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Prevention paradox

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where maternal age is a risk factor. Yet, most cases of Down syndrome will be born to younger, low risk mothers (this is true at least in populations where most women have children at a younger age). This situation is paradoxical because it is common and logical to equate high-risk populations with
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Another example could be seen in terms of reducing overall alcohol problems in a population. Although less serious, most alcohol problems are not found among dependent drinkers. Greater societal gain will be obtained by achieving a small reduction in alcohol misuse within a far larger group of
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of 2020, the term "prevention paradox" was also used to describe the apparent paradox of people questioning steps to prevent the spread of the pandemic because the prophesied spread did not occur. This however is instead an example of a
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describes the seemingly contradictory situation where the majority of cases of a disease come from a population at low or moderate risk of that disease, and only a minority of cases come from the
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The Prevention Paradox Applies to Alcohol Use and Problems among Adolescents
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Rose G., "Strategy of prevention: lessons from cardiovascular disease",
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Rose, 920: 225: 893: 232: 218: 60: 65:For example, Rose describes the case of 124: 98: 921: 239: 213: 13: 550:What the Tortoise Said to Achilles 200:2001; vol. 30, no. 3: pp. 442-446. 157: 14: 945: 180: 903: 902: 892: 191:1985; vol. 14, no. 1: pp. 32-38. 151: 118: 105: 70:making up the majority of the 1: 125:Spinney, Laura (2020-04-26). 7: 81: 10: 950: 18: 934:Decision-making paradoxes 888: 740: 569: 369: 248: 16:Situation in epidemiology 19:Not to be confused with 469:Paradoxes of set theory 61:Hypothetical case study 51:self-defeating prophecy 88:False positive paradox 44:Especially during the 835:Kavka's toxin puzzle 607:Income and fertility 99:Notes and references 93:Preparedness paradox 55:preparedness paradox 32:high risk population 21:Preparedness paradox 929:Medical terminology 494:Temperature paradox 417:Free choice paradox 281:Fitch's knowability 115:1981; 282: 1847-51. 870:Prisoner's dilemma 556:Heat death paradox 544:Unexpected hanging 509:Chicken or the egg 28:prevention paradox 916: 915: 587:Arrow information 158:Boudry, Maarten. 72:burden of disease 46:COVID-19 pandemic 941: 906: 905: 896: 895: 707:Service recovery 561:Olbers's paradox 261:Buridan's bridge 234: 227: 220: 211: 210: 174: 173: 171: 170: 164:The Conversation 155: 149: 148: 146: 145: 122: 116: 109: 949: 948: 944: 943: 942: 940: 939: 938: 919: 918: 917: 912: 884: 795:Decision-making 741:Decision theory 736: 565: 489:Hilbert's Hotel 422:Grelling–Nelson 365: 244: 238: 183: 178: 177: 168: 166: 156: 152: 143: 141: 123: 119: 110: 106: 101: 84: 63: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 947: 937: 936: 931: 914: 913: 911: 910: 900: 889: 886: 885: 883: 882: 877: 872: 867: 862: 857: 852: 847: 842: 837: 832: 827: 822: 817: 812: 807: 802: 797: 792: 787: 782: 777: 772: 771: 770: 765: 760: 750: 744: 742: 738: 737: 735: 734: 729: 724: 719: 714: 712:St. Petersburg 709: 704: 699: 694: 689: 684: 679: 674: 669: 664: 659: 654: 649: 644: 639: 634: 629: 624: 619: 614: 609: 604: 599: 594: 589: 584: 579: 573: 571: 567: 566: 564: 563: 558: 553: 546: 541: 536: 531: 526: 521: 516: 511: 506: 501: 496: 491: 486: 481: 476: 471: 466: 461: 460: 459: 454: 449: 444: 439: 429: 424: 419: 414: 409: 404: 399: 394: 389: 384: 379: 373: 371: 367: 366: 364: 363: 358: 353: 348: 343: 341:Rule-following 338: 333: 328: 323: 318: 313: 308: 303: 298: 293: 288: 283: 278: 273: 268: 266:Dream argument 263: 258: 252: 250: 246: 245: 237: 236: 229: 222: 214: 208: 207: 202: 193: 182: 181:External links 179: 176: 175: 150: 117: 103: 102: 100: 97: 96: 95: 90: 83: 80: 62: 59: 36:epidemiologist 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 