Knowledge

Causal reasoning

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1211:. circa 1880s, which recent neuropsychological experiments confirm. 477 (Nov. 1887-March 1888) "I maintain the phenomenality of the inner world, too: every- thing of which we become conscious is arranged, simplified, schematized, interpreted through and through β€” the actual process of inner "perception," the causal connection between thoughts, feelings, desires, between subject and object, are absolutely hidden from us β€” and are perhaps purely imaginary. The "apparent inner world" is governed by just the same forms and procedures as the "outer" world. We never encounter "facts": pleasure and displeasure are subsequent and derivative intellectual phenomena β€” "Causality" eludes us; to suppose a direct causal link between thoughts, as logic does β€” that is the consequence of the crudest and clumsiest observation. Between two thoughts all kinds of affects play their game: but their motions are too fast, therefore we fail to recognize them, we deny them β€” "Thinking" as 105:, where the distinction between correlation and causation is important. Just because two variables are correlated does not mean that one caused the other. For example, ice cream sales are correlated with the number of deaths due to drowning. This is not because ice cream causes drowning or because drowning deaths cause people to buy ice cream. Rather, it is because a third factor causes both. In this case, hot weather causes people both to buy ice cream and to go swimming, and the latter increasing the chances of drowning. These other possible causes that can account for the correlation between two variables are called 500:
videos depicted a central fish moving toward or away from a group of fish, and participants were asked to determine the relationship among the fish: internally motivated (the central fish was looking for food) or externally motivated (the central fish wanted to join the others). Another set of videos suggested that the group of fish was the predominant agent, with the individual fish being acted upon. These different videos provided an opportunity to determine whether group or individual action is the preferred motivating force among different cultures.
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waving a stick near the food tube through a hole in the curtain. When the human left the enclosure the crow confidently moved toward the food area and retrieved the reward, knowing that the human cause of the moving stick (albeit invisible) was gone. In the second experiment, no human entered or exited the enclosure. In this case the crow moved toward the food uncertainly, not knowing what caused the stick to move.
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cause and effect to understand the operation of mechanisms, which allows them to understand causal relationships. Children ask "why?" at an early age to understand mechanism and, in turn, causality. A child's first "why" question often coincides with their first attempt to explain something, within the first year after acquiring language. Children ask "why" to understanding mechanism and causality.
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schoolwork, and whether those outcomes were attributable to innate ability or to expended effort. American participants were much more likely to attribute academic achievement to ability than Asian participants were. Although Americans tended to rate success as attributable to effort, failure was not perceived as being a result of a lack of effort. Asian students did not show this pattern.
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knob of a radio (as the cause) increases or decreases the sound intensity (as the effect). In these cases, the relation between the variables of the cause and the effect resembles a mathematical function in which change in the variable of the cause changes values in the variable of the effect. Human learning of such relations has been studied in the field of "Function Learning".
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spirit" β€“ this conception is a second derivative of that false introspection which believes in "thinking": first an act is imagined which simply does not occur, "thinking," and secondly a subject-substratum in which every act of thinking, and nothing else, has its origin: that is to say, both the deed and the doer are fictions.
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mechanics has brought back the possibility of indeterministic events - events that are not determined by prior causes. Whether the outcomes of quantum-mechanical events are really indeterminstic is one of the biggest open problems in physics today and is part of the interpretation of quantum physics and its reconciliation with the
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Infants have an understanding of causal power. They know that certain causes have particular effects. Young children, from late infancy to early childhood, understand functional relations: a particular property (or component of a mechanism) has a certain function. They also understand causal density:
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Humans understand cause and effect. Research suggests that other animals, such as rats and monkeys, may or may not understand cause and effect. Animals may use information about cause and effect to improve decision-making and make inferences about past and future events. A constant which guides human
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Causal reasoning may be activated almost automatically. However, inferences about cause and effect do not always demonstrate understanding of mechanisms underlying causality; causality has been described as "cognitive illusion". Much understanding of cause and effect is based on associations, without
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work with this species suggests that they can understand hidden causes in a way that was previously believed uniquely human. In the first of two experiments a crow was confined, with food in a tube inaccessible to the crow without some effort. A human entered the enclosure and went behind a curtain,
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In this way, ascertaining cause and effect relations is quite hard and arguably impossible through statistical observation alone. Statistical studies can alleviate the problem by controlling for variables suspected to be confounders, but it is still possible that an observed correlation is caused by
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situations and in the experimental sciences) with the aid of causal understanding. Understanding depends on the ability to comprehend cause and effect. People must be able to reason about the causes of others’ behavior (to understand their intentions and act appropriately) and understand the likely
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The ability to understand and reason about causality at a young age allows children to develop naΓ―ve theories about many topics. Causality helps children learn about physics, language, concepts and the behavior of others. There is a developmental pattern to the causal understanding children have.
