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Thoroughbred breeding theories

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205:"Professional" sires (now quite rare) provide the lowest speed and greatest stamina. A "Classic" sire offers a balance of speed and stamina traditionally associated with winning classic races. For any given horse, the dosage profile is generated by assigning points for each Chef-de-race in the pedigree, with the number of points varying depending on what generation the chef appears in. The Dosage Index can then be calculated, with a higher number meaning the pedigree is more speed-oriented. A Dosage Index of under 4.00 is considered optimal for horses attempting to win classic races. As the Dosage Profile and Index are widely published, breeders may select mates for their mare with these figures in mind, especially if they are intending to sell the foal at auction. As with Average Winning Distance, if the mare has a Dosage Profile oriented to speed, the breeder may look for a sire that provides stamina influences. The resultant foal would then have a more optimal Dosage Profile. 175:(CI), which is a way of measuring the quality of the mares to which the stallion was bred. The CI considers all the offspring of the stallion's mates and subtracts out their combined progeny. A stallion with a CI of 2.19 means that when his mares were mated with other sires, the mares produced offspring that averaged 2.19 times the average for the generation in question. If a stallion's AEI is lower than his mares' CI, it is generally a red flag as it suggests that he's not generating the same quality of runners as these mares have produced with other stallions. By contrast, if the stallion's AEI is higher than his mares' CI, the stallion is said to be improving his mares. This generally leads to higher quality mares being bred to him in future years. 586:
Eclipse with mares by Herod in the late 18th century. These successful crosses – Hermit/Stockwell, Lexington/Glencoe, Bend Or/Macaroni, Phalaris/Chaucer – have made a profound impact on the development of the Thoroughbred. In the modern era, the most successful nick was Danzig with mares by Mr. Prospector, which produced 16 stakes winners from 53 runners, a rate of 30.2%. While modern calculations of nick ratings use more complete databases, there has been criticism of nicks and nick ratings within the Thoroughbred industry. A nick may appear to be successful because of small sample size, based on the success of just one offspring, or because a stallion had significant success with just a few good mares.
168:(AEI), which takes the average earnings of all runners for a specific period and evaluates the stallion's average progeny earnings against that figure. A number below 1.00 is below average. A number above 1.00 is above average. Good stallions generally have an AEI of at least 1.50. The advantage of looking at the AEI compared to straight earnings is that the AEI compensates for differences in the number of runners different stallions may have. The AEI can also be used to compare the relative success of sires over different generations, though larger foal crops in recent years have led to a general decrease in the AEI of the best modern sires compared to those of the past. 43: 25: 375: 363:
Family 1 refers to all horses who trace back in the female line to Tregonwell's Natural Barb Mare, foaled c. 1670. It is estimated that about 15% of modern thoroughbreds belong to family 1 as a whole. Five generations of the family later, the mare Bonny Lass (1723) was so influential that a new family 1-a was designated for her descendants. Family 1-a was subsequently split into families 1-d (Promise, 1768) and 1-b (
291: 367:, 1805). The Promise family 1-d spawned further families and so on to the present, where there are now 22 designated branches (1-a to 1-x) within the overall family 1. It takes many generations for the most influential mares to be identified so most of these family branches date back to the 18th and 19th century. The most recent branch was created for descendants of 149:, who firmly established his ability on the racetrack as the 1989 Horse of the Year and thus would ordinarily have been given major opportunities as a sire. But his pedigree was not fashionable and there was little interest in America in breeding to him. Thus he was sold to Japan, where he became the 141:
in the United States, and the breed has evolved accordingly. Horses that fail the Racecourse Test, either because they are poor athletes or lack racing spirit, are usually poor candidates as breeding stock. When an unproven racehorse becomes a good sire or broodmare, a further look usually shows that
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The Racecourse Test means that the most important selection criteria for breeding the Thoroughbred is the ability displayed on the racetrack. The Racecourse Test measures a horse's ability to win, which requires a certain combination of speed and stamina depending on the race in question. Racing also
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in the first half of the twentieth century. Studies have proven that, in general, good racehorses make the best breeding stock. While not all top male runners succeed as stallions, it is much more unusual for a poor racehorse to become a good proven sire. A poorly-raced mare does have a better chance
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and published in some Past Performance charts. By comparing the values for horses in a given race, a bettor can identify which horses have a more speed oriented pedigree, and which have a more stamina oriented pedigree. From a breeding point of view, stallions with a low AWD number are considered to
