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Probability measure

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Intuitively, the additivity property says that the probability assigned to the union of two disjoint (mutually exclusive) events by the measure should be the sum of the probabilities of the events; for example, the value assigned to the outcome "1 or 2" in a throw of a dice should be the sum of the
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is a measure space, such measures are not always probability measures. In general, in statistical physics, if we consider sentences of the form "the probability of a system S assuming state A is p" the geometry of the system does not always lead to the definition of a probability measure
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Not all measures that intuitively represent chance or likelihood are probability measures. For instance, although the fundamental concept of a system in
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of the future payoff taken with respect to that same risk neutral measure (i.e. calculated using the corresponding risk neutral density function), and
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spaces based on actual market movements are examples of probability measures which are of interest in
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Dekking, Frederik Michel; Kraaikamp, Cornelis; Lopuhaä, Hendrik Paul; Meester, Ludolf Erwin (2005).
1201:-valued probability measures, allowing for many intuitive proofs based upon measures. For instance, 1260: 286: 281: 170: 155: 868: 1159:
a probability measure may be defined for the likelihood that a variant may be permissible for an
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Probability measures have applications in diverse fields, from physics to finance and biology.
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is a probability measure which assumes that the current value of assets is the
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can be proven from the further investigation of these measures, and their
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and the additive property is replaced by an order relation based on
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Probability measures are distinct from the more general notion of
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Measure of total value one, generalizing probability distributions
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in which there is no requirement that the fuzzy values sum up to
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For example, given three elements 1, 2 and 3 with probabilities
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Discovering biomolecular mechanisms with computational biology
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Distinguishing probability measure, function and distribution
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satisfies the probability measure requirements so long as
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A course in mathematics for students of physics, Volume 2
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Pages displaying short descriptions of redirect targets
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Probability, Random Processes, and Ergodic Properties
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by Svetlana I. Boyarchenko, Serge Levendorskiĭ 2007
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Pages displaying wikidata descriptions as a fallback
1523:Ash, Robert B.; Doléans-Dade, Catherine A. (1999). 1193: 1061: 1031: 1002: 916: 857: 825: 794: 749: 644: 588: 566: 546: 526: 488: 461: 430: 1387:The concept of probability in statistical physics 1568: 1280:An introduction to measure-theoretic probability 931:based on the intersection of events defined as: 1522: 1455:by J. David Logan, William R. Wolesensky 2009 392:values assigned to the outcomes "1" and "2". 337: 1188: 1176: 852: 840: 1500: 1409:Quantitative methods in derivatives pricing 344: 330: 719: 683: 1431:Irreversible decisions under uncertainty 1242: – Concept of area in any dimension 1080: 402: 1364:by Paul Bamberg, Shlomo Sternberg 1991 1357: 1355: 1076: 14: 1569: 1151:Probability measures are also used in 1382: 1380: 1257: – Function from sets to numbers 1352: 645:{\displaystyle E_{1},E_{2},\ldots } 24: 1494: 1377: 25: 1593: 1548: 1112:; for example, in the pricing of 1097:it uses are probability measures. 