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Children develop an ability to understand causality and make inferences based on cause and effect at an early age; some research suggests that children as young as eight months can understand cause and effect. An understanding of mechanism and causality go hand in hand; children need to understand
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Traditionally, research in cognitive psychology has focused on causal relations when the cause and the effect are both binary values; both the cause and the effect are present or absent. It is also possible that both the cause and the effect take continuous values. For example, turning the volume
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cultures may make different attributions of the origins and motivations of movement on a small scale among animated objects, or what would cause movement within a group of animated objects. Participants from the UK, China and Hong Kong were shown videos of animated fish on a computer screen. The
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Even so, it is well understood that physical applications of continuous mathematical models are not literally continuous in practice. A knob on a radio does not take on an uncountably infinite number of possible valuesβ€”it takes a finite number of possible values fully limited by the mechanical,
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is a solution to this problem. In a scientific experiment, the experimenters vary an independent variable and observe the changes in the dependent variable. As long as the independent variable is varied in a random way across the sample (e.g., in a medical study, half of the participants may be
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argue is inconsistent with free will. As a result, incompatibilists fall into two main camps: libertarians (not to be confused with political libertarians), who argue that human actions are not determined by prior causes, and hard determinists, who argue that free will does not exist. The main
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Causality is an important question in modern physics. According to deterministic theories, any future event could in principle be predicted with perfect knowledge of the present, since one could precisely calculate what outcome would be caused by the present state of affairs. However, quantum
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Comparisons between Western and Eastern children and adults suggest differences between the cultures in the causality attributable to particular illnesses. After reading stories of illnesses and making inferences about the causes of those illnesses, both groups showed an understanding of the
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of college success and failure between two groups of students, American and Asian. The Asian group was from China, Korea, Japan and Southeast Asia. Performance was similar across the four nationalities. The students were asked to make judgments about someone else's successes and failures in
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Self-reported results suggested that Asian participants preferred descriptions and situations where the group was the central focus and causal agent, while Westerners preferred situations in which the individual was the agent. These effects also extended to memory processes; collectivist
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conceive it, simply does not occur: it is a quite arbitrary fiction, arrived at by selecting one element from the process and eliminating all the rest, an artificial arrangement for the purpose of intelligibility β€” The "spirit," something that thinks: where possible even "absolute, pure
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Causal relationships may be understood as a transfer of force. If A causes B, then A must transmit a force (or causal power) to B which results in the effect. Causal relationships suggest change over time; cause and effect are temporally related, and the cause precedes the outcome.
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This model of causal representation suggests that causes are represented by a pattern of forces. The force theory is an extension of the dynamics model that applies to causal representation and reasoning (i.e., drawing inferences from the composition of multiple causal relations).
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participants had better memories of situations in which the group was primary. This suggests that members of individualistic cultures are more responsive to independent agents and members of collectivist cultures are more responsive when groups guide individual action.
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challenge for libertarian philosophers is to explain how human actions are caused, if they are not caused by prior events. Some cite quantum mechanics as evidence that human actions may not be deterministic. In opposition to both libertarians and hard determinists are
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Humans are predisposed to understand cause and effect, making inferences bi-directionally. Temporal cues demonstrate causality. When observing an event, people assume that things preceding the event cause it, and things following the event are effects of it.