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Today, these numbers often follow a horse’s name in sale catalogues and pedigrees, much like a numerical surname and are used for checking the accuracy of pedigrees and comparing the contributions made by various mares and families. Horses that come from more highly respected families will usually
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commonly known as the Bobinski Tables. This work expanded Bruce Lowe's numbering system of 43 families and identified a total of 74 families tracing to mares in the GSB. They identified mares in several countries whose pedigrees had been lost or whose descendants were unacceptable to the GSB at the
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Many thoroughbred breeding theories are implemented from other animal breeding stock practices, such as the use of inbreeding to "fix a type". Some breeding theories are qualitative, relying on judgement. Quantitative breeding theories usually focus on statistical analysis of the sire and broodmare
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is the mating of two closely related individuals. It is known as one of the quickest ways to "fix" desired characteristics into a bloodline of any species. The risk is that the inbreeding will reveal negative recessive characteristics; thus, "closebreeding" is usually avoided. Continued inbreeding
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In the thoroughbred industry, inbreeding is used to focus specific genes by using superior, prepotent individuals, usually within the fourth and sixth generations. Inbred animals are likely conduits for certain specific characteristics coming from their inbred ancestor. Too much inbreeding is not
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Over time, the influence of the foundation mares of each family becomes diluted by the presence of all the other horses in a given pedigree. On the other hand, some of the younger mares of the family become so influential that a new family is created to separate out their offspring. For example,
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Specific affinities of stallions of one male line for mares from other sire lines — commonly called nicks — have made a profound impact on the development of the Thoroughbred. Compatibility of stallions from one male line with mares from other sire lines has shaped the breed since the cross of
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is a further attempt to quantify the amount of speed versus stamina in a horse's pedigree. Major sires, called chefs-de-race, are placed in one of five categories: Brilliant, Intermediate, Classic, Solid, and Professional. "Brilliant" sires offer the highest speed and least stamina, while
77:. Bloodstock experts also rely on these theories when purchasing young horses or breeding stock. A basic understanding of these theories can also help the racing public understand a horse's theoretical genetic potential. The breeding theories stem from the belief that careful analysis of 604:
over a series of generations also has a negative impact referred to as "inbreeding depression." The lines may become dominant for certain characteristics, but the offspring also tend to become weaker, less vigorous individuals than animals that are not as inbred.
120:"The Thoroughbred exists because its selection has depended, not on experts, technicians, or zoologists, but on a piece of wood: the winning post of the Epsom Derby. If you base your criteria on anything else, you will get something else, not the Thoroughbred." 213:
Although much attention is paid to the sire line, Thoroughbred horses are also traced through the distaff line, alternately called the mare line or tail-female line. This maternal line is known as a "family". This practice dates to the beginning of the
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time of Lowe’s work. Bobinski later updated his works and split Lowe's families into sub categories. The current female family tables were updated by Toru Shirai of the Japanese Bloodstock Agency with the latest update occurring in 2004.
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to outbreed her own record on the track, especially when she has a good pedigree and is bred to good stock. On the other hand, statistics have shown that high quality racemares produce an inordinately high percent of high class runners.
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Around 1895 an Australian, Bruce Lowe, wrote: “Breeding Racehorses by the Figure System”. He formulated a system of family numbers from the mares listed in the General Stud Book. Lowe believed that the three
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Because stallions can have hundreds of offspring, it is possible to do statistical analysis to measure their success, which in turn affects their future prospects at stud. The most commonly used is the
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sires in particular. The best-known classification system for mares was developed in the late 1800s by an Australian named Bruce Lowe, who analyzed the statistics of major race winners and ranked the
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placed in family 6, one of the earliest tap-root dams, having been foaled around 1635. Most, if not all modern Thoroughbreds trace their ancestry to her through one or both sides of their pedigree.
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The mare Penelope (foaled 1798) produced two Derby winners, and established family 1-o, a branch of family 1. Her female line descendants established further branches over the following decades
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of modern Thoroughbreds, which should not mutate or alter, differs from the records in the General Stud Book, indicating that some female families contain deep rooted pedigree errors.
