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Joint Typhoon Warning Center

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422:(NHC), the error cone accounts for basin-specific 5-year average uncertainty in the center location but is expanded to include the size of the storm (in the form of the maximum 34-knot wind radius at each time). For this reason, the JTWC error cone will always be larger than the NHC error cone, provided the tropical cyclone is producing at least 34-knot winds. On the graphic, the shaded zone represents the potential area of tropical storm force winds and is referred to as the avoidance area by Navy ship routing officers. A different graphic may be issued on the "off-hour" tropical cyclone fix cycles (03Z, 09Z, 15Z, 21Z) if a tropical cyclone is within 180 nmi (210 mi; 330 km) of one of the six designated installations in the Western North Pacific, when one of these installations sets TCCOR 2 or higher on the 163: 541: 508:) has a high chance to develop into a tropical cyclone within the following 24 hours. It briefly describes the meteorological environment and how it could aid in development of the system. The alert is then accompanied by a graphic depicting the path of the disturbance and a forecast path. The forecast path is depicted as either a rectangle with a centerline—indicating that the invest would follow along the centerline—or a circle around the disturbance's current position—indicating uncertainty of its future direction. The necessity of such issuance is based on data gathered on the 1290: 202:
center be set up. Based on the report and the conclusions reached at the March 1959 Annual Tropical Cyclone Conference, the Joint Meteorology Committee formally urged, The Commander in Chief, U.S. Pacific Command (CINCPAC) to establish a Joint Typhoon Warning Center. The CINCPAC subsequently petitioned the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who gave permission for the center to be set up effective May 1, 1959, under the command of the Fleet Weather Center's commander.
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serve as a focal point for future research and development efforts. Also included are tropical cyclone reconnaissance statistics and a summary of research and development efforts, operational tactics, techniques and procedure development, and outreach that members of the JTWC conducted or contributed to throughout the year.
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responsible for the whole oceanic environment, from the bottom of the ocean to the top of the atmosphere. The JTWC subsequently started issuing warnings for the Southern Hemisphere between the African coast and the International Dateline during October 1980. It was relocated to Pearl Harbor on January 1, 1999, due to the
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Prognostic Reasoning Messages are bulletins that accompany a tropical cyclone warning and discuss the tropical cyclone, and are intended to be for meteorologists. They are released at the synoptic time plus three hours (0300Z, 0900Z, 1500Z, or 2100Z), and contain two sections: the 6 hour summary and
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A tropical cyclone warning is a text message issued on a tropical cyclone by the JTWC. It contains the storm's position and direction, wind speed and the wind distribution, the forecasts of them, and the remarks of the information. Warnings are updated every six hours for the North Pacific and North
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An Annual Tropical Cyclone Report (ATCR) is prepared by the staff of the JTWC, describing operationally or meteorologically significant cyclones that occurred within the JTWC's responsibility area. Details highlight significant challenges and/or shortfalls in the tropical cyclone warning system and
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government agencies. JTWC monitors, analyzes, and forecasts tropical cyclone formation, development, and movement year round. Its area of responsibility covers 89% of the world's tropical cyclone activity. The way the JTWC labels tropical cyclones vary depending on the location and intensity of the
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of agencies. The latter section covers significant changes in forecast (if any) and discusses said forecast and forecast models, and covers the confidence in the forecast. Prior to June 21, 2021, only tropical cyclones in the Western Pacific had their own Prognostic Reasoning Message, and those in
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A warning may be amended whenever a significant change is made to the forecast track, intensity, and/or tropical cyclone best track position before the next regular warning is issued, or it may be corrected due to administrative or typographical errors. Additionally, the JTWC may issue a relocated
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in June 1945, had caused a significant loss of men and ships. At this time the center was one of three Navy and two Air Force units responsible for tropical cyclone reconnaissance and warnings in the Pacific. Over the next few years the coordination of tropical warnings between the centers was at
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formed the Joint Meteorology Committee to the Pacific Command and proposed the formation of a joint Navy and Air Force center for typhoon analysis and forecasting. A committee was subsequently set up to study the issue which issued a report during January 1959, which gave recommendation that the
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personnel as of 2020. The JTWC uses several satellite systems and sensors, radar, surface and upper level synoptic data as well as atmospheric models to complete its mission. A more modernized method for forecasting tropical cyclones had become apparent by the 1980s. Prior to the development of
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Between 1971 and 1976, CINCPAC gradually expanded out the JTWC's area of responsibility, to include the area between the International Dateline and the African coasts. In October 1978, the Fleet Weather Center/JTWC became the Navy Oceanographic Command Center/Joint Typhoon Warning Center and
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The JTWC initially consisted of ten people with two officers and three enlisted personnel provided by each service. It was required to provide warnings on all tropical cyclones between the Malay Peninsula and the International Dateline for U.S. government agencies. They also had to determine
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and other U.S. government agencies. Their warnings are intended primarily for the protection of U.S. military ships and aircraft, as well as military installations jointly operated with other countries around the world. Its U.S. Navy components are aligned with the
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is used for systems in the Western Pacific based on the wind speed. Elsewhere of the agency's responsibility area, all systems with a wind speed of at least 34 knots (63 km/h) are labeled as "Tropical Cyclone", regardless of the estimated intensity.
