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strategies. Shor is an advocate for what he terms "popularism", the idea that
Democrats should campaign on a strategy of focusing on issues that enjoy electoral popularity, such as focusing on economic issues over polarizing social and cultural issues. Some political analysts, including
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condemned the idea "that it's categorically wrong for a person – or at least a white person – to criticize on tactical or other grounds anything being done in the name of racial justice," which he claimed was common among Shor's progressive critics.
763:] race riots reduced Democratic vote share in surrounding counties by 2%, which was enough to tip the 1968 election to Nixon. Non-violent protests *increase* Dem vote, mainly by encouraging warm elite discourse and media coverage. http://omarwasow.com/Protests_on_Voting.pdf"
190:-based team that tracked internal and external polls and developed forecasts. The team Shor worked with developed a polling forecasting model, known as "The Golden Report", that projected Obama's vote share within one percentage point in eight of the nine
235:] race riots reduced Democratic vote share in surrounding counties by 2%, which was enough to tip the 1968 election to Nixon. Non-violent protests *increase* Dem vote, mainly by encouraging warm elite discourse and media coverage.
293:
that "At least some employees and clients on Civis
Analytics complained that Shor's tweet threatened their safety." Shor apologized for the tweet on May 29, and he was fired from Civis Analytics a few days later.
319:
Since 2020, his work at Blue Rose
Research aims to develop a data-based model to predict the outcome of future elections on the basis of simulations, designed in particular to advise the
917:
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170:. Shor was a precocious child and gifted in mathematics, starting his undergraduate degree at the age of 13 and finishing at the age of 17. Shor was awarded the
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510:"My sephardic Morrocan relatives don't believe me when tell them that American Jews have historically been left-wing"
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484:"'Almost Impossible': As Education Divide Deepens, Democrats Fear a Demographic Problem for Future Power"
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wrote that Shor had been "punished for doing something that most wouldn't even consider objectionable."
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in
Chicago for seven years, where he operated the company's web-based survey. On May 28, 2020, Shor
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785:"MIDAS & Dept. Political Science Co-Present: David Shor – Democratic Political Data Scientist"
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known for analyzing political polls. He serves as head of data science with Blue Rose
Research in
1207:
332:, have criticized his work for a lack of transparency regarding his methods and data sources.
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277:'s favor. Some critics argued that Shor's tweet, which was posted during the height of the
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This article is about the
American political consultant. For the television writer, see
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733:"Why U.S. Jewish Voters Are Bucking the Worldwide Trend and Still Voting Democrat"
379:"David Shor on Why Trump Was Good for the GOP – and How Dems Can Win in 2022"
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572:"The Polls Are All Wrong. A Startup Called Civis Is Our Best Hope to Fix Them"
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656:"See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s"
540:"See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s"
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Shor's firing has been cited as an example of "the excesses of so-called
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1159:, an hour-long interview with Bloomberg opinion writer Noah Smith
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682:"An Interview with David Shor – A Master of Political Data"
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1055:"David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don't Want to Hear"
155:
811:"One Pollster's Explanation for Why the Polls Got It Wrong"
1137:
892:"The Still-Vital Case for Liberalism in a Radical Age"
267:
riots following Martin Luther King Jr.'s assassination
482:
Garrison, Joey; Morin, Rebecca (November 24, 2020).
1113:"David Shor's Unified Theory of American Politics"
918:"David Shor's Unified Theory of American Politics"
458:"David Shor's Unified Theory of American Politics"
249:Shor then worked as a senior data scientist with
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750:
404:"David Shor's Postmortem of the 2020 Election"
854:
481:
16:American political data scientist (born 1991)
756:
730:
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281:, could be interpreted as criticism of the
237:http://omarwasow.com/Protests_on_Voting.pdf
166:family. He holds a mathematics degree from
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1080:
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731:Lourie Cohen, Hillel (November 2, 2022).
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134:Action Fund. Shor describes himself as a
1017:"The real stakes in the David Shor saga"
1014:
951:"How Everything Became 'Cancel Culture'"
863:"The real stakes in the David Shor saga"
860:
808:
451:
449:
1203:Florida International University alumni
1188:Barack Obama 2012 presidential campaign
1083:"Democrats Are Losing the Culture Wars"
1081:Brownstein, Ronald (December 9, 2021).
184:Barack Obama 2012 presidential campaign
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301:." Political scientist and journalist
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809:Matthews, Dylan (November 10, 2020).