469:to be a probability measure on a 1554: 1525:Probability & Measure Theory 924:as in the diagram on the right. 368:defined on a set of events in a 50: 1577:Experiment (probability theory) 1453:Mathematical Methods in Biology 1155:. For instance, in comparative 1468: 1446: 1424: 1402: 1330: 1295: 1273: 1104:which assign probabilities to 1026: 1020: 991: 985: 977: 965: 953: 941: 741: 728: 518: 506: 117:Collectively exhaustive events 13: 1: 1266: 398: 1308:Springer Texts in Statistics 917:{\displaystyle 1/4+1/2=3/4,} 7: 1248: – Probability measure 1212: 496:must return results in the 411:mapping the σ-algebra for 10: 1598: 1282:by George G. Roussas 2004 1582:Measures (measure theory) 1477:by Frank Eisenhaber 2006 1389:by Yair M. Guttmann 1999 1411:by Domingo Tavella 2002 1261:Probability distribution 287:Law of total probability 282:Conditional independence 171:Exponential distribution 156:Probability distribution 1506:Probability and Measure 1339:by Robert M. Gray 2009 1194:{\displaystyle \{0,1\}} 1032:{\displaystyle \mu (A)} 929:conditional probability 858:{\displaystyle \{1,3\}} 795:{\displaystyle 1/4,1/4} 446:The requirements for a 266:Conditional probability 1195: 1098: 1063: 1033: 1004: 918: 859: 833:the value assigned to 827: 796: 751: 646: 602:property that for all 590: 568: 554:for the empty set and 548: 528: 490: 463: 443: 432: 208:Continuous or discrete 161:Bernoulli distribution 1544:, Math Stack Exchange 1316:10.1007/1-84628-168-7 1196: 1169:can be understood as 1141:statistical mechanics 1114:financial derivatives 1084: 1064: 1034: 1005: 919: 860: 828: 797: 752: 647: 591: 574:for the entire space. 569: 549: 529: 491: 464: 433: 431:{\displaystyle 2^{3}} 406: 166:Binomial distribution 18:Measure (probability) 1563:at Wikimedia Commons 1502:Billingsley, Patrick 1173: 1153:mathematical biology 1118:risk-neutral measure 1110:mathematical finance 1091:probability measures 1077:Example applications 1050: 1014: 935: 869: 837: 826:{\displaystyle 1/2,} 806: 764: 660: 610: 599:countable additivity 589:{\displaystyle \mu } 580: 558: 538: 503: 489:{\displaystyle \mu } 480: 462:{\displaystyle \mu } 453: 415: 378:countable additivity 366:real-valued function 292:Law of large numbers 261:Marginal probability 186:Poisson distribution 35:Part of a series on 1561:Probability measure 1087:statistical physics 409:probability measure 376:properties such as 362:probability measure 251:Complementary event 193:Probability measure 181:Pareto distribution 176:Normal distribution 1527:. Academic Press. 1246:Martingale measure 1191: 1116:. For instance, a 1099: 1062:{\displaystyle 1,} 1059: 1029: 1000: 914: 855: 823: 792: 747: 724: 688: 642: 586: 564: 544: 524: 486: 459: 444: 428: 302:Boole's inequality 238:Stochastic process 127:Mutual exclusivity 44:Probability theory 1559:Media related to 1203:Hindman's Theorem 1157:sequence analysis 995: 707: 671: 596:must satisfy the 567:{\displaystyle 1} 547:{\displaystyle 0} 527:{\displaystyle ,} 354: 353: 256:Joint probability 203:Bernoulli process 102:Probability space 16:(Redirected from 1589: 1558: 1538: 1519: 1488: 1472: 1466: 1450: 1444: 1428: 1422: 1406: 1400: 1384: 1375: 1359: 1350: 1334: 1328: 1327: 1299: 1293: 1277: 1251: 1240:Lebesgue measure 1230: 1200: 1198: 1197: 1192: 1146:under congruence 1106:financial market 1068: 1066: 1065: 1060: 1038: 1036: 1035: 1030: 1009: 1007: 1006: 1001: 996: 994: 980: 960: 923: 921: 920: 915: 907: 893: 879: 864: 862: 861: 856: 832: 830: 829: 824: 816: 801: 799: 798: 793: 788: 774: 756: 754: 753: 748: 740: 739: 723: 722: 703: 699: 698: 697: 687: 686: 651: 649: 648: 643: 635: 634: 622: 621: 595: 593: 592: 587: 573: 571: 570: 565: 553: 551: 550: 545: 533: 531: 530: 525: 495: 493: 492: 487: 468: 466: 465: 460: 437: 435: 434: 429: 427: 426: 346: 339: 332: 122:Elementary event 54: 32: 31: 21: 1597: 1596: 1592: 1591: 1590: 1588: 1587: 1586: 1567: 1566: 1551: 1535: 1516: 1497: 1495:Further reading 1492: 1491: 1473: 1469: 1451: 1447: 1429: 1425: 1407: 1403: 1385: 1378: 1360: 1353: 1335: 1331: 1300: 1296: 1278: 1274: 1269: 1249: 1228: 1215: 1209:in particular. 1174: 1171: 1170: 1163:in a sequence. 