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Malcolm Mackerras

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which means "one who studies elections". However, he insists that his political science interests are much broader than that. Indeed, one of the reasons for his determination on the November–December 2000 North American visit was to study all the legal manoeuvres in connection with the only
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Mackerras has been a regular commentator on Australian elections in print, on radio and television on most federal and state elections. He has become well known for his predictions of electoral outcomes. He claims a "win" ratio of two in three and adds,
251:(University of Queensland Press, 2002), which he edited with John Warhurst of the Australian National University. The two men took opposite sides in the debate over the 1999 Australian republic referendum but have now joined to record the event. 176:(1972) in which he pioneered the concept of the two-party majority and the two-party swing, and introduced the "pendulum", a table of federal electorates in order of two-party majority, now commonly known as the 406: 452: 137:
He is especially interested in elections and electoral systems. His several books and many journal articles are largely in those areas. He has written many articles for
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at least I'm not boring. The election analyst who makes predictions is far more interesting than one who doesn't. And if I collect egg on my face, then so be it.
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for a presidential election as it greatly improves his American teaching. During his stay in the US in November–December 2000, there was a "snap" election in
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with the Chamber of Manufactures (1968–1970), "trying to present the case for protection for Australian manufacturing industry".
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in Canberra in 1999. Mackerras retired from the University of New South Wales in 2004. Mackerras is now an Honorary Fellow at
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in 1999 as an observer for that country's second democratic election (May–June 1999). He likes, in particular, to be in the
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where a state election was held on 7 February 2004. He did the same for Australia's federal election on 9 October 2004.
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where he has lived continuously since 1965. He spent several years as a ministerial assistant and three years as an
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For the years 2002, 2003 and 2004 he has been specialising in Australian state elections. He visited
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on these subjects. He likes whenever possible to visit countries during their elections. He visited
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in its early years. Yet another, Alastair Mackerras, was headmaster (principal) of
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for which he was a research officer (1960–1967). The organisation moved him to
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the following day, and specifically predicted that Kerry would carry
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in March 2003 for elections in those states, which involved writing
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In 1974 Mackerras was employed in the Department of Government at
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from 1957 to 1960, during which time he studied at night for the
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Constitutional Politics: The Republic Referendum and the Future
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An example of an incorrect prediction was the one he made in
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Mackerras's first published study of Australian politics was
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Gentlemen and Scholars: A Biography of the Mackerras Family
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in the late 1960s. His second employer was the Federal
