104:, in which he states that "technology changes exponentially, but social, economic, and legal systems change incrementally". In Thierer's essay, he tries to correlate these two concepts by saying that "the 'Collingridge dilemma' is simply a restatement of the pacing problem but with greater stress on the social drivers behind the pacing problem and an implicit solution to 'the problem' in the form of preemptive control of new technologies while they are still young and more manageable."
119:, the Precautionary Principle "is very good for one thing — stopping technological progress...not because it leads in bad directions, but because it leads in no direction at all." But the 1992 Rio Declaration on Environment and Development defines the precautionary principle as ""Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent
708:
111:." Adam Thierer defines it as the belief that new innovations should not be embraced "until their developers can prove that they will not cause any harm to individuals, groups, specific entities, cultural norms, or various existing laws, norms, or traditions". If they fail to do so, this innovation should be "prohibited, curtailed, modified, junked, or ignored". This definition has been criticized by
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process is oriented towards learning quickly while keeping the potential costs as low as possible. Collingridge advocated ensuring that innovation occurs more incrementally so as to better match the pace of human learning and avoiding technologies whose design was antithetical to an
Intelligent Trial and Error process.
123:." So rather than conceived as imposing no change until proof of safety is produced, this definition of the precautionary principle is meant to legitimate protective measures, attempting to avoid the desire of a technology's advocates to delay legislation until irrefutable evidence of harm can be produced.
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The
Collingridge Dilemma applies well to a world where Artificial Intelligence and Cloud are gaining ground and developers are consuming new technology at a rapid pace. Governing AI, Cloud or other similar exponential technology without slowing the pace of development of the technology is a big
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Collingridge's solution was not exactly the precautionary principle but rather the application of "Intelligent Trial and Error," a process by which decision making power remains decentralized, changes are manageable, technologies and infrastructures are designed to be flexible, and the overall
94:, the Collingridge dilemma is related to the "pacing problem" in technology regulation. The "pacing problem" refers to the notion that technological innovation is increasingly outpacing the ability of laws and regulations to keep up, first explained in
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explains
Collingridge's idea by quoting Collingridge himself: "When change is easy, the need for it cannot be foreseen; when the need for change is apparent, change has become expensive, difficult, and time-consuming."
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who believe such a principle is ill-defined and is biased against anything new because it drastically elevates the threshold for anything innovative. According to the
American philosopher
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is a methodological quandary in which efforts to influence or control the further development of technology face a double-bind problem:
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An information problem: impacts cannot be easily predicted until the technology is extensively developed and widely used.
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174:"DESIDERA-TA: Nachbemerkungen zur TA'09, der 9. Ă–sterreichischen TA-Konferenz. Wien, 8. Juni 2009"
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problem: control or change is difficult when the technology has become entrenched.
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236:"The Pacing Problem, the Collingridge Dilemma & Technological Determinism"
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The
Management of Scale: Big Organizations, Big Technologies, Big Mistakes
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212:"This Explains Everything" (Harper Perennial, 2013, p.255,
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In "The Pacing
Problem, the Collingridge Dilemma &
136:challenge, governments and organizations now face.
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443:Strategies for engineered negligible senescence
155:(New York: St. Martin's Press; London: Pinter)
54:. The dilemma is a basic point of reference in
279:Rio Declaration on Environment and Development
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107:One solution to Collingridge dilemma is the "
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66:In "This Explains Everything," edited by
50:Technology Policy Unit in his 1980 book
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563:Differential technological development
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684:Technology readiness level
620:Technological unemployment
172:Böhle, Knud (2009-08-01).
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667:Technological singularity
627:Technological convergence
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121:environmental degradation
80:Technological Determinism
362:Microgravity bioprinting
632:Technological evolution
605:Exploratory engineering
533:Whole genome sequencing
281:. United Nations. 1992.
191:10.14512/tatup.18.2.121
109:Precautionary Principle
92:George Mason University
35:The idea was coined by
642:Technology forecasting
637:Technological paradigm
610:Proactionary principle
494:Robot-assisted surgery
101:The Laws of Disruption
735:Technology assessment
568:Disruptive innovation
477:Regenerative medicine
472:Personalized medicine
334:Emerging technologies
265:What technology wants
263:Kelly, Kevin (2010).
56:technology assessment
740:Technological change
615:Technological change
558:Collingridge dilemma
70:, technology critic
18:Collingridge dilemma
672:Technology scouting
647:Accelerating change
416:Genetic engineering
48:University of Aston
689:Technology roadmap
509:Synthetic genomics
499:Relational biology
487:Tissue engineering
411:Generative biology
295:. Routledge. 1992.
37:David Collingridge
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482:Stem-cell therapy
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184:(2): 121–125.
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180:(in German).
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244:. Retrieved
242:. 2018-08-16
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98:' 2009 book
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84:Adam Thierer
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662:Moore's law
593:Neuroethics
588:Cyberethics
521:Virotherapy
455:Nanosensors
113:Kevin Kelly
40: [
729:Categories
553:Automation
349:Biomedical
246:2018-09-23
218:0062230174
140:References
62:Background
583:Bioethics
516:Tricorder
200:2567-8833
58:debates.
374:Ampakine
117:Max More
46:at the
578:Ethics
546:Topics
341:Fields
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82:" by
44:]
29:power
713:List
389:Womb
214:ISBN
196:ISSN
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16:The
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