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round. During October 2011, the JTWC's name changed from the "Naval Maritime Forecast Center/Joint Typhoon Warning Center" to just the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, as it became a stand-alone command for the first time in its 52-year history.
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Indian Ocean (00Z, 06Z, 12Z, 18Z), and are updated every twelve hours for the South Pacific and South Indian Ocean (00Z, 12Z). For a warning to be issued, a storm system must meet one or more of the following criteria:
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In case of debilitation of the agency, the Alternative Joint Typhoon Warning Center (AJTWC) assumes JTWC's functions. The AJTWC was first designated as the Tokyo Weather Central by the Fleet Weather Facility in
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It must have a closed circulation and maximum sustained winds of 25 kn (45 km/h; 30 mph) in the North Pacific or 35 kn (65 km/h; 40 mph) in the South Pacific and Indian Oceans.
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In October 2019, the JTWC modified the bulletin format to include subtropical systems and clarity, stating that the RSMC issues warnings on subtropical systems whereas the JTWC does not.
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passed above Guam in 1992, incapacitating the JTWC for 11 days. The AJTWC was then relocated back to Yokosuka as part of the 1995 Base Realignment and Closure Commission.
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Released daily, a Significant Tropical Weather Advisory discusses any tropical disturbances within the JTWC's area of responsibility and their potential for further
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High: Likely to develop into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours; a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert is issued under this circumstance.
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Its maximum sustained winds within the close circulation are expected to increase to 35 kn (65 km/h; 40 mph) or greater within 48 hours.
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reconnaissance requirements, prepare annual typhoon summaries, and conduct research into tropical cyclone forecasting and detection. In November 1962,
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destroyed the building housing the Fleet Weather Center/Joint Typhoon Warning Center. It relocated in a more typhoon-proof building in 1965.
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analysis, and forecast discussion. The former section includes details on the position and intensity of the system, the
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can be traced back to June 1945, when the Fleet Weather Center/Typhoon Tracking Center was established on the island of
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A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) is issued when an area of disturbed weather (designated an
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warning to indicate a significant re-assessment of the tropical cyclone's location and movement.
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A graphic is produced in each warning in a low-bandwidth image tailored for mariners. Like the
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Medium: Higher potential and may develop into a significant tropical cyclone beyond 24 hours.
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the Indian Ocean would have the discussion in the remarks section of warning text messages.
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Miller, Ronald J.; Schrader, Ann J.; Sampson, Charles R.; Tsui, Ted L. (December 1990).
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Low: Unlikely to develop into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours.
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for the JTWC beginning in 1986, and used since 1988. It was adapted for use at the
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Chu, J. H.; Levine, A.; Daida, S.; Schiber, D.; Fukada, E.; Sampson, C. R.
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Anslett, Richard (April 30, 1998). "Realignment, Renaming And Relocating".
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Tropical Cyclone Forecasters Reference Guide 3. Tropical Cyclone Formation
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of the system, and the environment the cyclone is in (covering vertical
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Office of the Assistant Secretary for Insular and International Affairs
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Miller, Ronald J.; Sampson, Charles R.; Schrader, Ann J. (June 2000).
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times difficult or impossible due to various communication problems.
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warnings in the North-West Pacific Ocean, South Pacific Ocean, and
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Joint Typhoon Warning Center 50th Anniversary May 1959 – May 2009
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Anstett, Richard (April 30, 1998). "JTWC Formation, 1958-1959".
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Cherrett, R. Corey; Falvey, Robert J. (September 16, 2021).
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10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<1231:tatcfs>2.3.co;2
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10.1175/1520-0434(1990)005<0653:TATCFS>2.0.CO;2
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When monitoring disturbances, the agency labels them as an
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Tilden, Charles E.; Hoffman, Robert M. (January 1, 1995).
