Hong Kong Legislative Election 13: 4284:Woodall, Douglas R. (March 1994). 4159: 3355:Tilles, Daniel (15 October 2023). 2884: 2774: 2369:candidate is preferred over both. 1859:short-term instrumentally rational 1684:Social Democratic and Labour Party 1563:2023 Polish parliamentary election 229:Plurality and majoritarian systems 14: 4435: 4389:. 20 October 2004. Archived from 4369: 4166:. Laraki, Rida. Cambridge, Mass. 3695:from the original on 24 June 2022 3638:American Political Science Review 3285:"Labour gets tactical with Epsom" 3091:Press, Jordan (20 October 2015). 2848:"Strategic voting and nomination" 2704:"Strategic voting and nomination" 2500:2007 French presidential election 2417:that pass later-no-harm but fail 2302:2007 French presidential election 1650: 1366:2017 French presidential election 1251:2021 Russian legislative election 339:Scorporo (negative vote transfer) 3681:Cecil, Nicholas (24 June 2022). 3543:from the original on 26 May 2022 2607: 1753: 1586:According to some media, in the 1293:, and to a lesser extent in the 1272:1999 Ontario provincial election 1214:(founded in 1900) agreed on the 1135: 776: 768:Common types of strategic voting 736:With large electoral districts, 636: 39: 4300: 4277: 4252: 4153: 4108: 4082: 4027: 3980: 3951: 3912: 3831: 3780:"A Theory of Voting Equilibria" 3771: 3745: 3711: 3674: 3634:"Who Votes More Strategically?" 3625: 3600: 3574: 3555: 3523: 3462: 3449: 3394: 3385: 3367: 3348: 3329: 3303: 3277: 3251: 3236: 3222: 3208: 3194: 3180: 3166: 3157: 3143: 3132: 3121: 3110: 3084: 3056: 3038: 2978: 2896:Monroe, Burt (September 2001). 2590:, is essentially eliminated by 2470:second choice over any others. 2435:Approval voting § Strategy 1526:electoral system of New Zealand 1241:campaign organized by Russia's 1126: 787:needs additional citations for 4359:Svensson, Lars-Gunnar (1999). 3958:Pukelsheim, Friedrich (2007). 3718:Walker, Peter (17 June 2024). 3243:Smith, Phil (28 August 2017). 2916:Matthew S. Cook (March 2011). 2909: 2846:Green-Armytage, James (2014). 2749: 2702:Green-Armytage, James (2014). 2668: 2098: 2080: 2050: 2024: 1825: 1629:1995 Legislative Yuan election 1515: 1402:Due to electoral threshold in 344:Mixed ballot transferable vote 1: 4231:10.1126/science.292.5521.1449 4139:10.1080/00344893.2023.2221689 2663: 2425:Cardinal single-winner voting 2266:Gibbard–Satterthwaite theorem 2262:Arrow's impossibility theorem 1758:Strategic voting in the US's 1541:electorate, which was won by 1028:and multi-round systems like 4307:Markus Schulze (June 2004). 4040:Political Research Quarterly 3993:The American Economic Review 3479:(in Chinese). Archived from 3317:(in Polish). 14 October 2023 3002:Issacharoff, Samuel (2007). 2756:Poundstone, William (2008). 2525: 2431:Score voting § Strategy 2343: 2199:. In this special case, the 1909:candidates and a voter let: 1857:. In this model, voters are 1633:Democratic Progressive Party 1461: 1409: 1284:Ontario New Democratic Party 1227:Conservative Party of Canada 1225:campaign, which opposed the 886:While methods that pass the 621:End-to-end verifiable voting 281:Single non-transferable vote 7: 3967:4th ECPR General Conference 3896:10.1007/978-1-4419-7539-3_2 2675:Farquharson, Robin (1969). 