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Stylized fact

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59:(1936) introduces the concept of stylization as follows: "To get a clear view, stylisation is indispensable. The many phenomena must be grouped in such a way that the picture becomes clear, yet without losing its characteristic traits. Of course every stylisation is a hazardous venture. The art of the social economist's work lies in this stylisation. Some stylisations have been unwieldy, others have been unrealistic. But stylisation is essential. The alternative is barrenness." 73:
problem that "facts as recorded by statisticians, are always subject to numerous snags and qualifications, and for that reason are incapable of being summarized", he suggests that theorists "should be free to start off with a stylised view of the facts – i.e. concentrate on broad tendencies, ignoring individual detail". With respect to broad tendencies that result from such a process, Kaldor coins the term "stylized facts".
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Still, some possible approaches to derive stylized facts from empirical evidence have been suggested, such as surveying experts, statistically analysing large data sets (especially suitable for financial markets) or aggregating both qualitative and quantitative data from different empirical methods by following a systematic process.
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Already in the original paper, Kaldor used his stylized facts of economic growth to argue in favor of his suggested model in comparison to older neoclassical models of economic growth. This idea has been highlighted subsequently by Boland, that the advantages of one model over the other can be set in
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Already in an early response Solow pinpointed a possible problem of stylized facts, by stating that "there is no doubt that they are stylized, though it is possible to question whether they are facts". The criticized practice of deriving stylized facts ad hoc is still quite prevalent in economics.
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a clear perspective via the reference of the stylized facts the respective models can explain. Additionally, stylized facts can be used to look "under the hood of models", i.e. be used to validate assumptions of model in a focused way. This can be of particular importance in more complex models.
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in the context of a debate on economic growth theory in 1961, expanding on model assumptions made in a 1957 paper. Criticizing the neoclassical models of economic growth of his time, Kaldor argues that theory construction should begin with a summary of the relevant facts. However, to handle the
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The full text of Tinbergen's 1936 paper, originally written in Dutch, is available in English as 'An economic policy for 1936', in Klaassen et al., eds. (1959, pp. 37–84). There the quoted phrases are found on p. 41, in a somewhat different wording. This translation is taken from Don, H. and
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is a simplified presentation of an empirical finding. Stylized facts are broad tendencies that aim to summarize the data, offering essential truths while ignoring individual details. Stylized facts offer strong generalizations that are generally true for entire populations, even when the
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A prominent example of a stylized fact is: "Education significantly raises lifetime income." Another stylized fact in economics is: "In advanced economies, real GDP growth fluctuates in a recurrent but irregular fashion".
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begins from stylized facts. Furthermore, the considerable potential of Stylized Facts for Information Systems research has been investigated and discussed in recent years.
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instead of higher-paid fields. Nonetheless, broadly speaking, people with more education tend to earn more, so the above example is true in the sense of a stylized fact.
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Stylized facts are widely used in economics, in particular to motivate the construction of a model and/or to validate it. Examples are:
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However, scrutiny to detail will often produce counterexamples. In the case given above, holding a PhD may
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lifetime income, because of the years of lost earnings it implies and because many PhD holders enter
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Cont, Rama (2001). "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues".
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Cont, R. (2001). "Empirical Properties of Asset Returns: Stylized Facts and Statistical Issues".
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When describing what is generally regarded as the first econometric macro model ever developed,