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Joint United States Navy – United States Air Force command
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Military units and formations of the United States Navy
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Meteorological organizations based in the United States
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Anstett, Richard (April 30, 1998). "World War II Era".
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White House Office of Energy and Climate Change Policy
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Office of Surface Mining, Reclamation, and Enforcement
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Jeffries, Richard A.; Miller, Ronald J. (April 1993).
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History of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center up to 1998
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History of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center up to 1998
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History of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center up to 1998
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Francis, Angela S.; Strahl, Brian R. (July 20, 2022).
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Governmental meteorological agencies in North America
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Planned updates to JTWC prognostic reasoning messages
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It may endanger life and/or property within 72 hours.
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scale, or when the JTWC is directed by USINDOPACOM.
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National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
1052: 493: 913:Dillon, C. P.; Andrews, Mark J. (July 25, 2000) . 1251:– via Defense Technical Information Center. 1107: 995:(6). American Meteorological Society: 1231–1240. 523: 1731: 1607:Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry 1493:Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy 1154: 1152: 1150: 666: 664: 662: 660: 639:"Joint Typhoon Warning Center Mission Statement" 173:The origins of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center 1448:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 989:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 954:(4). American Meteorological Society: 653–660. 1235: 1209: 575:2024–25 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season 1704:Environmental Science Services Administration 1357:National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1311: 1147: 1110:"Western North Pacific Ocean Best Track Data" 912: 736: 657: 608: 351:). The JTWC is not one of the WMO designated 322:Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System 137:. 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(May 2023). 1133:"Investing for Meteorology" 565:2024 Pacific typhoon season 532: 516:, while also utilizing the 387: 10: 1781: 1539:Food and Nutrition Service 1382:Department of the Interior 858:1977 Annual Typhoon Report 739:1959 Annual Typhoon Report 497: 157: 147:U.S. Department of Defense 1696: 1663: 1625: 1595: 1587:United States Coast Guard 1572: 1516:Department of Agriculture 1514: 1483: 1438: 1395:Bureau of Land Management 1380: 1337: 420:National Hurricane Center 393:Tropical Cyclone Warnings 330:National Hurricane Center 326:Naval Research Laboratory 197:weather services and the 99: 85: 77: 69: 51: 46: 37: 1650:Office of Naval Research 1458:Marine Fisheries Service 1390:Bureau of Indian Affairs 1270:United States Government 547:Tropical cyclones portal 514:sea surface temperatures 145:for all branches of the 1559:Rural Utilities Service 1371:Smithsonian Institution 948:Weather and Forecasting 453:sea