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However, the writ was issued at a very bad time for the government. Labor had been sinking in the polls since being reelected a year earlier. It had suffered from several months of bad press that had driven its poll numbers downward. It was only polling at 44% support, a swing of almost 8% from the
381:
since 1995. Labor sat on a margin of 10.1%, which would have been considered safe under normal conditions (any seat with a two-party margin greater than 10% is considered safe on paper). However, the seat had historically been marginal at the federal level. Combined with Labor's declining poll
385:
On paper, Dominello's victory turned Ryde from a safe Labor seat into a safe
Liberal seat in one stroke. At the time, it was the largest swing against a sitting government in New South Wales history; it has since been outdone by the
348:, who cited exhaustion and the lack of time spent with his family for his resignation. Watkins resigned as Deputy Premier and Minister for Transport and retired from parliament on 8 September 2008, prompting a Cabinet reshuffle.
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401:, who would himself be ousted in a party room coup a year later. Labor would go on to suffer a landslide defeat at the
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2007 election. Additionally, Watkins' resignation had touched off a domino effect that ultimately resulted in
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by-elections. The by-election was triggered by the resignation of sitting member and Deputy
Premier
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951:. Level 25, 201 Kent Street, Sydney 2000: NSW Electoral Commission. 25 May 2009. p. 14.
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numbers, commentators thought it was vulnerable to being taken by the
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The loss of Ryde significantly weakened the standing of Iemma's successor,
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363:, when Watkins was reelected with 60.09% of the two-party preferred vote.
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on a swing of 23%. This was a marked turnaround to the result at the
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911:. Sydney: Clerk of the Legislative Assembly. p. 9392.
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908:Government Gazette of the State of New South Wales
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394:(which saw a 26% swing against the Coalition).
934:– via Denis H. Helm, Government Printer.
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390:(which saw a 25% swing against Labor) and the
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990:ABC District Profile & Election Coverage
807:"Watkins quits politics to put family first"
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871:"The Hon. John Arthur Watkins AM (1955- )"
774:"Liberals 'a big chance' in Watkins' seat"
754:List of New South Wales state by-elections
749:Electoral results for the district of Ryde
332:on 18 October 2008 to coincide with the
958:from the original on 10 December 2023.
898:Grove, Russell D. (22 September 2008).
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926:from the original on 10 December 2023
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851:from the original on 10 December 2023
817:from the original on 10 December 2023
805:Smith, Alexandra (3 September 2008).
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786:from the original on 10 December 2023
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946:"State By-Election Report Ryde 2008"
326:New South Wales Legislative Assembly
444:Speaker of the Legislative Assembly
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1910:New South Wales state by-elections
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1920:October 2008 events in Australia
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1030:54th New South Wales parliament
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877:Parliament of New South Wales
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486:2008 Ryde by-election
960:Dominello elected at count 1
841:"Ryde - 2007 (Roll: 46,237)"
7:
1905:2008 elections in Australia
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351:The by-election was won by
19:2008 Ryde state by-election
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374:leaving politics as well.
65:Electoral district of Ryde
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971:: CS1 maint: location (
900:"Writ of election: Ryde"
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392:2013 Miranda by-election
388:2010 Penrith by-election
1915:2008 in New South Wales
875:Former members of the
845:parliament.nsw.gov.au
1878:Legislative Assembly
1432:Legislative Assembly
782:. 4 September 2008.
