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received custom scenario planning. As part of the GBN community, they received exposure to the network of experts, were invited to workshops and interactive meetings to explore emerging trends and alternative futures, while gaining access to training seminars, a private website, and the GBN Book Club, offering a selection of literature about future issues each month. GBN was acquired by
316:
In 2004, there was widespread media attention about a report that the Global
Business Network prepared for the United States Defense Department which predicted "killer droughts through much of Europe, nuclear war between Pakistan and India over drinking water supplies, conflict between China and the
307:
by Pierre Wack and other business strategists at Royal Dutch/Shell in the 1970s. Scenario planning is thus often called the "Shell method". The key principles of scenario planning include thinking from the outside in about the forces in the contextual environment that are driving change, engaging
236:
reported that GBN had nearly 100 clients, "ranging from blue-chip firms such as IBM and AT&T to the government of
Singapore and the National Education Association". At the time, they paid annual subscriptions of $ 35,000 each to become members of the GBN community; for an additional sum, they
450:
812:
707:
506:
201:, Napier Collyns, and Lawrence Wilkinson. The company grew to include a core group of "practice members", and over a hundred individual network members (or "RPs") from a range of different fields, such as
287:
is a process for exploring alternative, plausible, possible futures and what those might mean for strategies, policies, and decisions. Scenario planning was first used by the military in
442:
802:
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838:
324:
co-published a report titled "Scenarios for the Future of
Technology and International Development". The report explored four hypothetical scenarios, titled
479:
555:
739:
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919:
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in 2000, and soon stopped offering this membership service, concentrating instead on scenario-based consulting and training.
443:"Deloitte Completes Acquisition of Monitor's Global Strategy Consulting Business | Deloitte Switzerland | Press Release"
895:
780:
418:
676:
698:"Deloitte completes acquisition of Monitor's global strategy consulting business | Deloitte US | Press release"
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From counterculture to cyberculture: Stewart Brand, the Whole Earth
Network, and the rise of digital utopianism
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as director of the
Strategic Environment Center; following that, he took a position as head of
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803:"VERIFY: 'Rockefeller document' doesn't prove theory coronavirus pandemic was planned in 2010"
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8:
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multiple perspectives to identify and interpret those forces, and adopting a long view.
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891:
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472:"Deloitte Acquires Monitor Group (and thus, GBN) | Strategic Innovation Lab (sLab)"
419:"How is America going to end? The world's leading futurologists have four theories"
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in 2000, which was in turn acquired by
Deloitte. GBN was headquartered in
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839:"Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development"
730:"The next big surprise – Wanted: a new way of planning for the future"
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US over Saudi oil, and an inland sea in
California's Central Valley."
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538:"Forecasting: The Futurologist: LOOKING AHEAD IN A DANGEROUS WORLD"
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GBN ceased to be an active entity following the acquisition of the
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which extrapolates past and present trends to predict the future,
256:, from 1982 to 1986, where he continued the pioneering work of
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807:
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Puckett, Jason; Tregde, Jason; Spry Jr., Terry (2020-07-15).
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Originally an independent firm, GBN became part of the
800:
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advice to businesses, non-profits, and governments.
883:
223:, biotechnologist Rob Carlson, and China scholar
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244:Before GBN, Peter Schwartz had been employed at
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299:(“Thinking the Unthinkable”) during the
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915:Consulting firms established in 1987
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340:, focused on solutions to issues of
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219:, economist Aidan Eyakuze, musician
710:from the original on March 11, 2016
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260:in the field of scenario planning.
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872:
761:"Around the world – Nasty climate"
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14:
941:
925:1987 establishments in California
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303:, before being adapted to inform
920:Companies based in San Francisco
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815:from the original on 2020-07-16
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783:from the original on 2023-12-09
753:
742:from the original on 2023-12-15
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690:
679:from the original on 2022-09-22
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558:from the original on 2021-12-16
482:from the original on 2022-09-22
453:from the original on 2022-09-22
399:from the original on 2023-12-04
16:Former American consulting firm
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464:
435:
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1:
930:Futures studies organizations
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536:Taylor, Chris (2004-10-11).
505:Lohr, Steve (June 1, 1998).
7:
610:University of Chicago Press
38:; 37 years ago
10:
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417:Levin, Josh (2009-08-03).
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364:, and associated crises.
320:In May 2010, GBN and the
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886:The Art of the Long View
661:"Conspiracy of Heretics"
627:GBN Book Club Selections
189:, in 1987 by a group of
175:Cambridge, Massachusetts
140:Global Business Network
20:Global Business Network
890:. Doubleday/Currency.
847:Rockefeller Foundation
322:Rockefeller Foundation
217:Mary Catherine Bateson
211:, social media expert
163:Emeryville, California
165:, and had offices in
765:Earth Island Journal
738:. October 18, 2001.
649:on January 28, 1999.
645:. Archived from the
633:on October 10, 2007.
629:. Archived from the
447:Deloitte Switzerland
187:Berkeley, California
49:Berkeley, California
590:on January 5, 2010.
507:"Long Boom or Bust"
395:. August 20, 1998.
185:GBN was founded in
21:
580:"Where We Started"
512:The New York Times
305:corporate strategy
78:Lawrence Wilkinson
19:
771:(2): 5–12. 2004.
285:scenario planning
275:Scenario planning
271:in January 2013.
254:Royal Dutch/Shell
250:scenario planning
246:SRI International
215:, anthropologist
152:scenario planning
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89:January 2013
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362:disinformation
346:climate change
338:Smart Scramble
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225:Orville Schell
197:, Jay Ogilvy,
195:Peter Schwartz
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859:. Retrieved
852:the original
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837:(May 2010).
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681:. Retrieved
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605:
602:Turner, Fred
596:
588:the original
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560:. Retrieved
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518:November 28,
516:. Retrieved
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484:. Retrieved
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455:. Retrieved
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426:. Retrieved
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401:. Retrieved
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358:cyberattacks
337:
333:
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291:and then by
289:World War II
278:
262:
243:
231:
230:As of 1998,
229:
202:
184:
156:
143:
139:
138:
112:Headquarters
104:Acquired by
643:GBN Members
608:. Chicago:
334:Hack Attack
293:Herman Kahn
281:forecasting
258:Pierre Wack
213:Clay Shirky
209:Kevin Kelly
150:which gave
909:Categories
861:2024-04-05
819:2024-04-05
787:2023-11-28
746:2023-11-28
683:2022-09-22
612:. p.
562:2024-04-08
486:2022-09-22
457:2022-09-22
428:2022-09-22
403:2023-11-28
368:References
193:including
67:Jay Ogilvy
28:Consulting
735:Economist
714:March 10,
673:1059-1028
552:0040-781X
350:terrorism
326:Lock Step
221:Brian Eno
882:(1991).
813:Archived
781:Archived
777:43879236
740:Archived
708:Archived
703:Deloitte
677:Archived
647:original
631:original
604:(2006).
556:Archived
480:Archived
451:Archived
397:Archived
301:Cold War
269:Deloitte
146:) was a
106:Deloitte
56:Founders
25:Industry
584:GBN.com
312:Reports
279:Unlike
239:Monitor
207:editor
181:History
93:2013-01
91: (
86:Defunct
41: (
33:Founded
894:
775:
671:
550:
173:, and
171:London
127:Parent
855:(PDF)
842:(PDF)
808:WUSA9
773:JSTOR
665:Wired
204:Wired
892:ISBN
716:2016
669:ISSN
548:ISSN
520:2023
336:and
297:RAND
101:Fate
43:1987
36:1987
614:203
295:at
267:by
252:at
144:GBN
120:USA
47:in
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