surface temperature 240:Standards and practices 127:United States Air Force 94:United States Air Force 1440:Department of Commerce 1266:public domain material 170: 57:; 65 years ago 1673:Climate Policy Office 1627:Department of Defense 1597:Department of Health 1410:National Park Service 1405:Bureau of Reclamation 1331:environmental science 837:on September 24, 2015 474:tropical cyclogenesis 185:of December 1944 and 165: 1485:Department of Energy 782:on February 18, 2005 709:on February 24, 2012 555:Invest (meteorology) 434:Prognostic Reasoning 335:JTWC adheres to the 297:Tropical Depression 73:Pearl Harbor, Hawaii 1534:Farm Service Agency 1001:2000BAMS...81.1231S 960:1990WtFor...5..653M 246: 105:metoc.navy.mil/jtwc 34: 1599:and Human Services 645:on August 12, 2009 445:steering mechanism 279:118–239 km/h 244: 171: 123:United States Navy 90:United States Navy 32: 1727: 1726: 1501:Office of Science 441:satellite imagery 355:, nor one of its 341:tropical cyclones 309: 308: 292:63–117 km/h 193:During 1958, the 176: 111: 110: 16:(Redirected from 1772: 1320: 1313: 1306: 1297: 1296: 1292: 1287: 1286: 1284:Official website 1263: 1262: 1253: 1252: 1250: 1248: 1242: 1233: 1227: 1226: 1224: 1222: 1216: 1207: 1201: 1200: 1198: 1196: 1190: 1182: 1176: 1175: 1173: 1171: 1165: 1156: 1145: 1144: 1142: 1140: 1128: 1122: 1121: 1119: 1117: 1105: 1099: 1098: 1096: 1094: 1089:on July 13, 2013 1078: 1072: 1071: 1069: 1067: 1056: 1050: 1049: 1047: 1045: 1034: 1015: 1014: 1012: 980: 974: 973: 971: 939: 930: 929: 927: 925: 919: 910: 899: 898: 896: 894: 888: 879: 873: 872: 870: 868: 862: 853: 847: 846: 844: 842: 827: 821: 820: 818: 816: 811:on June 28, 2011 807:. 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646: 637: 636: 629: 619: 617: 613: 607: 598: 593: 545: 540: 538: 535: 526: 502: 496: 470: 436: 395: 390: 345:tropical storms 332:(NHC) in 1990. 304: 291: 284:Tropical Storm 278: 266:≥240 km/h 265: 242: 225: 166:Radar image of 160: 103: 92: 61: 59: 56: 47:Agency overview 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1778: 1768: 1767: 1762: 1757: 1752: 1747: 1742: 1725: 1724: 1722: 1721: 1716: 1711: 1706: 1700: 1698: 1694: 1693: 1691: 1690: 1685: 1680: 1675: 1669: 1667: 1661: 1660: 1658: 1657: 1652: 1647: 1642: 1637: 1631: 1629: 1623: 1622: 1620: 1619: 1614: 1609: 1603: 1601: 1593: 1592: 1590: 1589: 1584: 1578: 1576: 1570: 1569: 1567: 1566: 1564:Forest Service 1561: 1556: 1546: 1541: 1536: 1531: 1526: 1520: 1518: 1512: 1511: 1509: 1508: 1503: 1498: 1495: 1489: 1487: 1481: 1480: 1478: 1477: 1476: 1475: 1470: 1465: 1460: 1455: 1444: 1442: 1436: 1435: 1433: 1432: 1427: 1422: 1417: 1412: 1407: 1402: 1397: 1392: 1386: 1384: 1378: 1377: 1375: 1374: 1367: 1360: 1353: 1346: 1338: 1335: 1334: 1323: 1322: 1315: 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1624: 1618: 1615: 1613: 1610: 1608: 1605: 1604: 1602: 1600: 1594: 1588: 1585: 1583: 1580: 1579: 1577: 1575: 1571: 1565: 1562: 1560: 1557: 1554: 1550: 1547: 1545: 1542: 1540: 1537: 1535: 1532: 1530: 1527: 1525: 1522: 1521: 1519: 1517: 1513: 1507: 1504: 1502: 1499: 1496: 1494: 1491: 1490: 1488: 1486: 1482: 1474: 1471: 1469: 1466: 1464: 1463:Ocean Service 1461: 1459: 1456: 1454: 1451: 1450: 1449: 1446: 1445: 1443: 1441: 1437: 1431: 1428: 1426: 1423: 1421: 1418: 1416: 1413: 1411: 1408: 1406: 1403: 1401: 1398: 1396: 1393: 1391: 1388: 1387: 1385: 1383: 1379: 1373: 1372: 1368: 1366: 1365: 1361: 1359: 1358: 1354: 1352: 1351: 1347: 1345: 1344: 1340: 1339: 1336: 1332: 1328: 1321: 1316: 1314: 1309: 1307: 1302: 1301: 1298: 1291: 1285: 1280: 1279: 1273: 1271: 1267: 1239: 1232: 1213: 1206: 1187: 1181: 1162: 1155: 1153: 1151: 1134: 1127: 1111: 1104: 1088: 1084: 1077: 1061: 1055: 1039: 1033: 1031: 1029: 1027: 1025: 1023: 1021: 1011: 1006: 1002: 998: 994: 990: 986: 979: 970: 965: 961: 957: 953: 949: 945: 938: 936: 916: 909: 907: 905: 885: 