166:The Australian Senate 1965-1967: Who Held Control? 194:The Malcolm Mackerras 1993 Federal Election Guide 453:People educated at St Aloysius' College (Sydney) 429: 231:articles plus broadcasting. He did the same for 314:, Brisbane: Boolarong Publications, 1986. 245:Australian Political Facts: Second Edition 190:The Mackerras 1990 Federal Election Guide 458:People educated at Sydney Grammar School 333:University staff web site and pendulums 430: 254: 206:American Political Science Association 36: 78:St Aloysius' College, Milson's Point 49:in August 1939. He is a brother of 13: 473:Officers of the Order of Australia 304: 95:Mackerras was a member of the ACT 14: 504: 326: 273:on 1 November 2004: he said that 172:(1969). His first major work was 26:and a lecturer on Australian and 128:Australian Defence Force Academy 120:Royal Military College, Duntroon 88:of Bachelor of Economics at the 238: 170:The 1968 Federal Redistribution 399: 367: 349: 243:His two most recent books are 223:in November–December 2002 and 199:He is commonly described as a 132:Australian Catholic University 41:Malcolm Mackerras was born at 1: 343: 124:University of New South Wales 61:specialist. Another brother, 174:Australian General Elections 7: 463:University of Sydney alumni 10: 509: 283:U.S. presidential election 105:Liberal Party of Australia 338:Personal Website and Blog 483:Australian statisticians 168:. He followed this with 468:Australian monarchists 448:Australian journalists 409:. 2012. Archived from 407:"MALCOLM MACKERRAS AO" 380:. 2011. Archived from 375:"MALCOLM MACKERRAS AO" 281:in a landslide in the 67:Democratic Labor Party 17:Malcolm Hugh Mackerras 71:Sydney Grammar School 51:Sir Charles Mackerras 493:Australian lecturers 90:University of Sydney 65:, was active in the 363:. 12 December 2021. 361:theconversation.com 357:"Malcolm Mackerras" 255:Election commentary 134:, Canberra Campus. 73:from 1969 to 1989. 37:Education and works 219:in February 2002, 178:Mackerras Pendulum 146:The Canberra Times 500: 488:Australian twins 423: 422: 420: 418: 413:on 18 April 2012 403: 397: 396: 394: 392: 386: 379: 371: 365: 364: 353: 92:(awarded 1962). 76:After attending 508: 507: 503: 502: 501: 499: 498: 497: 428: 427: 426: 416: 414: 405: 404: 400: 390: 388: 384: 377: 373: 372: 368: 355: 354: 350: 346: 329: 307: 305:Further reading 257: 241: 225:New South Wales 217:South Australia 55:Colin Mackerras 39: 12: 11: 5: 506: 496: 495: 490: 485: 480: 475: 470: 465: 460: 455: 450: 445: 440: 425: 424: 398: 387:on 17 May 2014 366: 347: 345: 342: 341: 340: 335: 328: 327:External links 325: 324: 323: 306: 303: 279:George W. Bush 270:The Australian 256: 253: 240: 237: 186:Elections 1980 182:Elections 1975 140:The Australian 97:Young Liberals 63:Neil Mackerras 38: 35: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 505: 494: 491: 489: 486: 484: 481: 479: 478:Psephologists 476: 474: 471: 469: 466: 464: 461: 459: 456: 454: 451: 449: 446: 444: 443:Living people 441: 439: 436: 435: 433: 412: 408: 402: 383: 376: 370: 362: 358: 352: 348: 339: 336: 334: 331: 330: 321: 320:0-86439-013-0 317: 313: 310:Joan Priest, 309: 308: 302: 300: 296: 292: 288: 284: 280: 277:would defeat 276: 272: 271: 265: 263: 252: 250: 246: 236: 234: 230: 226: 222: 218: 213: 211: 207: 202: 197: 195: 191: 187: 183: 179: 175: 171: 167: 162: 160: 156: 155:United States 152: 148: 147: 142: 141: 135: 133: 129: 125: 121: 116: 114: 110: 106: 102: 98: 93: 91: 87: 83: 79: 74: 72: 68: 64: 60: 56: 52: 48: 44: 34: 32: 29: 25: 21: 18: 415:. Retrieved 411:the original 401: 389:. Retrieved 382:the original 369: 360: 351: 311: 268: 266: 261: 258: 248: 244: 242: 239:Publications 214: 201:psephologist 198: 193: 189: 185: 181: 173: 169: 165: 163: 151:South Africa 144: 138: 136: 117: 94: 75: 57:, a leading 40: 16: 15: 438:1939 births 101:Secretariat 24:commentator 432:Categories 417:15 October 391:15 October 344:References 275:John Kerry 233:Queensland 43:Turramurra 229:newspaper 113:economist 299:Missouri 221:Victoria 109:Canberra 31:politics 28:American 287:Florida 210:Chicago 122:by the 103:of the 318:  295:Nevada 159:Canada 86:degree 47:Sydney 385:(PDF) 378:(PDF) 59:China 419:2012 393:2012 316:ISBN 297:and 291:Ohio 192:and 143:and 208:in 82:BHP 45:in 434:: 359:. 301:. 293:, 289:, 264:" 212:. 196:. 188:, 184:, 33:. 20:AO 421:. 395:. 322:. 260:"

Index

AO
commentator
American
politics
Turramurra
Sydney
Sir Charles Mackerras
Colin Mackerras
China
Neil Mackerras
Democratic Labor Party
Sydney Grammar School
St Aloysius' College, Milson's Point
BHP
degree
University of Sydney
Young Liberals
Secretariat
Liberal Party of Australia
Canberra
economist
Royal Military College, Duntroon
University of New South Wales
Australian Defence Force Academy
Australian Catholic University
The Australian
The Canberra Times
South Africa
United States
Canada

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