2600: 2507:Ranked single-winner voting 1839:Partido Popular Democratico 1581: 1569:losing the majority in the 1520:Since New Zealand moved to 1325:, which had benefited from 715:one-dimensional preferences 479:Voting patterns and effects 10: 4440: 4339:Cambridge University Press 4324: 4215:"The Science of Elections" 3008:. Thompson West. pp.  2571: 2545:sincere favorite criterion 2541:Condorcet winner criterion 2529: 2510: 2428: 2384: 2357: 2255:Influence of voting method 1944:= the (voter's perceived) 1760:first-past-the-post voting 1596:Slovenian Democratic Party 1533:, and then in 1999 in the 1445: 1396:first-past-the-post voting 1385: 1257:Examples in real elections 1243:Anti-Corruption Foundation 888:sincere favorite criterion 829: 301:Single transferable voting 238:First-past-the-post voting 4160:L., Balinski, M. (2010). 3937:10.1080/01402380902779147 3651:10.1017/S0003055419000820 2867:10.1007/s00355-013-0725-3 2855:Social Choice and Welfare 2720:10.1007/s00355-013-0725-3 2708:Social Choice and Welfare 2543:is incompatible with the 2197:zero information strategy 1622: 1556: 1348: 1261: 1223:Anything But Conservative 494:Voting advice application 324:Mixed-member proportional 253:Plurality-at-large voting 4365:Fisher, Stephen (2001). 4052:10.1177/1065912909358583 3987:Bouton, Laurent (2013). 3419:10.1177/1354068810389638 2714:(1). Springer: 111–138. 2628:Keynesian beauty contest 2580:single transferable vote 2568:Single transferable vote 1674:2015 UK general election 1657:1997 UK general election 1609: 1598:; however, his opponent 1424:largest remainder method 1286:vote to a historic low. 1276:Progressive Conservative 1216:Gladstone-MacDonald pact 750:single transferable vote 359:Rural–urban proportional 354:Dual-member proportional 329:Additional member system 3469:TVBS (15 August 2018). 2549:participation criterion 2411:participation criterion 2330:Party-list proportional 2274:incentive compatibility 1594:, the candidate of the 1497:Social Democratic Party 1266:The observed effect of 723:dichotomous preferences 4005:10.1257/aer.103.4.1248 3925:West European Politics 3401:Lago, Ignacio (2012). 3202:"Balsavimo rezultatai" 2789:Making Democracy Count 2491:magazine in 2001 that 2340:favors large parties. 2235:Pre-election influence 2154: 2124: 2058: 1870:Myerson–Weber strategy 1855:rational choice theory 1788:Governor of California 1573:. At the same time, a 1382: 1370: 1235:2015 federal elections 1057:and all commonly-used 952:poison pill amendments 904:, to a lesser degree: 721:is strategyproof) and 509:Passive electioneering 410:Straight-ticket voting 4393:on 17 September 2008. 3706:tactically,' he said. 3564:"Flipping the Script" 2485:argued in a paper in 2396:Instant runoff voting 2282:instant-runoff voting 2193:political forecasting 2155: 2104: 2059: 1835:New Progressive Party 1748:2024 general election 1711:2019 General Election 1695:2017 general election 1363: 1315:2015 federal election 1291:2004 federal election 977:Instant-runoff voting 873:instant-runoff voting 863:A voter supports the 746:apportionment methods 364:Majority bonus system 349:Alternative Vote Plus 248:Instant-runoff voting 3342:KrytykaPolityczna.pl 3005:The Law of Democracy 2648:Strategic nomination 2483:Dudley R. Herschbach 2375:strategic nomination 2074: 1975: 1849:Rational voter model 1810:Similarly, in 2012, 1670:New Politics Network 1524:voting in 1996, the 1299:New Democratic Party 1159:improve this section 796:improve this article 733:are strategyproof). 315:Mixed-member systems 3976:on 7 February 2009. 3163:taktikaiszavazas.hu 3069:(Radio broadcast). 3050:The Huffington Post 2930:on 20 November 2011 2633:Lesser of two evils 2588:Woodall free riding 2563:Multi-winner voting 1843:AnĂ­bal Acevedo VilĂĄ 1764:presidential system 1602:, the candidate of 1061:systems, including 869:first-past-the-post 865:lesser of two evils 856:, sometimes called 742:electoral threshold 643:Politics portal 405:Split-ticket voting 4331:Cox, Gary (1997). 