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than stallions and many leading breeders maintained and built families all tracing to a single mare. However, modern genetic studies have revealed that there are some cases where the
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desirable and rarely produces the superior runner. But inbred animals frequently make outstanding breeding stock because when outcrossed, superior hybrid individuals often result.
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of the Thoroughbred were successful largely due to the mares they were bred to, and so predicting race horse quality required identification and assessment of the mare lines.
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he or she showed tremendous potential in training and was retired due to some untimely circumstance, usually an injury. Such horses usually also have above average pedigrees.
847: 744: 273:. The family with the largest number of wins is No. 1, the next No. 2 and so on up to No. 43, and include families whose descendants have not won a classic race. 133:
tests the horse's strength, soundness and will to win, all of which are heritable to some degree. The ultimate goal is to win elite races, especially
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in the early years of Thoroughbred development, which increased the chances of early horses appearing in many pedigrees today. One example was
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The soundest breeding theory is the simplest one: "Breed the best to the best and hope for the best" is a phrase that probably originated with
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command better prices than those from less respected bloodlines, although they may not prove to be better as racehorses or sires/broodmares.
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The figures are derived from a statistical compilation of the winners of the three great English classic races,
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be speed influences, and may be bred to mares whose broodmare sire has a higher number to inject stamina.
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lines by their degree of success. This and similar ranking systems are still used by some breeders today.
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Families C17-C33 descend from Australian and New Zealand mares who cannot be traced to the GSB
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can lend predictability to breeding outcomes. A well-designed mating increases the
940: 745:"Fast Facts -- What is the Average Earnings Index (AEI) in Thoroughbred Breeding?" 848:"Practical Use of Dosage and Nicking in Thoroughbred Breeding (downloadable PDF)" 183: 42: 626: 146: 138: 125: 106: 24: 85:
of the offspring's success, although many other factors also come into play.
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Another statistic that is valuable to both the bettor and breeder is the
134: 960: 636: 600: 595: 317: 266: 234: 1179:"Thoroughbred Bloodlines - Tregonwell's Natural Barb Mare - Family 1" 1154:"Thoroughbred Bloodlines - Tregonwell's Natural Barb Mare - Family 1" 374: 270: 223: 182:(AWD), available through the Online Stallion Register maintained by 73:
in an attempt to arrange matings that produce progeny successful in
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During the 1950s Kaziemierz Bobinski and Count Zamoyski produced
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Tregonwell's Natural Barb Mare (foundation mare of family 1)
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An example of the danger of ignoring the Racecourse Test was
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Breeding theories to produce better Thoroughbred racehorses