98:) and is fundamentally discrete. So goes the theory of mathematical fictionalism, where continuous mathematics serves as a fictional construct of imagery used for reasoning geometrically via drawings and intuitive ideas of shapes absent of measurement data. 118:
chosen randomly to receive the treatment, and the other half a placebo), there will be no confounding variables that cause both the change in the independent and dependent variables, since the independent variable is controlled by the experimenters.
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physical, nature of the knob itself. There exists no one-to-one mapping between the continuous mathematics used for engineering applications and the physical product(s) produced by the engineering. Indeed, this is a prominent problem within
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Causality may also be inferred in the absence of a force, a less-typical definition. A cause can be removal (or stopping), like removing a support from a structure and causing a collapse or a lack of precipitation causing wilted plants.
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Older children and adults continue to develop an understanding of mechanistic fragments. They understand the components of a working system in isolation, although the full mechanistic details of a system do not emerge until adulthood.
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Coincidence of movement and spatial relationships are another way to infer cause and effect. If objects move together (or one object seems to initiate the movement of another), causality is inferred from that relationship.
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effects of their own actions. Counterfactual arguments are presented in many situations; humans are predisposed to think about β€œwhat might have been”, even when that argument has no bearing on the current situation.
190:. Causal considerations are integral to how people reason about their environment. Humans use causal cues and their related effects to make decisions and predictions and to understand mechanisms leading to change. 411:
The covariation (regularity) model, a type of dependency model, suggests that humans understand relationships between causes and effects by their coincidence, inferring that change in a cause changes an effect.
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Cause-and-effect relationships define categories of objects. Wings are a feature of the category "birds"; this feature is causally interconnected with another feature of the category, the ability to fly.
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Ng, Sik Hung; Zhu, Ying (2001-04-01). "Attributing causality and remembering events in individual- and group-acting situations: A Beijing, Hong Kong, and Wellington comparison".
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A 2013 neuropsychology study demonstrates that humans conform new information to old information. This suggests an inverted causal experience: cause must be attributed to effect
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Theories of causality also play important roles in debates about free will. For example, if determinism is true, it implies that our actions are caused by prior events, which
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Several types of causal models are developed as a result of observing causal relationships: common-cause relationships, common-effect relationships, causal chains and causal
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are able to generalize causal cues to gain food rewards. Animals such as rats can learn the mechanisms required for a reward by reasoning about what could elicit a reward.
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Feathers, hollow bones, high metabolic rate and flight reinforce each other in birds, with adaptation to the whole rather than one instance beginning a causal relationship.
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Carroll, J. D. (1963). Functional learning: The learning of continuous functional mappings relating stimulus and response continua. NJ: Education Testing Service Princeton
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implies a general rule; an event is a guaranteed conclusion. An outcome may be deduced based on other arguments, which may determine a cause-and-effect relationship.
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biological causes of most illnesses. However, all the children and the Eastern adults also attributed some illnesses (and their remedies) to magical causes.
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An increase in government spending is an example of one effect with several causes (reduced unemployment, decreased currency value, and increased deficit).
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Nguyen, Simone P.; Rosengren, Karl S. (2004-03-01). "Causal Reasoning about Illness: A Comparison between European- and Vietnamese-American Children".
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This model suggests that cause and effect are mechanistically related. In this situation, there is a basic process underlying the cause and effect.
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Visalberghi, Elisabetta; Limongelli, Luca (1994). "Lack of comprehension of cause-effect relations in tool-using capuchin monkeys (Cebus apella)".
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Ahn, W. K.; Kalish, C. W.; Medin, D. L.; Gelman, S. A. (1995-03-01). "The role of covariation versus mechanism information in causal attribution".
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is an inference made with uncertainty; the conclusion is likely, but not guaranteed. Induction can be used to speculate about causality.
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While causal understanding can be automatic, in complex situations advanced reasoning is necessary. Types of causal reasoning include:
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Sobel, David M.; Kirkham, Natasha Z. (2006). "Blickets and babies: The development of causal reasoning in toddlers and infants".
