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173:. She predicted that an unmitigated pandemic could cause over $ 800 billion of damage to the United States economy. Her estimate made use of earnings, costs associated with staying in hospital and loses in income due to illness. Del Valle demonstrated that if face masks were used by half of the population, economic losses of up to $ 573 billion could be avoided.
133:. She showed that the spread of smallpox is particularly sensitive to how rapidly people self-isolate. She developed a differential equation that could describe the spread, which revealed that the epidemic size depended on how quickly the population developed immunity. After completing her doctorate in 2005, Del Valle joined the
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Del Valle was appointed a permanent staff member at LANL after completing her postdoctoral research. Her research involves the development of mathematical and computational models to mitigate the spread of viruses. She has shown that it is possible to use
166:. Alongside the computational models, Del Valle has developed algorithms that can quantify their uncertainty. She was appointed lead of the pandemic project at the National Infrastructure Simulation and Analysis Center.
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and social media with satellite imagery and climate information to improve disease forecasting. For mosquito-borne diseases, satellite data can provide information on vegetation and surface water.
231:, the state that is home to the LANL, avoided a steep SARS-CoV-2 death toll. Del Valle has called for a global centre to be established that can monitor information about the spread of COVID-19.
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as a model, Del Valle showed that
Knowledge had the potential to be an effective, community driven monitoring system to identify emerging diseases as well as storing and sharing data. She used
219:. Her models were used to inform states on social distancing guidelines and quarantine restrictions. Her models, which were released in late April 2020, made use of data from the
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101:(LANL). At the LANL, Del Valle leads the Fusion Team, where she combines internet data with satellite imagery to forecast disease outbreaks. During the
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Hickmann, Kyle S.; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Priedhorsky, Reid; Generous, Nicholas; Hyman, James M.; Deshpande, Alina; Del Valle, Sara Y. (14 May 2015).
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pages not only gauge public interest, but also provide chronological information on disease incidence. Del Valle has combined internet data from
211:, Del Valle worked on a computational model to describe the spread of COVID-19 around the United States. As there is no historical data for
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Proceedings of the ... International AAAI Conference on
Weblogs and Social Media. International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media
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Del Valle, S.Y.; Hyman, J.M.; Hethcote, H.W.; Eubank, S.G. (October 2007). "Mixing patterns between age groups in social networks".
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551:"Invited Speakers | The Fifth CSL Symposium on Emerging Topics in Control and Modeling: Social and Economic Behavior"
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Generous, Nicholas; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Deshpande, Alina; Del Valle, Sara Y.; Priedhorsky, Reid (24 March 2016).
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Award in 1996. She earned her bachelor's degree in 2001. For her graduate studies she moved to the
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or mask as well as capturing public sentiment. These findings are used by Del Valle in predictive
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Effects of behavioral changes and mixing patterns in mathematical models for smallpox epidemics
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Effects of behavioral changes and mixing patterns in mathematical models for smallpox epidemics
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Del Valle created a computational model that could predict the spread of COVID-19 around the
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Fairchild, Geoffrey; Del Valle, Sara Y.; De Silva, Lalindra; Segre, Alberto M. (May 2015).
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834:"Suzanne Weekes Co-Founder of Preparation for Industrial Careers in Mathematical Sciences"
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to predict epidemics, which includes searching social media platforms for terms such as
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809:"Introducing the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease Dynamics Collection"
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In 2012 Del Valle studied the economic benefits of wearing face masks during the
725:"Knowledge could predict disease outbreaks including dengue fever and influenza"
145:, and accurately predicted the peak and number of people who would be infected.
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as a postdoctoral researcher. Her early worked involved modelling the spread of
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Tracht, Samantha M.; Del Valle, Sara Y.; Edwards, Brian K. (2012-05-07).
967:"How Computer Modeling Of COVID-19's Spread Could Help Fight The Virus"
909:"How New Mexico, One of the Poorest States, Averted a Steep Death Toll"
859:"How Computer Modeling Of COVID-19's Spread Could Help Fight The Virus"
661:"Economic analysis of the use of facemasks during pandemic (H1N1) 2009"
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631:"Consortium for Modeling and Analysis of Treatments and Interventions"
606:"Virus forecast model from defense team in Los Alamos draws attention"
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571:"Disease modelers gaze into computers to see future of Covid-19"
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can be used to monitor for disease outbreaks. Making use of the
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306:"Forecasting the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Using Knowledge"
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competition to improve flu forecasting software. During the
942:"Amid uncertainty, NM health officials turn to statistics"
386:"Global Disease Monitoring and Forecasting with Knowledge"
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articles. Del Valle believes that the history sections of
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is a senior scientist and mathematical epidemiologist at
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to capture critical information and case counts from
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751:"Eliciting Disease Data from Knowledge Articles"
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468:""Anonymous" Data Won't Protect Your Identity"
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203:In 2019, Del Valle and co-workers won a
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455:"How Big Data Can Help Save the World"
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466:Bushwick, Sophie (23 July 2019).
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139:severe acute respiratory syndrome
522:Del Valle, Sara Yemimah (2005).
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176:Del Valle studied the ways that
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494:"Profile for Sara Y. Del Valle"
235:Selected works and publications
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665:Journal of Theoretical Biology
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604:Lee, Morgan (April 20, 2020).
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99:Los Alamos National Laboratory
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907:Romero, Simon (2020-04-24).
341:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004239
289:10.1016/j.socnet.2007.04.005
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1053:21st-century American women
205:Centers for Disease Control
186:natural language processing
16:Mathematical epidemiologist
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971:www.wyomingpublicmedia.org
685:10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.01.032
310:PLOS Computational Biology
1038:University of Iowa alumni
123:Excellence in Mathematics
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1023:American epidemiologists
221:Johns Hopkins University
403:10.5210/ojphi.v8i1.6530
171:2009 swine flu pandemic
117:Del Valle attended the
223:platform developed by
95:Sara Yemimah Del Valle
447:Selected publications
49:Epidemiology modeling
23:Sara Yemimah De Valle
1043:COVID-19 researchers
677:2012JThBi.300..161T
472:Scientific American
332:2015PLSCB..11E4239H
149:Research and career
946:www.abqjournal.com
913:The New York Times
889:. 26 February 2020
729:The Economic Times
612:. Associated Press
164:agent-based models
127:University of Iowa
38:University of Iowa
994:Sara Y. Del Valle
887:Santa Fe Reporter
840:. 10 January 2018
813:The PLOS One blog
209:COVID-19 pandemic
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671:: 161–172.
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1007:Categories
976:2020-04-27
951:2020-04-27
926:2020-04-27
893:2020-04-27
868:2020-04-27
844:2020-04-27
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768:1504.00657
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635:c-mati.org
616:2020-04-27
581:2020-04-27
556:2020-04-27
532:8160039884
503:2020-04-27
480:References
229:New Mexico
213:SARS-CoV-2
141:(SARS) in
921:0362-4331
777:2162-3449
761:: 26–33.
693:1095-8541
412:1947-2579
350:1553-7358
323:1410.7716
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217:influenza
198:Knowledge
194:Knowledge
190:Knowledge
178:Knowledge
113:Education
35:(BS, MS)
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440:Wikidata
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368:25974758
131:smallpox
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