946: 935: 932: 930: 927: 926: 924: 909: 901: 899: 891: 890: 887: 881: 878: 876: 873: 871: 868: 866: 863: 861: 858: 856: 853: 851: 848: 846: 843: 841: 840:Morton's fork 838: 836: 833: 831: 828: 826: 823: 821: 818: 816: 813: 811: 808: 806: 803: 801: 798: 796: 793: 791: 788: 786: 783: 781: 780:Buridan's ass 778: 776: 773: 769: 766: 764: 761: 759: 756: 755: 754: 753:Apportionment 751: 749: 746: 745: 743: 739: 733: 730: 728: 725: 723: 720: 718: 715: 713: 710: 708: 705: 703: 700: 698: 695: 693: 690: 688: 685: 683: 680: 678: 675: 673: 670: 668: 665: 663: 660: 658: 655: 653: 650: 648: 645: 643: 640: 638: 635: 633: 630: 628: 625: 623: 620: 618: 615: 613: 612:Downs–Thomson 610: 608: 605: 603: 600: 598: 595: 593: 590: 588: 585: 583: 580: 578: 575: 574: 572: 568: 562: 559: 557: 554: 551: 547: 545: 542: 540: 537: 535: 532: 530: 529:Plato's beard 527: 525: 522: 520: 517: 515: 512: 510: 507: 505: 502: 500: 497: 495: 492: 490: 487: 485: 482: 480: 477: 475: 472: 470: 467: 465: 462: 458: 455: 453: 450: 448: 445: 443: 440: 438: 435: 434: 433: 430: 428: 427:Kleene–Rosser 425: 423: 420: 418: 415: 413: 410: 408: 405: 403: 400: 398: 395: 393: 390: 388: 385: 383: 380: 378: 375: 374: 372: 368: 362: 359: 357: 354: 352: 351:Theseus' ship 349: 347: 344: 342: 339: 337: 334: 332: 329: 327: 324: 322: 319: 317: 314: 312: 311:Mere addition 309: 307: 304: 302: 299: 297: 294: 292: 289: 287: 284: 282: 279: 277: 274: 272: 269: 267: 264: 262: 259: 257: 254: 253: 251: 249:Philosophical 247: 243: 235: 230: 228: 223: 221: 216: 215: 212: 206: 203: 201: 199: 194: 192: 190: 185: 184: 165: 161: 154: 140: 136: 132: 128: 121: 114: 108: 104: 94: 91: 89: 86: 85: 79: 75: 73: 68: 67:Down syndrome 58: 56: 52: 47: 42: 40: 39:Geoffrey Rose 37: 33: 29: 22: 864: 860:Preparedness 692:Productivity 672:Mandeville's 464:Opposite Day 392:Burali-Forti 387:Bhartrhari's 198:Int J Epidem 197: 189:Int J Epidem 188: 167:. Retrieved 163: 153: 142:. Retrieved 131:The Guardian 130: 120: 112: 107: 76: 64: 43: 27: 25: 790:Condorcet's 642:Giffen good 602:Competition 356:White horse 331:Omnipotence 923:Categories 865:Prevention 855:Parrondo's 845:Navigation 830:Inventor's 825:Hedgehog's 785:Chainstore 768:Population 763:New states 697:Prosperity 677:Mayfield's 519:Entailment 499:Barbershop 412:Epimenides 169:2020-05-06 144:2020-05-06 880:Willpower 875:Tolerance 850:Newcomb's 815:Fredkin's 702:Scitovsky 622:Edgeworth 617:Easterlin 582:Antitrust 479:Russell's 474:Richard's 447:Pinocchio 402:Crocodile 321:Newcomb's 291:Goodman's 286:Free will 271:Epicurean 242:paradoxes 139:0261-3077 908:Category 805:Ellsberg 657:Leontief 637:Gibson's 632:European 627:Ellsberg 597:Braess's 592:Bertrand 570:Economic 504:Catch-22 484:Socratic 326:Nihilism 296:Hedonism 256:Analysis 240:Notable 113:Br Med J 82:See also 810:Fenno's 775:Arrow's 758:Alabama 748:Abilene 727:Tullock 682:Metzler 524:Lottery 514:Drinker 457:Yablo's 452:Quine's 407:Curry's 370:Logical 346:Sorites 336:Preface 316:Moore's 301:Liberal 276:Fiction 717:Thrift 687:Plenty 662:Lerner 652:Jevons 647:Icarus 577:Allais 539:Ross's 377:Barber 361:Zeno's 306:Meno's 137:  820:Green 800:Downs 732:Value 667:Lucas 534:Raven 442:No-no 397:Court 382:Berry 53:or a 898:List 722:Toil 437:Card 432:Liar 135:ISSN 26:The 41:. 925:: 162:. 133:. 129:. 74:. 57:. 552:" 548:" 233:e 226:t 219:v 172:. 147:. 23:.

Index

Preparedness paradox
high risk population
epidemiologist
Geoffrey Rose
COVID-19 pandemic
self-defeating prophecy
preparedness paradox
Down syndrome
burden of disease
False positive paradox
Preparedness paradox
"Germany's Covid-19 expert: 'For many, I'm the evil guy crippling the economy'"
ISSN
0261-3077
"A strange paradox: the better we manage to contain the coronavirus pandemic, the less we will learn from it"
"Sick individuals and sick populations", G. Rose, Int J Epidem 1985; vol. 14, no. 1: pp. 32-38.
"Commentary: The prevention paradox in lay epidemiology—Rose revisited", Kate Hunt and Carol Emslie, Int J Epidem 2001; vol. 30, no. 3: pp. 442-446.
The Prevention Paradox Applies to Alcohol Use and Problems among Adolescents
v
t
e
paradoxes
Analysis
Buridan's bridge
Dream argument
Epicurean
Fiction
Fitch's knowability
Free will
Goodman's

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