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Kahan, Dan M.; Peters, Ellen; Dawson, Erica Cantrell; Slovic, Paul (2017). "Motivated numeracy and enlightened self-government".
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Yan, W.; Gaier, E. L. (2016-07-27). "Causal Attributions for College Success and Failure: An Asian-American Comparison".
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The dependency model asserts that effects are contingent upon causes; cause and effect have a probable relationship.
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Cheng, P. W. (1997). From covariation to causation: A causal power theory. Psychological Review, 104, 367–405.
94:. One possible answer to this open question is that reality is rasterized (possibly at the Planck Scale, see 864:
Hameroff, Stewart. (2012). Front Integr Neurosci.:How quantum brain biology can rescue conscious free will.
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Balaguer, Mark (2018). Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy: Fictionalism in the Philosophy of Mathematics
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Corrigan, Roberta; Denton, Peggy (1996-06-01). "Causal Understanding as a Developmental Primitive".
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Hypotheses about relations between scaled variables in the learning of probabilistic inference tasks
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Sloman, Steven; A. Lagnado, David (2003-01-01). Motivation, BT - Psychology of Learning and (ed.).
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Cheng, Patricia W.; Novick, Laura R. (1990). "A probabilistic contrast model of causal induction".
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A virus is an example of a single cause resulting in several effects (fever, headache and nausea).
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have been studied for their ability to reason about causal events. This intelligent species uses
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Causal attributions have been shown to be dissimilar among different cultures in several ways:
102: 1194: 123: 1777: 1730: 1107: 535: 95: 808: 327: 8: 1348:. Psychology of Learning and Motivation. Vol. 44. Academic Press. pp. 287–325. 572: 383:, the premises do not guarantee a conclusion. Abduction moves from data description to a 380: 368: 357: 169: 47: 1781: 1734: 1836: 1808: 1765: 1746: 1664: 1621: 1586: 1548: 1500: 1473: 1454: 1411: 1182: 1124: 1091: 979: 901: 646: 35: 1353: 967: 1813: 1795: 1699: 1668: 1656: 1540: 1505: 1446: 1357: 1326: 1318: 1277: 1190: 1174: 1129: 1111: 1057: 1052: 1035: 971: 936: 893: 735: 708: 638: 630: 626: 543: 114: 1625: 1590: 1552: 1458: 983: 905: 650: 1803: 1785: 1750: 1738: 1691: 1648: 1613: 1578: 1532: 1495: 1485: 1438: 1415: 1403: 1394:
Cheng, Patricia W. (1997). "From covariation to causation: A causal power theory".
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An example is poor sleep leading to fatigue, which leads to poor coordination.
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Hagmayer, Y., Sloman, S. A., Lagnado, D. A., & Waldmann, M. R. (2007). "
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Function learning: Induction of continuous stimulus-response relations
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argued against Aristotelian causality (that cause precedes effect) in
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defined preoperational, concrete operational and formal operational
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Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition
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Taylor, Alex H.; Miller, Rachael; Gray, Russell D. (2012-10-02).
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Garcia-Retamero, Rocio; Wallin, Annika; Dieckmann, Anja (2007).
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Humans can reason about many topics (for example, in social and
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are often able to use causal information as cues for survival.
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There are several models of how humans reason about causality.
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Cause and effect may also be understood probabilistically, via
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one cause triggers an effect, which triggers another effect:
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without a necessary relationship between cause and effect.
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to understand the causal connection between agent and act.
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an understanding of how events are related to one another.
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cannot, making complex tools to bring food within reach.
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Causal learning: Psychology, philosophy, and computation
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Judgment of contingency between responses and outcomes
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Falcon, Andrea (2015-01-01). Zalta, Edward N. (ed.).
