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joined the team in 1971 and would, with Doll, prepare all subsequent reports for publication. Doll and Peto are both celebrated epidemiologists, and their fame is largely based on their pioneering work in the study mentioned. They would continue their work on other cardiovascular studies, for example
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In the follow-up reports, published every ten years, more information became available. A major conclusion of the study is, for example, that smoking decreases life span up to 10 years, and that more than 50% of all smokers die of a disease known to be smoking-related, although the excess mortality
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In October 1951, the researchers wrote to all registered physicians in the United Kingdom, and obtained responses in two-thirds, 40,701 of them. No further cohorts were recruited. Because of the limited sample size females were excluded from most analyses and publications focused on the male
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Although there had been suspicions of a link between smoking and various diseases, the evidence for this link had been largely circumstantial. In fact, smoking had been advertised as "healthy" for many years, and there had been no clear explanation why rates of lung cancer had soared.
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The respondents were stratified into decade of birth, sex and their cause-specific mortality, as well as general physical health and current smoking habits, followed up in further questionnaires in 1957, 1966, 1971, 1978, 1991 and finally in 2001.
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depends on amount of smoking, specifically, on average, those who smoke until age 30 have no excess mortality, those who smoke until age 40 lose 1 year, those who smoke until 50 lose 4 years, and those who smoke until age 60 lose 7 years.
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The true impact of the study is difficult to gauge, as smoking was not considered a public health problem in the 1950s, and the appreciation of the problem would only grow in the ensuing decades. Nevertheless, the
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Response rates were quite high, making appropriate statistical analyses possible. The result was, that both lung cancer and "coronary thrombosis" (the then-prevalent term for
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study into the link. This approach to medical questions was fairly new: in the 1954 "Preliminary report", the researchers felt it necessary to offer a definition of the
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was to provide conclusive evidence of linkage between smoking and lung cancer, myocardial infarction, respiratory disease and other smoking-related illnesses.
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Survival from age 60 of non-smokers, cigarette smokers and ex-smokers who stopped smoking between 55 and 64 years old
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Survival from age 50 of non-smokers, cigarette smokers and ex-smokers who stopped smoking between 45 and 54 years old
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Survival from age 40 of non-smokers, cigarette smokers and ex-smokers who stopped smoking between 35 and 44 years old
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Survival from age 35 of non-smokers, cigarette smokers and ex-smokers who stopped smoking between 25 and 34 years old
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The study, when it was published in 1956, heralded a new type of scientific research, showed the relevance of
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which ran from 1951 to 2001, and in 1956 provided convincing statistical evidence that
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Unsourced material may be challenged and removed. 16:Study (1951 to 2001) into smoking and lung cancer 728: 501:Doll R, Peto R, Boreham J, Sutherland I (2004). 680: 413: 53:Learn how and when to remove these messages 496: 494: 492: 490: 488: 767:Medical Research Council (United Kingdom) 706: 657: 583: 526: 270:Learn how and when to remove this message 252:Learn how and when to remove this message 150:Learn how and when to remove this message 631: 549: 305: 297: 289: 281: 674: 606: 485: 458:Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study 397: 729: 188:Please improve this article by adding 342:To further investigate the link, the 550:Doll, R.; Hill, A. B. (1956-11-10). 161: 88:adding citations to reliable sources 59: 18: 13: 681:Doll, R; Hill AB (November 1956). 607:Goodman, Michael J. (1994-09-18). 14: 783: 742:Clinical trials related to cancer 34:This article has multiple issues. 