218:(GSB). This was done because the mares produce far fewer 1205:
The Australian Racehorse: An Introduction to Breeding
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Blood will tell: Orthodox breeding theories examined
1012:. London: The Field and Queen. p. 2. Facsimile. 1022: 1007: 294:Old Bald Peg, dam of the Old Morocco Mare (c.1655) 171:For context, the AEI should be accompanied by the 382:The overall structure of family 1 is as follows: 1355: 687: 685: 683: 589: 333:Families B1-B26 trace directly to F.M. Prior's 938: 1061: 871: 823:"The Handicapper's Library: Dosage Explained" 680: 310:Families A1-A37 descend from Sanders Bruce's 299:Thoroughbred families include the following: 100: 874:"Who's Your Momma III: Some Lines Misplaced" 302:Families 1-43 are described by Bruce Lowe's 1080: 1064:"New Research Sheds Light on Old Pedigrees" 890: 1025:Breeding Racehorses by the Figure System 1010:Breeding Racehorses by the Figure System 717: 373: 305:Breeding Racehorses by the Figure System 289: 1016: 330:Families Ar1-Ar2 are Argentine families 1356: 1222:. London: J. A. Allen. pp. 17–18. 1217: 1211: 1055: 554:Bonny Lass was also the fourth dam of 244: 156: 113: 1202: 1196: 1023:Lowe, Bruce; William Allison (1977). 1008:Lowe, Bruce; William Allison (1977). 865: 663:"Pedigree Theories: Best to the Best" 642:Average Earnings Index (horse racing) 339:Families C1-C16 are described in the 316:, with mares who cannot be traced to 1207:. Canberra: Libra Books. p. 16. 1001: 612:is an example of such hybrid vigor. 770:"Ultimate Race Summary Explanation" 718:Mitchell, Frank (8 December 2015). 459:Penelope was also the fifth dam of 285: 13: 1305: 691: 660: 357: 351:Families P1-P2 are Polish families 208: 14: 1380: 1081:Hill, E. W.; et al. (2002). 891:Hill, E. W.; et al. (2002). 1102:10.1046/j.1365-2052.2002.00870.x 912:10.1046/j.1365-2052.2002.00870.x 514:Ellen Horne was also the dam of 434:Web was also the twelfth dam of 41: 23: 1325: 1299: 1275: 1250: 1226: 1171: 1146: 1122: 1031: 977: 953: 932: 720:"Sunday Silence Speaks Volumes" 694:"Pedigrees: the Racehorse Test" 985:"Look here for racing's roots" 840: 815: 790: 762: 737: 711: 654: 1: 647: 590:Inbreeding versus outcrossing 475:Prunella was also the dam of 345:as approved Colonial Families 153:for thirteen straight years. 279:Family Tables of Racehorses, 7: 1333:"Pedigrees: Why Inbreeding" 961:"Equine Business Marketing" 615: 10: 1385: 1312:American Classic Pedigrees 593: 580: 530:who was the fourth dam of 489:who was the second dam of 194: 101:Breed the best to the best 523:Pawn was also the dam of 482:who was the third dam of 448:who was the third dam of 427:who was the fifth dam of 397:who was the third dam of 190: 1364:Horse breeding and studs 1287:www.thoroughbredinfo.com 180:Average Winning Distance 1337:www.pedigreegoddess.com 1070:. Thoroughbred Heritage 880:. Thoroughbred Heritage 698:www.pedigreegoddess.com 667:www.pedigreegoddess.com 1218:Napier, Miles (1977). 965:Wild Horse Advertising 466:and the fourth dam of 379: 295: 275: 165:Average Earnings Index 122: 1369:Thoroughbred families 503:who is second dam of 390:was the fifth dam of 377: 293: 259: 118: 798:"Sources of Stamina" 371:(1926), family 1-x. 342:Australian Stud Book 1283:"Debunking Nicking" 1203:Wicks, B.M (1973). 1062:Erigero, Patricia. 939:Hardiman, James R. 872:Erigero, Patricia. 