69:Legislative Assembly
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1757:Legislative Council
662:Two-party-preferred
617:Total formal votes
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458:Date of nomination
403:2011 state election
361:2007 state election
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155:Popular vote
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582:Victor Taffa
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85:Second party
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54: →
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40:←
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1871:By-elections
1059:
1026:By-elections
959:
940:
928:. Retrieved
906:
893:
881:. Retrieved
874:
865:
853:. Retrieved
844:
835:
825:– via
819:. Retrieved
810:
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788:. Retrieved
777:
768:
727:
718:
466:Polling day
429:John Watkins
396:
384:
376:
372:Morris Iemma
365:
350:
346:John Watkins
323:
306:
299:
290:John Watkins
288:
281:
267:Location in
221:
174:
158:
88:Third party
82:First party
46:
15:
1422:Results of
1032:(2007–2011)
855:7 September
821:7 September
790:7 September
578:Independent
399:Nathan Rees
379:Gladesville
171:Percentage
1899:Categories
1885:(historic)
1045:Cabramatta
930:23 October
760:References
494:Candidate
355:candidate
342:Cabramatta
233:TPP swing
119:Candidate
917:0155-6320
599:Democrats
1765:Colonial
1440:Colonial
967:cite web
953:Archived
921:Archived
849:Archived
815:Archived
784:Archived
779:ABC News
743:See also
328:seat of
300:Elected
1482:1874–75
1472:1869–70
1467:1864–65
1076:Penrith
1050:Lakemba
1028:of the
716:Liberal
708:−23.10
702:13,243
687:+23.10
681:22,556
672:Liberal
664:result
650:40,149
646:Turnout
620:39,329
549:−15.03
543:11,725
528:+25.74
522:21,370
513:Liberal
481:Results
369:Premier
353:Liberal
338:Lakemba
312:Liberal
226:36.99%
182:11.21%
179:29.81%
163:11,725
139:Liberal
93:
79:
67:in the
915:
883:8 June
734:+23.10
705:36.99
684:63.01
656:−9.33
653:83.64
640:−0.53
626:+0.53
623:97.96
612:+0.27
591:+2.98
585:1,171
570:+3.34
567:11.21
564:4,407
557:Greens
546:29.81
525:54.34
497:Votes
491:Party
419:Event
249:23.10
241:23.10
222:63.01%
203:15.03
195:25.74
187:Swing
175:54.34%
166:4,407
159:21,370
149:Greens
135:Party
1791:State
1541:State
956:(PDF)
949:(PDF)
924:(PDF)
903:(PDF)
729:Swing
723:Labor
721:from
695:Labor
637:2.04
609:1.67
588:2.98
536:Labor
416:Date
409:Dates
294:Labor
211:3.34
144:Labor
1858:2023
1853:2019
1848:2015
1843:2011
1838:2007
1833:2003
1828:1999
1823:1995
1818:1991
1813:1988
1808:1984
1803:1981
1798:1978
1782:1851
1777:1848
1772:1843
1743:2023
1738:2019
1733:2015
1728:2011
1723:2007
1718:2003
1713:1999
1708:1995
1703:1991
1698:1988
1693:1984
1688:1981
1683:1978
1678:1976
1673:1973
1668:1971
1663:1968
1658:1965
1653:1962
1648:1959
1643:1956
1638:1953
1633:1950
1628:1947
1623:1944
1618:1941
1613:1938
1608:1935
1603:1932
1598:1930
1593:1927
1588:1925
1583:1922
1578:1920
1573:1917
1568:1913
1563:1910
1558:1907
1553:1904
1548:1901
1532:1898
1527:1895
1522:1894
1517:1891
1512:1889
1507:1887
1502:1885
1497:1882
1492:1880
1487:1877
1477:1872
1462:1860
1457:1859
1452:1858
1447:1856
1069:2010
1060:Ryde
1038:2008
973:link
932:2019
913:ISSN
885:2019
857:2008
823:2008
792:2008
719:gain
634:820
606:656
340:and
330:Ryde
52:2011
42:2007
811:AAP
217:TPP
1901::
969:}}
965:{{
919:.
905:.
873:.
847:.
843:.
813:.
809:.
776:.
504:±%
500:%
450:.
431:.
405:.
336:,
302:MP
283:MP
1408:e
1401:t
1394:v
1018:e
1011:t
1004:v
975:)
887:.
859:.
829:.
794:.
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