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(1965). 512:Causal reasoning is not unique to humans; 446:how causes can interact in a complex way. 1807: 1789: 1499: 1489: 1312: 1168: 1123: 1051: 748: 337:Learn how and when to remove this message 1603: 1380:." In A. Gopnik & L. Schulz (Eds.), 1226:Lovett, Richard A. (February 16, 2006). 1155:(1). Cambridge University Press: 54–86. 678:. New York, NY: Oxford University Press. 522: 432: 322:Relevant discussion may be found on the 232:, several causes converge in one effect: 594:The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy 1829: 1225: 1108:10.1146/annurev.psych.57.102904.190100 728: 590: 469: 124:causal structure of special relativity 46:study of cause and effect occurred in 34:. The study of causality extends from 1681: 1564: 1562: 1428: 1393: 1378:Causal reasoning through intervention 1085: 1083: 1081: 1079: 1077: 1075: 1073: 1071: 1029: 1027: 1025: 997: 995: 993: 508:Causal reasoning in non-human animals 486: 313:This section may contain information 210:, a single cause has several effects: 1716: 1606:Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology 1568: 1089: 1033: 807:Koh, K., & Meyer, D. E. (1991). 731:"Categorization as causal reasoning" 608: 606: 604: 299: 57:is an example of causal reasoning. 13: 1684:Asian Journal of Social Psychology 1559: 1068: 1022: 990: 474:Yan and Gaier investigated causal 461: 113:some uncontrolled-for factor. The 14: 1848: 1262:Journal of Comparative Psychology 601: 1641:Journal of Cognition and Culture 1053:10.1111/j.1468-5884.2009.00396.x 304: 16:Process of identifying causality 1757: 1710: 1675: 1632: 1597: 1516: 1478:Frontiers in Human Neuroscience 1465: 1422: 1387: 1370: 1337: 1288: 1253: 1219: 1201: 1140: 1092:"Explanation and Understanding" 1040:Japanese Psychological Research 947: 912: 869: 858: 847: 836: 825: 814: 801: 22:is the process of identifying 1474:"Causal reasoning with forces" 788: 779: 770: 757: 681: 584: 406: 61:Understanding cause and effect 1: 1717:Hunt, Gavin R. 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(1974). 536:New Caledonian crows 328:improve this section 96:Loop Quantum Gravity 1782:2012PNAS..10916389T 1776:(40): 16389–16391. 1735:1996Natur.379..249H 573:Probabilistic logic 542:in a way that even 529:Corvus moneduloides 470:Causal attributions 381:abductive reasoning 369:Inductive reasoning 358:Deductive reasoning 170:Friedrich Nietzsche 1314:10.3758/BF03193610 1161:10.1017/bpp.2016.2 729:Rehder, B (2003). 689:Cheng, Patricia W. 533: 487:Causal motivations 288: 276:causal homeostasis 266: 242: 220: 36:ancient philosophy 1729:(6562): 249–251. 1242:on March 16, 2006 1209:The Will To Power 736:Cognitive Science 347: 346: 339: 175:The Will To Power 115:scientific method 1844: 1822: 1821: 1811: 1793: 1761: 1755: 1754: 1743:10.1038/379249a0 1714: 1708: 1707: 1679: 1673: 1672: 1636: 1630: 1629: 1601: 1595: 1594: 1566: 1557: 1556: 1531:(6): 1103–1115. 1520: 1514: 1513: 1503: 1493: 1469: 1463: 1462: 1426: 1420: 1419: 1391: 1385: 1374: 1368: 1367: 1341: 1335: 1334: 1316: 1307:(6): 1399–1409. 1292: 1286: 1285: 1257: 1251: 1250: 1248: 1247: 1238:. 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Index

causality
cause
effect
ancient philosophy
neuropsychology
protoscientific
Aristotle's Physics
Causal inference
counterfactual
Philosophy of Mathematics
Loop Quantum Gravity
inferential statistics
confounding variables
scientific method
causal structure of special relativity
incompatibilists
compatiblists
Animacy
a posteriori
Friedrich Nietzsche
The Will To Power
reasoning
causality
homeostasis
Example of a single cause with multiple effects
Example of multiple causes with a single effect
causal chains
Example of a causal chain
Example of causal homeostasis
important or relevant

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