3052:. 18 October 2015. 2798:10.2307/jj.7492228 2150: 2054: 2006: 1962:prospective rating 1686:(SDLP) to prevent 1617:district magnitude 1553:party since 2005. 1531:Wellington Central 1489:Liberal Movement's 1432:pro-democracy camp 1383: 1077:(sometimes called 994:(sometimes called 842:(sometimes called 839:Lesser-evil voting 832:Lesser-evil voting 744:. However, biased 703:lesser-evil voting 616:Voter registration 575:Voter intimidation 99:Write-in candidate 72:Provisional ballot 4348:978-0-521-58527-9 4288:. McDougall Trust 4259:Schulze, Markus. 3905:978-1-4419-7538-6 3758:POLITICO Magazine 3539:. 25 April 2017. 3537:independent.co.uk 3381:on 25 April 2012. 3361:Notes From Poland 3291:. 8 November 2023 3265:. 8 November 2023 3019:978-1-58778-460-6 2832:978-1-4704-4287-3 2807:978-0-691-24882-0 2767:978-0-8090-4892-2 2688:978-0-631-12460-3 2537:Condorcet methods 2326:majority judgment 2294:majority judgment 2245:rolling elections 1991: 1960:Then the voter's 1946:pivot probability 1935:wins the election 1778:(former mayor of 1604:Positive Slovenia 1505:Monika Navickienė 1485:Algirdas Paleckis 1195: 1194: 1187: 1034:primary elections 968:Condorcet methods 881:two party-systems 853:favorite betrayal 828: 827: 820: 710:Gibbard's theorem 697:favorite betrayal 677: 676: 628: 627: 585:Voter suppression 565:Ballot harvesting 543: 542: 504:Paradox of voting 470: 469: 453:None of the above 385:Voting strategies 376: 375: 286:Cumulative voting 220:Electoral systems 210: 209: 145:Electronic voting 135:Compulsory voting 4431: 4394: 4356: 4355:on 25 June 2015. 4351:. 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" 2983: 2979: 2969: 2967: 2966:on 25 June 2010 2963: 2956: 2950: 2943: 2933: 2931: 2927: 2920: 2914: 2910: 2902: 2894: 2885: 2850: 2844: 2840: 2833: 2819: 2815: 2808: 2784: 2775: 2768: 2754: 2750: 2740: 2738: 2700: 2696: 2689: 2673: 2669: 2666: 2653:Vote allocation 2615:Politics portal 2613: 2606: 2603: 2576: 2570: 2565: 2534: 2528: 2515: 2509: 2493:approval voting 2475:approval voting 2437: 2427: 2413:. Systems like 2389: 2383: 2362: 2356: 2351: 2346: 2318:approval voting 2290:Michel Balinski 2257: 2237: 2229: 2204: 2168: 2143: 2139: 2130: 2126: 2119: 2108: 2075: 2072: 2071: 2044: 2040: 2031: 2027: 2012: 2008: 1995: 1982: 1978: 1976: 1973: 1972: 1968:is defined as: 1942: 1929: 1917: 1905:Given a set of 1872: 1863:political party 1851: 1828: 1776:Richard Riordan 1756: 1661:Democratic Left 1653: 1625: 1612: 1584: 1559: 1518: 1487:' victory, the 1472:parallel voting 1464: 1448: 1412: 1388: 1380:Emmanuel Macron 1376:François Fillon 1351: 1264: 1259: 1191: 1180: 1174: 1171: 1156: 1140: 1129: 1095:are preferred). 1073: 1072: 1067:approval voting 990: 989: 946: 945: 927:approval voting 893:approval voting 838: 837: 834: 824: 813: 807: 804: 793: 781: 770: 754:vote management 684:tactical voting 673: 635: 630: 629: 570:Ballot stuffing 556: 553:Electoral fraud 545: 544: 489:Coattail effect 480: 472: 471: 415:Tactical voting 386: 378: 377: 291:Binomial system 222: 212: 211: 90:Ballot measures 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Index

Politics series
Voting

Ballots
Absentee ballot
Provisional ballot
Sample ballot
Candidates
Ballot measures
Write-in candidate
Electorate
Slate
Ticket
Ballot box
Compulsory voting
Early voting
Electronic voting
Open ballot
Polling place
Postal voting
Precinct
Vote center
Voting booth
Counting
Popular vote
Tally
Voting machine
Electoral systems
Plurality and majoritarian systems
First-past-the-post voting

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