166: 64: 23: 75:needs additional citations for 42:or discuss these issues on the 752:Epidemiological study projects 625: 600: 543: 426:The original study was run by 1: 772:Smoking in the United Kingdom 478: 468:Smoking in the United Kingdom 190:secondary or tertiary sources 384: 7: 519:10.1136/bmj.38142.554479.AE 446: 356:Clinical Trial Service Unit 10: 788: 333: 757:Health effects of tobacco 650:10.1136/bmj.328.7455.1529 348:Statistical Research Unit 737:British medical research 632:Doll R, Hill AB (1954). 414:Impact and personalities 344:Medical Research Council 320:prospective cohort study 699:10.1136/bmj.2.5001.1071 687:British Medical Journal 568:10.1136/bmj.2.5001.1071 556:British Medical Journal 201:"British Doctors Study" 99:"British Doctors Study" 453:Framingham Heart Study 441:Heart Protection Study 421:British Doctors' Study 316:British Doctors' Study 311: 303: 295: 287: 177:relies excessively on 404:myocardial infarction 346:(MRC) instructed its 309: 301: 293: 285: 463:Nurses' Health Study 432:Austin Bradford Hill 398:Statistical analysis 84:improve this article 693:(5001): 1071–1081. 644:(7455): 1529–1533. 562:(5001): 1071–1081. 375:medical statistics 326:increases risk of 312: 304: 296: 288: 613:Los Angeles Times 473:History of cancer 280: 279: 272: 262: 261: 254: 236: 160: 159: 152: 134: 57: 779: 721: 720: 710: 678: 672: 671: 661: 629: 623: 622: 620: 619: 604: 598: 597: 587: 547: 541: 540: 530: 498: 439:the more recent 377:in questions of 275: 268: 257: 250: 246: 243: 237: 235: 194: 170: 162: 155: 148: 144: 141: 135: 133: 92: 68: 60: 49: 27: 26: 19: 787: 786: 782: 781: 780: 778: 777: 776: 727: 726: 725: 724: 679: 675: 630: 626: 617: 615: 605: 601: 548: 544: 499: 486: 481: 449: 416: 400: 387: 358:) to conduct a 336: 324:tobacco smoking 276: 265: 264: 263: 258: 247: 241: 238: 195: 193: 187: 183:primary sources 171: 156: 145: 139: 136: 93: 91: 81: 69: 28: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 785: 775: 774: 769: 764: 759: 754: 749: 747:Cohort studies 744: 739: 723: 722: 673: 624: 599: 542: 513:(7455): 1519. 483: 482: 480: 477: 476: 475: 470: 465: 460: 455: 448: 445: 415: 412: 399: 396: 386: 383: 335: 332: 278: 277: 260: 259: 174: 172: 165: 158: 157: 72: 70: 63: 58: 32: 31: 29: 22: 15: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 784: 773: 770: 768: 765: 763: 760: 758: 755: 753: 750: 748: 745: 743: 740: 738: 735: 734: 732: 718: 714: 709: 704: 700: 696: 692: 688: 684: 677: 669: 665: 660: 655: 651: 647: 643: 639: 635: 628: 614: 610: 603: 595: 591: 586: 581: 577: 573: 569: 565: 561: 557: 553: 546: 538: 534: 529: 524: 520: 516: 512: 508: 504: 497: 495: 493: 491: 489: 484: 474: 471: 469: 466: 464: 461: 459: 456: 454: 451: 450: 444: 442: 437: 433: 429: 424: 422: 411: 407: 405: 395: 391: 382: 380: 379:public health 376: 372: 367: 365: 361: 357: 353: 349: 345: 340: 331: 329: 325: 321: 317: 308: 300: 292: 284: 274: 271: 256: 253: 245: 234: 231: 227: 224: 220: 217: 213: 210: 206: 203: –  202: 198: 197:Find sources: 191: 185: 184: 180: 175:This article 173: 169: 164: 163: 154: 151: 143: 132: 129: 125: 122: 118: 115: 111: 108: 104: 101: –  100: 96: 95:Find sources: 89: 85: 79: 78: 73:This article 71: 67: 62: 61: 56: 54: 47: 46: 41: 40: 35: 30: 21: 20: 690: 686: 676: 641: 637: 627: 616:. Retrieved 612: 602: 559: 555: 545: 510: 506: 436:Richard Peto 428:Richard Doll 425: 420: 417: 408: 401: 392: 390:physicians. 388: 371:epidemiology 368: 363: 355: 347: 341: 337: 315: 313: 266: 248: 239: 229: 222: 215: 208: 196: 176: 146: 137: 127: 120: 113: 106: 94: 82:Please help 77:verification 74: 50: 43: 37: 36:Please help 33: 762:Lung cancer 366:principle. 364:prospective 360:prospective 350:(later the 328:lung cancer 242:August 2019 140:August 2019 731:Categories 618:2024-02-09 479:References 212:newspapers 179:references 110:newspapers 39:improve it 576:0007-1447 385:The study 45:talk page 717:13364389 668:15217868 594:13364389 537:15213107 447:See also 708:2035864 585:2035864 354:-based 334:Context 226:scholar 124:scholar 715:  705:  666:  659:437141 656:  592:  582:  574:  535:  528:437139 525:  352:Oxford 318:was a 228:  221:  214:  207:  199:  126:  119:  112:  105:  97:  233:JSTOR 219:books 131:JSTOR 117:books 713:PMID 664:PMID 590:PMID 572:ISSN 533:PMID 430:and 373:and 314:The 205:news 103:news 703:PMC 695:doi 654:PMC 646:doi 642:328 638:BMJ 580:PMC 564:doi 523:PMC 515:doi 511:328 507:BMJ 181:to 86:by 733:: 711:. 701:. 689:. 685:. 662:. 652:. 640:. 636:. 611:. 588:. 578:. 570:. 558:. 554:. 531:. 521:. 509:. 505:. 487:^ 443:. 434:. 330:. 192:. 48:. 719:. 697:: 691:2 670:. 648:: 621:. 596:. 566:: 560:2 539:. 517:: 273:) 267:( 255:) 249:( 244:) 240:( 230:· 223:· 216:· 209:· 186:. 153:) 147:( 142:) 138:( 128:· 121:· 114:· 107:· 80:. 55:) 51:(

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