561:who was the dam of 558:(1805, family 1-b) 537:who was the dam of 534:(1867, family 1-h) 527:(1823, family 1-g) 500:(1876, family 1-m) 496:who was the dam of 493:(1870, family 1-l) 486:(1844, family 1-j) 479:(1808, family 1-f) 445:(1825, family 1-t) 424:(1808, family 1-s) 420:who was the dam of 417:(1798, family 1-o) 411:who was the dam of 408:(1788, family 1-e) 404:who was the dam of 401:(1768, family 1-d) 394:(1723, family 1-a) 245:Bruce Lowe families 157:Stallion statistics 114:The racecourse test 1183:www.bloodlines.net 1158:www.bloodlines.net 852:www.bloodhorse.com 565:(1824, family 1-c) 541:(1874, family 1-i) 518:(1865, family 1-k) 507:(1894, family 1-n) 452:(1858, family 1-u) 438:(1926, family 1-x) 431:(1860, family 1-w) 380: 335:Half-Bred Studbook 313:American Stud Book 296: 137:in England or the 67:racehorse theories 50:American Stud Book 48:Volume Two of the 30:Volume Six of the 1234:"About TrueNicks" 1039:"Reference Books" 749:cs.bloodhorse.com 323:General Stud Book 233:Many horses were 216:General Stud Book 173:Comparative Index 63:breeding theories 32:General Stud Book 1376: 1348: 1347: 1345: 1343: 1329: 1323: 1322: 1320: 1318: 1306:Hunter, Avalyn. 1303: 1297: 1296: 1294: 1293: 1279: 1273: 1272: 1270: 1268: 1258:"The Mega Nicks" 1254: 1248: 1247: 1245: 1244: 1230: 1224: 1223: 1215: 1209: 1208: 1200: 1194: 1193: 1191: 1189: 1175: 1169: 1168: 1166: 1164: 1150: 1144: 1143: 1141: 1140: 1126: 1120: 1119: 1117: 1116: 1087: 1078: 1076: 1075: 1059: 1053: 1052: 1050: 1049: 1035: 1029: 1028: 1020: 1014: 1013: 1005: 999: 998: 996: 995: 981: 975: 974: 972: 971: 957: 951: 950: 948: 947: 936: 930: 929: 927: 926: 897: 888: 886: 885: 869: 863: 862: 860: 858: 844: 838: 837: 835: 833: 819: 813: 812: 810: 808: 794: 788: 787: 785: 783: 774: 766: 760: 759: 757: 755: 741: 735: 734: 732: 730: 715: 709: 708: 706: 704: 689: 678: 677: 675: 673: 658: 468:The Prairie Bird 450:Maid of the Glen 327: 286:Analysis and use 252:foundation sires 128: 45: 27: 1384: 1383: 1379: 1378: 1377: 1375: 1374: 1373: 1354: 1353: 1352: 1351: 1341: 1339: 1331: 1330: 1326: 1316: 1314: 1304: 1300: 1291: 1289: 1281: 1280: 1276: 1266: 1264: 1256: 1255: 1251: 1242: 1240: 1232: 1231: 1227: 1216: 1212: 1201: 1197: 1187: 1185: 1177: 1176: 1172: 1162: 1160: 1152: 1151: 1147: 1138: 1136: 1130:"Family Tables" 1128: 1127: 1123: 1114: 1112: 1090:Animal Genetics 1085: 1073: 1071: 1068:Genetic Markers 1060: 1056: 1047: 1045: 1037: 1036: 1032: 1021: 1017: 1006: 1002: 993: 991: 983: 982: 978: 969: 967: 959: 958: 954: 945: 943: 937: 933: 924: 922: 900:Animal Genetics 895: 883: 881: 878:Genetic Markers 870: 866: 856: 854: 846: 845: 841: 831: 829: 827:www.brisnet.com 821: 820: 816: 806: 804: 796: 795: 791: 781: 779: 772: 768: 767: 763: 753: 751: 743: 742: 738: 728: 726: 716: 712: 702: 700: 690: 681: 671: 669: 659: 655: 650: 618: 598: 592: 583: 574: 441:and the dam of 360: 358:Family branches 320: 288: 247: 211: 209:The female line 199: 193: 184:The Blood-Horse 159: 130: 124: 116: 103: 57: 56: 55: 54: 53: 46: 37: 36: 35: 28: 17: 12: 11: 5: 1382: 1372: 1371: 1366: 1350: 1349: 1324: 1298: 1274: 1249: 1225: 1210: 1195: 1170: 1145: 1121: 1096:(4): 287–294. 1054: 1030: 1015: 1000: 976: 952: 931: 906:(4): 287–294. 864: 839: 814: 802:BloodHorse.com 789: 761: 736: 724:Paulick Report 710: 692:Peters, Anne. 679: 661:Peters, Anne. 652: 651: 649: 646: 645: 644: 639: 634: 629: 627:Horse breeding 624: 617: 614: 594:Main article: 591: 588: 582: 579: 573: 572: 571: 570: 569: 568: 567: 566: 552: 551: 550: 549: 548: 547: 546: 545: 544: 543: 542: 521: 520: 519: 512: 511: 510: 509: 508: 473: 472: 471: 464: 457: 456: 455: 454: 453: 439: 432: 384: 359: 356: 355: 354: 353: 352: 349: 346: 337: 331: 328: 308: 287: 284: 246: 243: 210: 207: 195:Main article: 192: 189: 158: 155: 147:Sunday Silence 139:Kentucky Derby 126:Federico Tesio 117: 115: 112: 107:John E. 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Index



Thoroughbred
horse breeders
horse racing
bloodlines
distaff
mare
John E. Madden
Federico Tesio
The Derby
Kentucky Derby
Sunday Silence
leading sire
Average Earnings Index
The Blood-Horse
Dosage Index
Dosage
General Stud Book
foals
haplotype
mtDNA
inbred
Old Bald Peg
foundation sires
Derby
Oaks
St. Leger

Breeding Racehorses by the Figure System

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