1116:
629:
84:
for the electrical generation are based on the loss of load being observed/calculated over a long interval (one or multiple years) in relatively small increments (an hour or a day). The total number of increments inside the long interval is designated as
236:) is sometimes used. Since LOLE uses the daily peak value for the whole day, LOLH (that uses different peak values for each hour) cannot be obtained by simply multiplying LOLE by 24; although in practice the relationship is close to
427:
64:) that characterizes a probability of a loss of load occurring within a year. Loss of load events are calculated before the mitigating actions (purchasing electricity from other systems,
328:
968:
226:
807:
155:
129:
365:
103:
814:
17:
975:
164:
is a probability of an occurrence of an increment with a loss of load condition. LOLP can also be considered as a probability of involuntary
374:
1153:
944:
892:
846:
789:
742:
713:
684:
651:
434:
910:
1034:
1177:
267:
258:) is the number of loss of load events within the interval (an event can occupy several contiguous increments);
1182:
961:
177:
1146:
1172:
237:
760:
Ela, Erik; Milligan, Michael; Bloom, Aaron; Botterud, Audun; Townsend, Aaron; Levin, Todd (2018).
670:
27:
Term for when the available generation capacity in an electrical grid is less than the system load
924:
44:
is a term used to describe the situation when the available generation capacity is less than the
1139:
1093:
53:
761:
732:
703:
641:
134:
108:
762:"Long-Term Resource Adequacy, Long-Term Flexibility Requirements, and Revenue Sufficiency"
341:
8:
1003:
1013:
1008:
898:
860:
831:
2014 International
Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
777:
464:
228:. Frequently LOLE is specified in days, if the increment is an hour, not a day, a term
88:
1127:
927:. In Antônio José da Silva Neto; Orestes Llanes Santiago; Geraldo Nunes Silva (eds.).
984:
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785:
748:
738:
719:
709:
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657:
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resources will be planned in such a manner that ... the probability of disconnecting
81:
49:
902:
932:
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834:
769:
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674:
430:
45:
41:
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Mathematical
Modeling and Computational Intelligence in Engineering Applications
773:
174:
is the total duration of increments when the loss of load is expected to occur,
1123:
877:
2006 International
Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems
872:
838:
823:
884:
752:
723:
694:
661:
1166:
799:
781:
165:
65:
824:"Comparing resource adequacy metrics and their influence on capacity value"
442:
69:
56:
are using loss of load in their definitions, with the more popular being
953:
856:
768:. Vol. 144. Springer International Publishing. pp. 129–164.
528:
31:
808:"Probabilistic Adequacy and Measures: Technical Reference Report"
1062:
923:
Duarte, Yorlandys
Salgado; Serpa, Alfredo del Castillo (2016).
422:{\displaystyle {LOLP}={\frac {1}{10\cdot 365}}\approx 0.000274}
1115:
482:
480:
1088:
1057:
1052:
1048:
1043:
1039:
576:
731:
Wang, Xi-Fan; Song, Yonghua; Irving, Malcolm (7 June 2010).
516:
264:
characterizes the average duration of a loss of load event:
68:) are taken, so a loss of load does not necessarily cause a
1098:
1083:
1078:
1029:
998:
925:"Assessment of the Reliability of Electrical Power Systems"
873:"Basic Concepts in Generating Capacity Adequacy Evaluation"
477:
552:
540:
504:
75:
759:
534:
669:
Arteconi, Alessia; Bruninx, Kenneth (7 February 2018).
593:
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737:. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 151.
646:. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 174.
492:
643:
608:
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137:
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91:
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630:"Loss of Load Probability: Application to Montana"
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705:Electric Power Systems: A Conceptual Introduction
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822:Ibanez, Eduardo; Milligan, Michael (July 2014),
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240:, the coefficients vary from network to network;
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510:
323:{\displaystyle {LOLD}={\frac {LOLE}{LOLF}}}
1154:
1140:
976:
962:
871:Billinton, Roy; Huang, Dange (June 2006),
429:. In the US, the threshold is set by the
766:Studies in Systems, Decision and Control
639:
498:
983:
14:
1165:
1122:This electricity-related article is a
708:. John Wiley & Sons. p. 230.
679:. Vol. 5. Elsevier. p. 140.
445:will be no more than once in ten years
371:" a.k.a. "1 in 10"), corresponding to
76:Loss-of-load-based reliability indices
957:
918:. Stanford Washington Research Group.
908:
702:Meier, Alexandra von (30 June 2006).
701:
612:
597:
338:A typically accepted design goal for
1110:
806:
570:
435:Northeast Power Coordinating Council
221:{\displaystyle {LOLE}={LOLP}\cdot N}
671:"Energy Reliability and Management"
640:David Elmakias, ed. (7 July 2008).
