166:. Breakthrough's submission to the committee said "Post-Paris emissions pathways are consistent with 3°C or more of warming, with the potential for a 4–5°C temperature increase. The global risks include dramatic changes to agricultural patterns, water systems and food security, and coastal inundation and forced migrations, which have the capacity to destabilise nations, fuel multi- national conflict and increase the risk of nuclear war."
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In May 2019, Breakthrough in association with Scout Films released
Episode One of the four-part documentary Home Front, produced and directed by Luke Taylor. Episode One, titled Existential Gamble, runs for 16:30 minutes and features interviews with significant people from the military, business and
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providing evidence to support a scenario for 3°C of global warming and warning that
Australia is totally unprepared for current and escalating climate impacts and that the 'Official Future' subscribed to by most political and corporate leaders remains one of "climate denial and predatory delay".
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describing a climate change doomsday scenario by 2050 if we don't act soon. The report says the plans that countries put forward in Paris in 2016 to cut emissions will still lead to around 3°C of warming. Breakthrough says warming will actually be much higher because the number does not include
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feedback loops. It predicts that by 2050, sea levels will have risen by 0.5 metres, the Amazon ecosystem will collapse, the Arctic will be ice-free in summer, global crop yields drop by a fifth and more than half of the world’s population faces 20 days a year of lethal heat.
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aired a podcast on the topic of climate risks, highlighting a report from
Breakthrough. The report stated that "global warming will drive increasingly severe humanitarian crises, forced migration, political instability and conflict in the Asia-Pacific and world."
182:, is the research director. Giselle Wilkinson is the Outreach Director. Ian Dunlop, former chair of the Australian Coal Association and CEO of the Australian Institute of Company Directors is a senior member of the advisory board of Breakthrough.
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David Spratt, Research
Director for Breakthrough said there was a disconnect between evidence presented to the inquiry, that climate change was a “current and existential national security risk”, and the recommendations that emerged from it.
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and former
Australian Airforce Deputy Chief John Blackburn. They describe the potential security and infrastructure threats from rapid climate change including political instability, economic collapse, mass migration and sea-level rise.
151:, former US Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Environmental Security, and a key contributor to a series of landmark US reports on climate security, provided an overview of the key points from the documentary.
250:, professor of applied physics and mathematics at Columbia University in New York who studies atmospheric and climate dynamics, says the scenarios described in the report "don't seem that far-fetched to me."
299:. They were commended for challenging those involved in addressing climate change to appreciate that the situation is now an emergency and that those involved in campaigning should act accordingly.
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The report says "irreversible damage" is happening to global climate systems "resulting in a world of chaos where political panic is the norm and we are on a path facing the end of civilisation".
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In 2018, Breakthrough made a submission to the
Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee of the Australian Senate which was conducting an
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Inquiry Into
Threats And Long-Term Risks Posed By Climate Change To National Security And International Security
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The Third Degree: Evidence and implications for
Australia of existential climate-related security risk
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We must mobilise for the climate emergency like we do in wartime. Where is the climate minister?
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627:"International Climate Change Reports Are Dangerously Misleading, Says Eminent Scientist"
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Luke Taylor is
Managing Director of the Breakthrough Centre. David Spratt, author of
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717:"Climate change doomsday scenario could start by 2050 if we don't act, report warns"
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Australia’s
Climate Security – U.S. Expert on Climate Change and National Security
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365:"Climate change an 'existential security risk' to Australia, Senate inquiry says"
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Breakthrough received The 2015 Community Environment Recognition Award from
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663:"New report, What lies beneath, takes a different view of climate impacts"
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609:"Humankind Is Rapidly Exiting Its 'Safe Zone,' New Climate Report Finds"
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645:"California's Record-breaking Fire Isn't the Week's Worst Climate News"
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which focuses on the security impacts of climate change. Guest speaker
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Is it true climate change will cause the end of civilisation by 2050?
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In 2014, the Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute, part of the
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In May 2019, Breakthrough released a new discussion paper titled
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What Lies Beneath: The Understatement of Existential Climate Risk
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Existential climate-related security risk: A scenario approach
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humanitarian communities including former Liberal Party leader
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Existential climate-related security risk: A scenario approach
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is an independent think-tank established in 2014, located in
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described the report as terrifying. Alvin Stone from the
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In June 2018, Breakthrough released a new report titled
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400:"2015 Community Environment Award Winners"
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385:. 2018.
383:"About"
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