1134:complete market 1102:Market measures 1085:In many cases, 1079: 1051: 1048: 1047: 1015: 1012: 1011: 981: 961: 959: 936: 933: 932: 903: 889: 875: 870: 867: 866: 838: 835: 834: 812: 807: 804: 803: 784: 770: 765: 762: 761: 735: 731: 718: 711: 693: 689: 682: 675: 670: 666: 661: 658: 657: 630: 626: 617: 613: 611: 608: 607: 581: 578: 577: 559: 556: 555: 539: 536: 535: 504: 501: 500: 481: 478: 477: 454: 451: 450: 422: 418: 416: 413: 412: 401: 372:that satisfies 350: 198:Random variable 149:Bernoulli trial 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1595: 1585: 1584: 1579: 1565: 1564: 1550: 1549:External links 1547: 1546: 1545: 1539: 1533: 1520: 1514: 1508:. John Wiley. 1496: 1493: 1490: 1489: 1467: 1445: 1423: 1401: 1376: 1351: 1329: 1294: 1271: 1270: 1268: 1265: 1264: 1263: 1258: 1252: 1243: 1237: 1231: 1222: 1214: 1211: 1190: 1187: 1184: 1181: 1178: 1130:risk-free rate 1122:expected value 1093:, but not all 1078: 1075: 1058: 1055: 1044:fuzzy measures 1028: 1025: 1022: 1019: 999: 993: 990: 987: 984: 979: 976: 973: 970: 967: 964: 958: 955: 952: 949: 946: 943: 940: 913: 910: 906: 902: 899: 896: 892: 888: 885: 882: 878: 874: 854: 851: 848: 845: 842: 822: 819: 815: 811: 791: 787: 783: 780: 777: 773: 769: 758: 757: 746: 743: 738: 734: 730: 727: 721: 717: 714: 710: 706: 702: 696: 692: 685: 681: 678: 674: 669: 665: 641: 638: 633: 629: 625: 620: 616: 585: 575: 563: 543: 523: 520: 517: 514: 511: 508: 485: 458: 438:events to the 425: 421: 400: 397: 352: 351: 349: 348: 341: 334: 326: 323: 322: 321: 320: 315: 307: 306: 305: 304: 299: 297:Bayes' theorem 294: 289: 284: 279: 271: 270: 269: 268: 263: 258: 253: 245: 244: 243: 242: 241: 240: 235: 230: 228:Observed value 225: 220: 215: 213:Expected value 210: 205: 195: 190: 189: 188: 183: 178: 173: 168: 163: 153: 152: 151: 141: 140: 139: 134: 129: 124: 119: 109: 104: 96: 95: 94: 93: 88: 83: 82: 81: 71: 70: 69: 56: 55: 47: 46: 40: 39: 26: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1594: 1583: 1580: 1578: 1575: 1574: 1572: 1562: 1557: 1553: 1552: 1543: 1540: 1536: 1534:0-12-065202-1 1530: 1526: 1521: 1517: 1515:0-471-00710-2 1511: 1507: 1503: 1499: 1498: 1487: 1484: 1483:0-387-34527-2 1480: 1476: 1471: 1465: 1462: 1461:0-470-52587-8 1458: 1454: 1449: 1443: 1440: 1439:3-540-73745-6 1436: 1432: 1427: 1421: 1418: 1417:0-471-39447-5 1414: 1410: 1405: 1399: 1396: 1395:0-521-62128-3 1392: 1388: 1383: 1381: 1374: 1371: 1370:0-521-40650-1 1367: 1363: 1358: 1356: 1349: 1346: 1345:1-4419-1089-1 1342: 1338: 1333: 1325: 1321: 1317: 1313: 1309: 1305: 1298: 1292: 1289: 1288:0-12-599022-7 1285: 1281: 1276: 1272: 1262: 1259: 1256: 1253: 1247: 1244: 1241: 1238: 1235: 1232: 1226: 1225:Fuzzy measure 1223: 1220: 1219:Borel measure 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534:returning 473:are that: 399:Definition 144:Experiment 91:Randomness 37:statistics 1324:1431-875X 1018:μ 983:μ 972:∩ 963:μ 948:∣ 939:μ 726:μ 716:∈ 709:∑ 680:∈ 673:⋃ 664:μ 640:… 604:countable 584:μ 484:μ 471:σ-algebra 457:μ 370:σ-algebra 137:Singleton 1504:(1995). 1486:page 127 1464:page 195 1398:page 149 1373:page 802 1348:page 163 1213:See also 1095:measures 218:Variance 1442:page 11 1420:page 11 1291:page 47 1128:at the 374:measure 132:Outcome 1531:  1512:  1481:  1459:  1437:  1415:  1393:  1368:  1343:  1322:  1286:  386:volume 79:System 67:Axioms 1089:uses 364:is a 112:Event 1529:ISBN 1510:ISBN 1479:ISBN 1457:ISBN 1435:ISBN 1413:ISBN 1391:ISBN 1366:ISBN 1341:ISBN 1320:ISSN 1284:ISBN 927:The 802:and 382:area 360:, a 1312:doi 865:is 384:or 356:In 1573:: 1379:^ 1354:^ 1318:. 1310:. 1306:. 1136:. 1073:. 656:: 407:A 1537:. 1518:. 1326:. 1314:: 1189:} 1186:1 1183:, 1180:0 1177:{ 1057:, 1054:1 1027:) 1024:A 1021:( 998:. 992:) 989:A 986:( 978:) 975:B 969:A 966:( 957:= 954:) 951:A 945:B 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Index

Measure (probability)
statistics
Probability theory

Probability
Axioms
Determinism
System
Indeterminism
Randomness
Probability space
Sample space
Event
Collectively exhaustive events
Elementary event
Mutual exclusivity
Outcome
Singleton
Experiment
Bernoulli trial
Probability distribution
Bernoulli distribution
Binomial distribution
Exponential distribution
Normal distribution
Pareto distribution
Poisson distribution
Probability measure
Random variable
Bernoulli process

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