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1015:Yglesias, Matthew (July 29, 2020).
861:Yglesias, Matthew (July 29, 2020).
707:"Data Science Seminar Series (DS3)"
433:Center for American Progress Action
342:
13:
1157:"Noah Smith interviews David Shor"
1104:
1041:
880:
605:"Our Alumni List – Math in Moscow"
257:a summary of an academic study by
130:, and is a senior fellow with the
14:
1234:
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949:Robertson, Derek (June 5, 2021).
890:Chait, Jonathan (June 11, 2020).
261:, a black political scientist at
186:at the age of 20, working on the
759:"Post-MLK-assasination [
680:Newton, Ben (October 27, 2018).
630:"One Needle to Predict Them All"
215:
200:described Shor as the "in-house
168:Florida International University
138:and advised a number of liberal
58:Florida International University
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1053:Klein, Ezra (October 8, 2021).
1008:
982:Mounk, Yascha (June 27, 2020).
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835:Mounk, Yascha (June 27, 2020).
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231:Post-MLK-assasination [
1183:American political consultants
1111:Levitz, Eric (July 17, 2020).
916:Levitz, Eric (July 17, 2020).
757:(David Shor) (May 28, 2020).
532:
508:Shor, David (March 7, 2016).
501:
475:
456:Levitz, Eric (July 17, 2020).
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377:Levitz, Eric (March 3, 2021).
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1:
1152:Website of Blue Rose Research
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144:2020 United States elections
132:Center for American Progress
7:
140:political action committees
118:(born 1991) is an American
41:1991 (age 32–33)
10:
1239:
1223:21st-century American Jews
984:"Stop Firing the Innocent"
837:"Stop Firing the Innocent"
271:1968 presidential election
174:scholarship in fall 2009.
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1198:Democrats (United States)
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204:" of the Obama campaign.
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63:
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1193:American data scientists
660:Crain's Chicago Business
544:Crain's Chicago Business
1218:Scientists from Florida
1178:American Orthodox Jews
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311:editor and columnist
279:George Floyd protests
207:
930:on December 12, 2023
263:Princeton University
124:political consultant
76:political consultant
1029:on October 29, 2023
996:on December 8, 2023
963:on December 9, 2022
711:pages.stat.wisc.edu
192:battleground states
1060:The New York Times
283:Black Lives Matter
269:likely tipped the
1213:People from Miami
636:. January 6, 2021
568:Graff, Garrett M.
330:Michael Podhorzer
291:New York Magazine
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197:New York Magazine
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154:Shor grew up in
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1120:. Retrieved
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1092:December 10,
1090:. Retrieved
1087:The Atlantic
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1031:. Retrieved
1027:the original
1022:The Atlantic
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989:The Atlantic
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524:– via
518:. Retrieved
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432:
429:"David Shor"
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353:"David Shor"
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303:Yascha Mounk
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1173:1991 births
1066:October 12,
872:November 8,
408:www.msn.com
362:October 12,
202:Nate Silver
142:during the
64:Occupations
46:Nationality
21:David Shore
1167:Categories
1138:David Shor
520:August 13,
336:References
285:movement.
259:Omar Wasow
224:@davidshor
150:Early life
116:David Shor
32:David Shor
901:March 13,
846:March 14,
742:March 13,
584:1059-1028
488:USA Today
467:March 13,
289:wrote in
136:socialist
85:Employers
1122:March 3,
956:Politico
923:New York
820:March 4,
794:March 4,
716:March 3,
691:March 4,
665:March 3,
640:March 4,
614:March 4,
589:March 4,
549:March 3,
493:March 4,
438:March 3,
413:March 4,
388:March 4,
325:campaign
96:OpenLabs
49:American
1142:Twitter
771:Twitter
737:Haaretz
526:Twitter
357:Twitter
255:tweeted
188:Chicago
162:, in a
160:Florida
686:Medium
582:
178:Career
789:MIDAS
767:Tweet
576:Wired
514:Tweet
156:Miami
1124:2021
1094:2021
1068:2021
1035:2023
1002:2023
969:2023
936:2023
903:2022
874:2021
848:2022
822:2021
796:2021
744:2022
718:2021
693:2021
667:2021
642:2021
616:2021
591:2021
580:ISSN
551:2021
522:2021
495:2021
469:2022
440:2021
415:2021
390:2021
364:2021
122:and
38:Born
1140:on
867:Vox
815:Vox
761:sic
323:in
308:Vox
273:in
233:sic
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