878: 859: 852: 836: 832: 826: 810: 806: 805: 797: 781: 777: 776: 768: 766: 764: 762: 760: 740: 733: 731: 729: 727: 725: 708: 704: 703: 695: 679: 675: 674: 667: 665: 663: 661: 644: 640: 634: 632: 612: 605: 603: 601: 596: 586: 583: 581: 578: 576: 573: 571: 568: 566: 563: 561: 558: 556: 553: 552: 548: 537: 530: 521: 519: 515: 511: 507: 501: 491: 485: 482: 479: 478: 477: 475: 465: 462: 458: 454: 450: 446: 442: 431: 427: 425: 421: 413: 410: 407: 404: 401: 400: 399: 385: 383: 379: 378:Bay of Bengal 375: 370: 367: 362: 361:United States 358: 354: 350: 346: 342: 338: 333: 331: 327: 323: 318: 314: 303: 299: 296: 295: 290: 286: 283: 282: 277: 273: 270: 269: 264: 260: 257: 256: 252: 249: 248: 237: 235: 231: 220: 217: 211: 209: 208:Typhoon Karen 203: 200: 196: 191: 188: 184: 183:Typhoon Cobra 180: 169: 168:Typhoon Cobra 164: 155: 153: 148: 144: 140: 136: 132: 128: 124: 121:) is a joint 120: 116: 106: 102: 98: 95: 91: 88: 86:Parent agency 84: 80: 76: 72: 68: 54: 50: 45: 41: 36: 30: 19: 1644: 1369: 1362: 1355: 1348: 1341: 1329:involved in 1258: 1247:December 29, 1245:. Retrieved 1231: 1221:December 29, 1219:. Retrieved 1205: 1195:December 29, 1193:. Retrieved 1180: 1170:December 29, 1168:. Retrieved 1137:. Retrieved 1126: 1116:November 26, 1114:. Retrieved 1103: 1091:. Retrieved 1087:the original 1076: 1066:December 29, 1064:. Retrieved 1054: 1044:December 29, 1042:. Retrieved 992: 988: 978: 951: 947: 924:December 29, 922:. Retrieved 893:December 29, 891:. Retrieved 877: 867:December 29, 865:. Retrieved 851: 841:December 29, 839:. Retrieved 835:the original 825: 815:November 14, 813:. Retrieved 809:the original 803: 796: 786:November 14, 784:. Retrieved 780:the original 774: 748:December 29, 746:. Retrieved 713:December 29, 711:. Retrieved 707:the original 701: 694: 684:December 29, 682:. Retrieved 678:the original 672: 647:. Retrieved 643:the original 620:December 29, 618:. Retrieved 527: 503: 489: 471: 437: 428: 417: 396: 371: 334: 310: 274:64–129  234:Typhoon Omar 226: 212: 204: 192: 172: 143:Indian Ocean 131:Pearl Harbor 118: 114: 112: 70:Headquarters 29: 412:USINDOPACOM 382:Arabian Sea 364:cyclone. A 287:34–63  129:command in 1734:Categories 1139:January 6, 591:References 449:wind shear 261:≥130  62:1959-05-01 300:≤33  250:Category 81:61 (2020) 78:Employees 1093:July 17, 649:July 17, 533:See also 388:Products 380:), "A" ( 271:Typhoon 230:Yokosuka 125:– 1697:Defunct 997:Bibcode 956:Bibcode 457:outflow 158:History 100:Website 60: ( 506:invest 455:, and 443:, the 374:invest 175:(JTWC) 135:Hawaii 52:Formed 1241:(PDF) 1215:(PDF) 1189:(PDF) 1164:(PDF) 918:(PDF) 887:(PDF) 861:(PDF) 742:(PDF) 614:(PDF) 366:scale 302:knots 289:knots 276:knots 263:knots 1249:2023 1223:2023 1197:2023 1172:2023 1141:2024 1118:2023 1095:2013 1068:2023 1046:2023 926:2023 895:2023 869:2023 843:2023 817:2014 788:2014 750:2023 715:2023 686:2023 651:2013 622:2023 343:and 317:Navy 315:and 179:Guam 119:JTWC 113:The 18:JTWC 1005:doi 964:doi 1736:: 1272:. 1149:^ 1019:^ 1003:. 993:81 991:. 987:. 962:. 950:. 946:. 934:^ 903:^ 758:^ 723:^ 659:^ 630:^ 599:^ 451:, 154:. 133:, 1555:) 1551:( 1319:e 1312:t 1305:v 1225:. 1199:. 1174:. 1143:. 1120:. 1097:. 1070:. 1048:. 1013:. 1007:: 999:: 972:. 966:: 958:: 952:5 928:. 897:. 871:. 845:. 819:. 790:. 752:. 717:. 688:. 653:. 624:. 117:( 64:) 20:)

Index

JTWC

United States Navy
United States Air Force
metoc.navy.mil/jtwc
United States Navy
United States Air Force
Pearl Harbor
Hawaii
tropical cyclone
Indian Ocean
U.S. Department of Defense
Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command

Typhoon Cobra
Guam
Typhoon Cobra
Typhoon Connie
United States Department of Defense
Weather Bureau
Typhoon Karen
1995 Base Realignment and Closure Commission
Yokosuka
Typhoon Omar
knots
knots
knots
knots
U.S. Air Force
Navy

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