24:
912:Resource Adequacy - Alphabet Soup!
909:Tezak, Christine (June 24, 2005).
25:
1194:
1114:
172:Loss of load expectation (LOLE)
162:Loss of load probability (LOLP)
105:(e.g., for a yearlong interval
369:one-day-in-ten-years criterion
334:One-day-in-ten-years criterion
157:if the increment is an hour):
18:One-day-in-ten-years criterion
13:
1:
734:Modern Power Systems Analysis
470:
1126:. You can help Knowledge by
937:10.1007/978-3-319-38869-4_11
817:. February 2018. p. 13.
676:Comprehensive Energy Systems
523:Wang, Song & Irving 2010
262:Loss of load duration (LOLD)
7:
774:10.1007/978-3-319-74263-2_6
583:Arteconi & Bruninx 2018
458:
443:non-interruptible customers
131:if the increment is a day,
10:
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839:10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960610
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559:Ibanez & Milligan 2014
547:Billinton & Huang 2006
29:
1071:
1022:
991:
885:10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360431
635:. Ascend Analytics. 2019.
48:. Multiple probabilistic
1023:Electricity distribution
58:Loss of Load Probability
30:Not to be confused with
511:Duarte & Serpa 2016
1178:Electrical engineering
1072:Electricity generation
879:, IEEE, pp. 1–6,
833:, IEEE, pp. 1–6,
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423:
367:is 0.1 day per year ("
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252:loss of load frequency
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150:{\displaystyle N=8760}
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487:Ascend Analytics 2019
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124:{\displaystyle N=365}
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360:{\displaystyle LOLE}
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1183:Reliability indices
985:Reliability indices
452:generation adequacy
244:Loss of load events
82:reliability indices
50:reliability indices
465:Value of lost load
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230:loss of load hours
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54:generation systems
1173:Electricity stubs
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894:978-91-7178-585-5
848:978-1-4799-3561-1
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744:978-0-387-72853-7
715:978-0-470-03640-2
686:978-0-12-814925-6
653:978-3-540-77810-3
450:NPCC criteria on
431:regional entities
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98:{\displaystyle N}
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1128:expanding it
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931:. Springer.
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642:
615:, p. 2.
578:
566:
561:, p. 4.
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38:Loss of load
37:
36:
46:system load
1167:Categories
753:1012499302
724:1039149555
695:1027476919
662:1050955963
613:Tezak 2005
598:Meier 2006
471:References
800:2198-4182
782:2198-4190
571:NERC 2018
414:≈
405:⋅
250:) a.k.a.
213:⋅
80:Multiple
32:Load loss
903:25841586
459:See also
448:—
417:0.000274
70:blackout
52:for the
992:Generic
865:3135204
857:1127287
623:Sources
433:, like
1063:CTAIDI
943:
901:
891:
863:
855:
845:
798:
788:
780:
751:
741:
722:
712:
693:
683:
660:
650:
238:linear
40:in an
1089:LOLEV
1058:MAIFI
1053:SAIFI
1049:CAIFI
1044:SAIDI
1040:CAIDI
916:(PDF)
899:S2CID
861:S2CID
827:(PDF)
811:(PDF)
778:eISSN
633:(PDF)
248:LOLEV
1124:stub
1099:LOLH
1094:LOLF
1084:LOLE
1079:LOLP
1035:ASAI
1030:ASUI
1014:EFOR
1004:MTTR
999:MTBF
941:ISBN
889:ISBN
853:OSTI
843:ISBN
815:NERC
796:ISSN
786:ISBN
749:OCLC
739:ISBN
720:OCLC
710:ISBN
691:OCLC
681:ISBN
658:OCLC
648:ISBN
256:LOLF
234:LOLH
145:8760
62:LOLP
1009:FOR
933:doi
881:doi
835:doi
770:doi
408:365
119:365
1169::
939:.
897:,
887:,
875:,
859:,
851:,
841:,
829:,
813:.
794:.
784:.
776:.
764:.
747:.
718:.
689:.
673:.
656:.
605:^
590:^
479:^
437::
402:10
72:.
1155:e
1148:t
1141:v
1130:.
1051:/
1042:/
977:e
970:t
963:v
949:.
935::
883::
837::
802:.
772::
755:.
726:.
697:.
664:.
489:.
398:1
393:=
389:P
386:L
383:O
380:L
355:E
352:L
349:O
346:L
315:F
312:L
309:O
306:L
301:E
298:L
295:O
292:L
286:=
282:D
279:L
276:O
273:L
254:(
246:(
232:(
216:N
209:P
206:L
203:O
200:L
196:=
192:E
189:L
186:O
183:L
168:;
142:=
139:N
116:=
113:N
93:N
60:(
34:.
20:)
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