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Kaldor, Nicholas (1961). "Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth". In Lutz; Hague (eds.).
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Verbruggen, J. 2006. Models and methods for economic policy;60 years of evolution at CPB
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Inventory behavior of firms: "the variance of production exceeds the variance of sales"
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Boland (1987). "Stylized Facts". In Eatwell, J.; Milgate, M.; Newman, P. (eds.).
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Kahn, James A. (1987). "Inventories and the Volatility of Production".
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Heine, Bernd-O.; Meyer, Matthias; Strangfeld, Oliver (2005).
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generalization may not be true for individual observations.
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The term "stylised facts" was introduced by the economist
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Education is positively correlated to lifetime earnings
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Houy, Constantin; Fettke, Peter; Loos, Peter (2015).
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Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
380: 467: 403: 88:are uncorrelated and not easily forecastable. 16:Simplified presentation of empirical finding 376: 374: 121: 219:: CS1 maint: location missing publisher ( 251: 170:. Princeton University Press. p. 3. 397: 371: 355:The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 468: 352: 273: 271: 233: 204: 165: 426: 50: 441: 323: 286: 168:Frontiers of Business Cycle Research 268: 198: 13: 14: 492: 410:Communications of the AIS (CAIS) 435: 420: 346: 317: 280: 227: 184: 159: 1: 152: 429:Growth Theory: an Exposition 236:"A Model of Economic Growth" 166:Cooley, Thomas, ed. (1995). 7: 209:. London. pp. 177–222. 130: 76: 10: 497: 61: 234:Kaldor, Nicholas (1957). 94:tend to move in parallel. 327:American Economic Review 122:Criticism and derivation 104: 193:Statistica Neerlandica 207:The Theory of Capital 62:Further information: 481:Economic methodology 444:Quantitative Finance 290:Quantitative Finance 240:The Economic Journal 142:Idealised population 277:Kaldor 1961, p. 178 116:Statistical finance 51:Origin of the term 456:10.1080/713665670 364:978-0-333-37235-7 303:10.1080/713665670 177:978-0-691-04323-4 488: 460: 459: 439: 433: 432: 424: 418: 417: 401: 395: 394: 378: 369: 368: 350: 344: 343: 321: 315: 314: 284: 278: 275: 266: 265: 255: 246:(268): 591–624. 231: 225: 224: 218: 210: 202: 196: 188: 182: 181: 163: 137:Alternative fact 496: 495: 491: 490: 489: 487: 486: 485: 466: 465: 464: 463: 440: 436: 425: 421: 402: 398: 379: 372: 365: 351: 347: 322: 318: 285: 281: 276: 269: 253:10.2307/2227704 232: 228: 212: 211: 203: 199: 189: 185: 178: 164: 160: 155: 133: 124: 107: 79: 70:Nicholas Kaldor 66: 53: 21:social sciences 17: 12: 11: 5: 494: 484: 483: 478: 476:Economics laws 462: 461: 450:(2): 223–236. 434: 427:Solow (1969). 419: 396: 370: 363: 345: 334:(4): 667–679. 316: 297:(2): 223–236. 279: 267: 226: 197: 183: 176: 157: 156: 154: 151: 150: 149: 144: 139: 132: 129: 123: 120: 106: 103: 102: 101: 98: 95: 89: 78: 75: 64:Kaldor's facts 52: 49: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 493: 482: 479: 477: 474: 473: 471: 457: 453: 449: 445: 438: 430: 423: 416:(1): 225–256. 415: 411: 407: 400: 392: 388: 384: 377: 375: 366: 360: 356: 349: 341: 337: 333: 329: 328: 320: 312: 308: 304: 300: 296: 292: 291: 283: 274: 272: 263: 259: 254: 249: 245: 241: 237: 230: 222: 216: 208: 201: 194: 187: 179: 173: 169: 162: 158: 148: 145: 143: 140: 138: 135: 134: 128: 119: 117: 113: 99: 96: 93: 90: 87: 86:Stock returns 84: 83: 82: 74: 71: 65: 60: 58: 57:Jan Tinbergen 48: 46: 42: 37: 33: 30: 29:stylized fact 26: 23:, especially 22: 447: 443: 437: 428: 422: 413: 409: 399: 390: 386: 354: 348: 331: 325: 319: 294: 288: 282: 243: 239: 229: 206: 200: 192: 186: 167: 161: 125: 112:Econophysics 108: 92:Yield curves 80: 67: 54: 40: 38: 34: 28: 18: 470:Categories 153:References 215:cite book 147:Mathiness 25:economics 131:See also 77:Examples 45:academia 393:(4): 4. 340:1814538 311:5625400 262:2227704 361:  338:  309:  260:  174:  336:JSTOR 307:S2CID 258:JSTOR 195:60)2. 41:lower 359:ISBN 221:link 172:ISBN 105:Uses 27:, a 452:doi 299:doi 248:doi 19:In 472:: 446:. 414:37 412:. 408:. 389:. 385:. 373:^ 332:77 330:. 305:. 293:. 270:^ 256:. 244:67 242:. 238:. 217:}} 213:{{ 458:. 454:: 448:1 391:8 367:. 342:. 313:. 301:: 295:1 264:. 250:: 223:) 180:. 114:/

Index

social sciences
economics
academia
Jan Tinbergen
Kaldor's facts
Nicholas Kaldor
Stock returns
Yield curves
Econophysics
Statistical finance
Alternative fact
Idealised population
Mathiness
ISBN
978-0-691-04323-4
cite book
link
"A Model of Economic Growth"
doi
10.2307/2227704
JSTOR
2227704


Quantitative Finance
doi
10.1080/713665670
S2CID
5625400
American Economic Review

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